11-30-14

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BEN BURNS FOOTBALL

3 GAME
saints
chargers
caro/minn under(BREAKFAST CLUB)

BEST BET - falcons

PERSONAL FAVORITE - packers

MAIN EVENT - den/kc under

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Sixth Sense
NFL
Kansas City +1.5
Baltimore -6
New Orleans/Pittsburgh Over 54

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Behind The Bets Picks

NFL:
Raiders +7,
Redskins +10,
Bills -3,
and Vikings -2.5 (4U each)

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Razr ray

arizona-2.5

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River City Sharps

The Chargers travel across country to take on the Ravens. A trip to Baltimore may have appeared to be one of the more winnable games left for San Diego, but the Ravens have won four straight at home while limiting opponents to 7.5 points and 270.0 yards per game of total offense.That's not good for a San Diego offense that's struggled on the road. The Chargers are 2-3 on the road and have been held to averages of 18.2 points and 306.0 yards. Both of these teams are in must win situations as they battle for a playoff spot. With QB Rivers struggling, the 5th ranked rush defense of the Ravens will looks to stop the run and force Rivers to throw it to beat them. The re-energized ground game of the Ravens with Justin Forsett has taken pressure of Flacco and he has played well, QB rating of 92.6 which is significant because the Ravens are 43-7 when he has a rating of 90 or more. We like the home team in this situation. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6.5)

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MADDUX SPORTS (NFL)

Jacksonville +3 (10*)

Tampa Bay +3.5 (10*)

Carolina +3 (10*)

NO Saints + 5 (10*)

Saints/Pittsburgh – Over 54 (10*)

Carolina/Minnesota – Under 42.5 (10* )

Atlanta Falcons+1.5 (10* )

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PITTVIPER (NFL )

• ROT# 454 – 1:00pm – Houston Texans -7 (-110)
• ROT# 468 – 1:00pm – Minnesota Vikings ML (-140)
• 10.5 point teaser = ties reduced = Minnesota +7.5/Houston +2.5/Indianapolis -0.5 (-135)

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NORTHCOAST SPORTS

NFL Totals POW – Titans vs Texans – Under 43

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) off a home win over a division rival, with a winning record on the season
36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
36-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.9% | 0.0 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
39-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 24.7 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )

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Steve Merril

Home Team TKO - Tampa Bay

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SB PROFESSOR
NFL
4:30 PM
471. New England Patriots +3*

8:30 PM
473. Denver Broncos -1*

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (NFL)

6 Unit Play. #466 Pittsburgh -4 over New Orleans (1:00p.m., Sunday, November 30 FOX)
(Non-Conference Game of the Month) Even if the Saints had won on Monday Night against Baltimore I would still fade the Saints in this spot. New Orleans didn’t win that game at home (dropping 3-straight home games) and this team is struggling badly. The Saints defense couldn’t stop the run at home Monday night and I see Pittsburgh running wild at home against New Orleans. Not only will the Steelers have great success on offense this Sunday but also the Steelers defense is getting back Ike Taylor and Troy Polamalu. The Saints are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 0-5 ATS in the month of November. Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS following a bye week and the Steelers are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS (NFL)

5-Unit Play. Take #452 Indianapolis (-9.5) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
I don’t care how high this line is, Indy at home is a great play, and Washington anywhere, isn’t. The Colts are in the midst of a playoff push and working hard to iron out some kinks to prepare themselves for the second season, while the Redskins are in complete disarray. The Colts are a bettors dream, and playing against Washington makes it even better. Check out these trends, Indy is:
17-4 ATS in their last 21 versus a team with a losing record
7-2 ATS in their last nine overall
19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games
Now look at the flip side of this coin, and check out these Washington trends:
2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall
2-9 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS win
1-5 ATS in their last six games following a S.U. loss
To put this plainly, lay the big number on the Colts, because this game is going to get out of hand early.

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ALLEN EASTMAN (NFL)

(W) 5-Unit Play. Take #449 Seattle (+1.5) over San Francisco (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 27)

3-Unit Play. Take #468 Minnesota (-2.5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

I will go with the Vikings here. Mike Zimmer has this team playing hard. They are a young team and they almost knocked off Green Bay last week and the Bears the week before that. They are coming close but haven’t been able to seal the deal. Their last three losses came down to the final possession. But they should take care of Carolina this week. The Panthers have won just three of their 11 games this year. They have just one win since Sept. 15 and this team has been a major disappointment. They lost too many good players from last year’s team and several key players are banged up. This team from North Carolina isn’t going to like playing in the cold up in Minnesota and that is a big advantage to the home team. Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last five games after a bye week and Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games. Minnesota has the better record coming into this game and they have earned it against a much tougher schedule and in a much tougher division. But the books are still not giving them respect because they are not even a 3-point home favorite. The Panthers are just 2-6 ATS on the road. The Vikings are 9-2 ATS after a loss and they are 7-2 ATS at home. Minnesota is the play here.

4-Unit Play. Take #461 Cincinnati (-3.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Bengals are getting healthy and they are starting to improve. A.J. Green was out for a few games and it really impacted this team. They were also without several linebackers and guys on defense. But guys are coming back and that is really strengthening this team. Tampa Bay is 0-5 at home this year and they are just 15-35 ATS at home. The Bengals just went on the road and beat down a pretty good Houston team. They will go on the road this week and beat down a bad Tampa Bay team. Go with Cincinnati.

4-Unit Play. Take #469 Arizona (-2.5) over Atlanta (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

The Falcons are just 4-7 but they are in first place in the NFC South! It doesn’t matter that they are a ?first place team?. They are a bad team. They blew another game last week and the fans are calling for Mike Smith’s head. That will impact the team. Especially if they start slow in this game they might get booed. Arizona is one of the best teams in football. Their only losses this year are at Denver and at Seattle. Those are two of the best teams in the NFL and two of the toughest places to win. Atlanta is not in that class. This game kicks off at 4 p.m. and that is a big advantage for the Cardinals since they don’t have to worry about the early start. Matt Ryan has only beaten Arizona two of the five times they played and the favorite is 4-2 ATS in this series. Arizona is too much for Atlanta and the Falcons could lose again but stay in first place!

6-Unit Play. Take #471 New England (+3.5) over Green Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

This play is my Game of the Month and it is from my NFL 411 System. I know better than to bet against the Patriots when they are an underdog. I took a bath when they beat down Indianapolis. But I told myself never again! And if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em. This is a matchup of two of the best teams in football. They are both equal teams. The Packers have the home field advantage but the Patriots are always great on the road. New England has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a team with a winning record. They play their best against the best and have been a great underdog. This is not a role they are in often. But Tom Brady is 33-15 ATS in his career as an underdog and most of those are outright wins. The Packers are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games against an AFC team and I think that the Patriots are going to extend their winning streak. Take Brady and the points.

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GC: NFL Play

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On Sunday the free NFL System Club Play is on the Carolina Panthers +3. Game 467 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are still alive in the inept NFC South and have rest for this one as they catch Minnesota off a tough 3 point home loss here last week to Green Bay. Road teams that lost by less than 7 with rest are 25-7 ats if the total is less than 44. Carolina won 35-10 here last season and are a solid 6-0 ats as a dog vs an opponent that is .333 or less. The Panthers have covered 7 straight vs non division teams on turf. The Vikings are a lousy 0-6 ats as a favorite off a 1-3 point loss. Road teams from +3 to -3 in the 2nd half that are off a dog loss and spread win have covered 40 of 50 times the last 32 seasons. On Sunday a Tremendous NFL Card is up with the Highest rated Sunday night NFL Play of the Season with 6 Big systems, 3 Perfect system 5* plays the highest rated Teaser, an NBA Blowout system that dates to 1995 and an NCAAB Road warrior winner. Football is ranked #1 on Several leader boards. Jump on now and the week and Month big With the most powerful data in the industry. For the free play Look for Carolina to get the cash on Sunday. GC