12-7-14

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Compufun Game of the Month
Pittsburgh +3

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INDIAN COWBOY - NFL


4-Unit Play #163 Take Tampa Bay +10over Detroit (Sunday @ 1pm est)
This is a lotof points for a Tampa Bay team that has of late been playing very good Footballand staying in most of these contests each week. Note that the Bucs have lostby 1 point to Cincinnati falling within the 6 point spread against the Bengals,losing by 8 points to the Bears as a 4 point underdog, beating WashingtonOutright by 20 points as a near touchdown underdog, losing to Atlanta by 10points, losing to the Browns by 5 points, losing to Minnesota by 6 points inextra time and losing to New Orleans by 6 points in extra time as well. So theBucs have consistently been in most of these ballgames and they continue towork hard and not quit on the season as they are looking to build for biggerand better things next season. You have to give Lovie Smith credit in that hisguys indeed have not quit on them this season. Combine all of that with theLions comingo ff such a big win on Thanksgiving Day and it’s a classic let downspot for them here. A decent public fade here, with a strong defense and a gamethat is possibly expected to be low scoring, note the Bucs are 4-1 ATS in theirlast 5 road games and the Lions are 0-5-1 ATS coming off a straight up win ofmore than 14 points. Classic let down spot here for the Lions.
7-Unit Play #152 Take Miami -2.5 overBaltimore (Sunday @ 1pm est)
Note thatMiami is expected to do well in this game which is why they are indeed favored.The Dolphins are a 7-5 team and continue to get better and it’s obvious thatthis team is getting significantly better since the start of the year. In fact,though this team is 7-5 this team is a possession or two away from being 8-3after the Packers and Lions games. This team also gave Denver their biggestscare on the road by nearly beating the Broncos Outright before the wheelscoming off the wagon late in that contest. Note, that Miami lost to this teamby a field goal last year and has revenge against them this year and they havegotten significantly better. After all, this Dolphins team has did not playwell against the Jets only beating them 16-13 (note we were on the Jets as ourcomp selection on the daily video) and now they will look to bounce-back ATS againsta quality team here. The Dolphins have done well against quality teams such aslosing to Denver by just 3 points as a 6.5 point underdog, beating Buffalo 22-9as a small favorite, beating San Diego 37-0 as a field goal favorite, beatingJacksonville by 14 points as a 7 point favorite and beating Oakland 38-14 as a4 point favorite. With the Dolphins consistently doing well as small favorites,look for the Dolphins to once again do well here. The Ravens have alsostruggled of late against AFC teams as they are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11games against the AFC and though the Ravens are coming off a loss, note thatthe Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when they face a team with awinning road record and are 4-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss as well. Look forthe Dolphins to surprise a lot of people here and pick up a key win for theirplayoff hopes.
4-Unit Play #154 Take Under 49 Seattlevs Philadelphia (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)
We love the Underhere for a couple of reasons. For starters, these two coaches are well aware ofeach other. They know their tendencies back from the college days of USC andOregon and have been crossing paths for some time now. Keep in mind thatSeattle is always up to the challenge defensively and they are more thanexcited to face a high octane offense such as Philadelphia as they will takethat as a challenge and that in and of itself is going to get this team firedup to face this offense. Combine that with Sanchez has a tendency to struggleagainst strong defensive lines and strong defensive backs for that matter, lookfor Seattle to be giving Sanchez plenty of trouble and different looks. Combinethat with Wilson facing a much underrated Eagle defense and Seattle being aball control team by nature and you will find a likely under here which is whythe total is relatively low for an Eagle game. It’s a decent public fade here,the Under is 9-3 for the Seahawks when they face a team with a winning recordmeaning more quality teams and the Eagles have a tendency for a classic letdown spot here as they are 33-16 in their last 49 games after scoring 30 ormore points in their previous game

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VR/NFAC:

nfl browns

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Scott Spreitzer


Triple-Dime - Eagles -1
Double-Dime - Steelers +3
Double-Dime - Browns +3.5

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SB PROFESSOR

Pittsburgh Steelers +3*
Kansas City Chiefs -1*

Rest of Games
New York Giants -1

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SIXTH SENSE

Cleveland +3.5 -120

Tampa Bay +10

New England/San Diego – Over 51

Miami -2.5 -120

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PHILLYGODFATHER

Browns +4

Redskins +3

Chiefs +1.5

Seahawks +1

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NORTHCOAST SPORTS

NFL Totals POW — Lions / Bucs – Under 41.5

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NFL | PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI
Play Under – Road teams against the total after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NFL | SEATTLE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against – Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) outrushing their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
40-25 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

NFL | ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON
Play Against – Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) after allowing 14 points or less last game against opponent after allowing 40 points or more last game
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[golden contender]

GC: NFL Play

Sunday NFL Triple Perfect Conference Play of the Year on Sunday night + Early 12-0 6* and 2 big Double system 5* Sides. In Hoops its A 5* 100% Blowout, an Undefeated Road warrior and a 18-1 NCAAB Power Angle. There is also a big teaser. Football ranks #1 and The 7* NCAAF Goy cashes with Ohio.St. Free NFL Play below.


The free NFC Power system play is on the Washington Redskins +3. Game 166 at 1:00 eastern. Washington has covered 7 straight off a Non conference game and 10 of 11 if the have the Giants up next and have revenge. The Rams are off a big 52-0 home win but have covered just once in the last 8 vs NFC East teams and are 1-12 ats as a road favorite vs a team with revenge. Home dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss that allowed 35 or more have covered 17 of 23 vs an opponent off a home favored win. Look for a big game from Washington here today as the Skins are one of the better teams from the line of scrimmage but it has not translated to the win column. We will take them today plus the points. Football remains with a #1 ranking. Saturday 7* GOY Cashes Easily with Ohio.St. Tonight its the Triple Perfect Conference Play of the year. Early 12-0 6* and Double system 5*. Their is also a triple Perfect Late afternoon 5* and 3 big Hoops plays. In the NBA its a 5* Blowout and big 100% Road warrior. In NCAAB its 18-1 Power angle play. Jump on and put the most powerful data in the Industry on your side. For the season its now 51 Games over. 500 in football. For the free play take Washington +3. GC

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WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRES----PHILADELPHIA
NO LIMIT CLUB---WASHINGTON
____________________________
PERFECT PLAY---TENNESSEE
New York has to be upset with both teams and will entertain fans with "media" drama for the remainder of the year. The Giants came into this season with realistic hopes of making the playoffs, but things have not gone according to plan. Standout WR Victor Cruz suffered a knee injury in a week 6 loss at Philadelphia and New York has proceeded to lose seven games in a row.
In the Titans’ last 11 games, their only win was a narrow 16-14 home victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tennessee will play in winnable games the next three weeks, home against the Giants and Jets then on the road at Jacksonville. These two teams have both struggled mightily to reach the win column over the last two months of the season. Home field for the Titans as the Giants have quit and resigned itself to continue to make mistakes, commit turnovers and play with little interest. TAKE TENNESSEE
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INNER CIRCLE---SAN DIEGO......NFL UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH
While the Patriots are clearly not invincible, they're still the best team in the AFC. But this is a situational play. A play that fall into place just right. A week after losing on the road at Green Bay, they now find themselvestraveling 3500 miles and starting a game at 8:30 pm est. And laying 3.5 points to boot. This looks like a *trap* game as the public is convinced that the Pats will not lose in back to back games. They might not. They may win the game 24-21 and allow the Chargers tickets to cash big! If the Patriots have a weakness this year, it's clearly on the ground. No Pats running back has eclipsed the 400 yard marker and only Jonas Grey has more than two touchdowns. The Chargers return home after a great come from behind road win to cover this pointspread behind Philip Rivers in a game he wants to win so bad against Tom Brady!!
TAKE SAN DIEGO
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Pinnacle---CLEVELAND...AFC UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
What's up with Cleveland? Don't they know that they are in the middle of a playoff run? Finally the Browns return to the Cleveland sports city and franchise we all love to hate. Only the Browns would start a QB controversy in a late season playoff run. But according to my sources, the QB benching and bringing in Johnny Football was the right thing to do. Now Bryan Hoyer is back to starting, re-focused and had another week of practice trying to get his timing with Josh Gordon. Besides, the Browns win at home with great defensive play; not by scoring 35 points. On the other hand, if Andrew Luck doesn't throw for 4 to 5 TD's, it will be an easy win and cover for the hometeam dog! TAKE CLEVELAND

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Mike Missanelli
Steelers
Broncos
Texans

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Sky Blue
NFL - December 7)
1:00pm ET - Cleveland Browns +3.5
1:00pm ET - Washington Redskins +3
1:00pm ET - Detroit Lions -10

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Joe Gavazzi


STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK

Houston Texans (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM EST

Each week I isolate an NFL team whom I believe will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. Outrushing your NFL opponent by 30+ yards provides a team with a 74% chance to beat the spread. If a team runs 30 times a game, while their opponent does not, they have an 83% chance to cover the point spread. Finally, if an opponent runs 22 or less times in a game, while our team runs more than 22 times, we have an 86% chance to cover the point spread. Last week, our Steamroller of the Week was these Houston Texans, who rolled to a 45-21 victory against outmanned Tennessee. This week, we are back for more with the same Houston team against the Jaguars team with the second worst offense in the league.

The Jags got just their second win of the season last week when they won 25-24 against the New York Giants. Don’t think it was an offensive explosion. The Jags trailed 21-0 last week, but rallied for a 25-24 victory courtesy of two fumbles returned for touchdowns. But Jacksonville does not respond well to victory, as they are just 2-10 ATS following a win. This team continues to have a pathetic offense, averaging just 16 PPG on 300 YPG. They get outrushed 30/129/4.3 to 23/98/4.3.

That is grist for the running mill that has become the Houston Texans, whose average numbers for the season are 33/134/4.1. At 6-6 SU, following last week’s victory, the Texans are still alive in the playoff hunt. That means there will be full focus today. In last week’s romp over Tennessee, Houston had a 457-320 yard edge. Following a 2-14 SU season of last, Texans are highly motivated to get back to the winning side of the ledger. They are 4-1 SU ATS this season vs sub-.500 teams.

The combination of the Houston incentive, the momentum of last week’s victory, the strong fundamental edge at the point of attack, and Jacksonville’s poor history following a victory will all lead to a comfortable victory by the Texans today.

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VEGAS SHARP

3 Units
Kansas City Chiefs +1
Seattle Seahawks +1.5