12-7-14

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Sports Lab

NFL:
Cleveland Browns +4 *10 units
Jacksonville Jaguars +5 *10 units

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INT Picks
NFL
Houston
Cleveland
NY Giants
Arizona
NE/SD over 52
Pittsburgh


Cbb
Georgia
Iona
Kentucky
UCLA


NBA
Atlanta
Dallas/Milwaukee over 206.5

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Maddux Sports

Added

Jets +6 (10*)
Cleveland +3.5 (10*)
Carolina +10 (20*)

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Jason Sample:

2U:

Texans TT O23.5
GBP 1H TT O17.5

1U:

Skins +10 / Seahawks +7 / Chiefs +7 (+142) - 7TW
Jets +11 / Bucs +17.5 (+100) = 6TR
Dolphins/Packers MLs (-118)
Bills/Broncos UNDER 47.5
Texans/Colts/Packers MLs (+159)

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BetArtist
Lock of the day:
Pittsburgh +3.0 (buy the hook for 3.5)

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Ducks won six of their last eight games. Winnipeg won four of last five.
-- Red Wings won eight of their last ten games.
-- Vancouver won five of its last seven games.
-- Sharks won their last four games, scoring 18 goals.

Cold teams
-- Carolina lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Senators lost last five games, scoring eight goals.
-- Edmonton lost its last eleven games, scoring 10 goals in last seven games.

Series records
-- Ducks won five of last seven games with Winnipeg.
-- Red Wings won three of last four games with Carolina.
-- Canucks won six of last seven games with Ottawa.
-- Sharks won six of last seven games with Edmonton.

Totals
-- Three of last four Winnipeg games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games went over total.
-- Last five Ottawa games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five San Jose road games.

Back-to-back
-- Detroit is 1-1 if it played the night before.
-- Ottawa is 1-3 if it played night before; Canucks are 1-4.
-- Sharks are 2-2 if they played the night before.


Grey Cup game, @ Vancouver
Hamilton vs Calgary
This year's Grey Cup features losers of last two Grey Cups; Calgary won its last title in Montreal six years ago; Hamilton's last title was 15 years ago, when they beat Stampeders here in Vancouver. Calgary won last six meetings and 10 of last 11, winning 10-7 (-9) in Week 4, then 30-20 (-3) in Week 8, at which point TiCats were 1-6 and looking dead. Both those games stayed under total. Calgary has been best team in league all season, winning 11 of last 13 games- they won only appearance on this field three weeks ago. Stampeders are 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games. Hamilton lost 36-29 here back in Week 7, but TiCats won eight of last ten games, covering last three tries when a dog.

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StatFox Super Situations

NHL | DETROIT at CAROLINA
Play On - Road teams against the money line (DETROIT) after 6 or more consecutive overs, quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period
48-15 since 1997. ( 76.2% | 36.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.1 units )

NHL | DETROIT at CAROLINA
Play On - Road teams against the money line (DETROIT) after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game
54-22 since 1997. ( 71.1% | 32.8 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.1 units )

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Washington won last four games, covered last three. Boston won last two games, covered last three (0-4 HU).
-- Hawks won last five games, covering four (3-1 last four HF).
-- Thunder won three of last four games (1-3 F).
-- Dallas won five of last six games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Portland won 12 of last 13 games (1-3-1 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Denver lost three of last five games, is 3-7 vs spread on road.
-- Pistons lost last 10 games, losing last two in OT (0-5 vs spread in last five games).
-- Memphis lost last two games, but won eight of nine at home (4-5 HF). Miami lost four of last five games (2-4 AU).
-- Bucks lost three of last four but covered six of last seven (7-3 AU).
-- Knicks lost last seven games, last three by total of 9 points (1-4 HU)
-- Pelicans lost five of last six games (1-1 AF). Lakers lost six of their last eight games (5-4 HU).

Series Records
-- Celtics lost three of last four games with Washington.
-- Denver won six of last eight with the Hawks, but lost last two visits to Atlanta, by 4-5 points.
-- Thunder had won 10 in row vs Detroit before losing to Pistons at home in OT Nov 14.
-- Heat lost last three visits to Memphis by 2-18-5 points.
-- Mavericks won last four games with Milwaukee, by 7-8-13-2.
-- Knicks lost eight of last eleven games with Portland.
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Last six Wizard-Celtic games went over the total.
-- Last four Denver games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Thunder games stayed under. Five of last seven Piston games went over.
-- Three of last four Memphis games went over.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Portland games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Pelican games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Detroit is 2-3 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- New Orleans is 4-0 vs spread if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MILWAUKEE at DALLAS
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots
66-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% | 31.9 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NBA | MILWAUKEE at DALLAS
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) off a home loss, on Sunday games
92-52 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.9% | 39.9 units )
5-5 this year. ( 50.0% | 1.5 units )

NBA | WASHINGTON at BOSTON
Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (WASHINGTON) after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%)
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 23.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB | FAIRFIELD at QUINNIPIAC
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FAIRFIELD) off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

CBB | IONA at MONMOUTH
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (MONMOUTH) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games
102-41 since 1997. ( 71.3% | 60.0 units )

CBB | MISSOURI ST at ORAL ROBERTS
Play Against - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ORAL ROBERTS) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing with 5 or 6 days rest
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

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EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Sunday

A profitable day on Saturday. Just 1-1 in college basketball, but cashed in a big 4 STAR winner on Florida State over Georgia Tech in college football. A much larger NFL card for Sunday than normal. I really like the lineup today. Sorry still under the weather and couldn't get any write ups done. Best of luck. Best of luck!

-EZ


3* (151) Baltimore Ravens +3

3* (153) Pittsburgh Steelers +3

3* (156) Cleveland Browns +3

3* (158) Jacksonville Jaguars +6

3* (166) Washington Redskins +3

3* (171) Kansas City Chiefs -1

3* (175) Seattle Seahawks +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sun Arizona -1

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Randall the Handle

LINE: ST. LOUIS by 3

The Rams deserved a pushover opponent after an extremely difficult October and November and boy did they get one as St. Louis clobbered the Raiders last week by 52-0. That has the public understandably enamoured with the Rams, especially when facing another weakling in these troubled Redskins. However, that is when we prefer to step in as value is commonly found on the less popular side. St. Louis has spotted points just twice this year. Once was last week and they obviously covered easily. The other occasion was in the season opener here when they were a 3-point choice over the Vikings before getting crushed 34-6. Now the Rams are being asked to give road points for the first time since the 2010 season. That doesn’t jive. Washington’s struggles and quarterback issues are well documented but they have skilled players throughout their roster and current QB Colt McCoy gives them their best chance at a win, something that could very well happen here.

TAKING: REDSKINS +3


Chiefs (7-5) at Cardinals (9-3)
LINE: ARIZONA by 1

Is this some sort of pre-Christmas sale? The Cardinals lose a couple of games on the road, then return home where they are 6-0 this season (5-1 vs. spread) and we only have to win the game to cash this ticket? We’ll stand in line for that. It’s not like a heavyweight is coming for a visit. It’s the pedestrian Chiefs, a team that has also lost consecutive games with one being to the dreadful Raiders, Oakland’s only win of the year. Kansas City employs the most pedestrian of offences with its dinky passes and continual ground game. Trouble is, Arizona excels at stopping the run and if you force the Chiefs to go aerial, they become completely discombobulated. Let’s not forget that the Cards are tied with the best record in football. They employ dangerous pass receivers (Larry Fitzgerald is expected back) and KC’s best pass defender is out. This one comes gift wrapped.

TAKING: CARDINALS -1


Giants (3-9) at Titans (2-10)
LINE: Even

As ugly as the Giants’ season has been, they look like runway models compared to this abysmal Titans squad. The G-Men find innovative ways to lose. Tennessee just gets hammered every week. So while this game won’t set any viewing records, it doesn’t mean that an opportunity is not presented. The Titans own the 27th ranked offence compared to New York’s 15th ranked unit. Tennessee is 29th in scoring and 27th in rushing. Defensively, Tennessee is dead last in both rush defence and points allowed. The Titans made Houston QB Ryan Fitzpatrick look like Dan Marino, allowing six touchdown passes last week. The Giants have plenty of issues of their own but they have the experience of Eli Manning and exciting playmaking ability of rookie Odell Beckham Jr. Tennessee has few bright spots. Its only win in past 11 games was a close 16-14 home victory over the Jaguars and Titans have covered just once in their last 11 games.

TAKING: GIANTS Even


THE REST

Ravens (7-5) at Dolphins (7-5)
LINE: MIAMI by 3

Prefer taking whatever points are offered here as Baltimore has been a bit inconsistent lately but seems to play its best ball against winning teams. Ravens have scored an impressive 67 points in past two games and much can be attributed to the improved running game bolstered by Justin Forsett. While Miami is well balanced, they have had trouble stopping the run as we saw first-hand on Monday night against a Jets team that had no interest in passing the ball but were still able to grind out 277 rushing yards. Combined with a capable passing game, Baltimore gets the nod.

TAKING: RAVENS +3


Steelers (7-5) at Bengals (8-3-1)
LINE: CINCINNATI by 3

Every do or die cliché belongs to the Steelers in this one as there are six 7-5 teams in the AFC and it appears only one of them will qualify for the playoffs. While the Steelers have been inconsistent lately we’d rather hitch our wagon to a team that has provided some explosive games rather than a Cincinnati team that seems to be missing that extra gear. While the Bengals have just one loss on their own field this season, Pittsburgh has had great success visiting their division rivals by winning 11 of the past 12 games on this turf. Steelers on current 4-0 run vs. spread in road games against winning teams.

TAKING: STEELERS +3


Colts (8-4) at Browns (7-5)
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3½

Browns sticking with Brian Hoyer over Johnny Manziel at quarterback, a logical choice considering that Cleveland remains in the playoff race and a switch to a rookie can be hazardous. This might be a good matchup for Hoyer as Indianapolis’ secondary is riddled with injuries and it lost top defender Vontae Davis last week, leaving a huge hole that cannot be easily filled. Browns pass defence continues to play at a high level and are more than capable of slowing down Andrew Luck’s air attack. Indy hits the road for first time in a month and could get caught off guard against a desperate host that has played well here.

TAKING: BROWNS +3½


Texans (6-6) at Jaguars (2-10)
LINE: HOUSTON by 6

Expecting Ryan Fitzpatrick to have another six touchdown passing day is like hitting the Lotto on consecutive weeks. It’s not going to happen. Prior to his return to face Tennessee last week, after being benched in favour of injured Ryan Mallett, Fitzpatrick needed five games to throw six touchdowns. He had tossed just eight touchdowns to match his eight interceptions in previous eight starts. Is this really the guy you wanted to be giving away points with on the road, in the division? Of course, it goes deeper than quarterback where Houston does have talent but Jacksonville’s defence good enough to compete here.

TAKING: JAGUARS +6


Panthers (3-8) at Saints (5-7)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 10½

Who would ever think that the Saints dread returning home? They had dropped three straight here before a surprising win in Pittsburgh last week and now we’re not sure which team shows up today. Even though the Panthers are a rather despicable bunch, we can’t trust this host spotting double-digits until they earn back our trust. Also not anxious to be giving away substantial points with the 31st ranked defensive team as Saints giving up an incredulous 390 yards per game. Saints won earlier meeting in Charlotte by 28-10 count. Twice in one season to win by a margin, in division, with a losing team? No thanks.

TAKING: PANTHERS +10½


Buccaneers (2-10) at Lions (8-4)
LINE: DETROIT by 10

Some of this is timing and catching the Lions in a perfect position to dismantle the Bears last week has many riding a rested Detroit team for this one. That could be a mistake. Mathew Stafford and Co. were able to take advantage of Chicago’s porous secondary in that easy win but lest we forget that the Leos had scored just 15 points in its two prior games to that one which included zero touchdowns. This Tampa defence is an improving unit, having allowed just 42 points in its past three games. Bucs also much better on the road where they have covered four of five. Lots of room for a cover here.

TAKING: BUCCANEERS +10


Jets (2-10) at Vikings (5-7)
LINE: MINNESOTA by 6

Only a few more bumps remain in the potholed road known as the Jets’ 2014 season. Changes are coming. We all know that. In the meantime, can this team compete? The Jets are off a short week after suffering another humiliating loss. However, we’re not going to bail on them quite yet. After all, they are playing a Minnesota team that might have less offensive power than they do. Vikes needed two blocked punts for touchdowns to win last week. So when we’re offered a near touchdown with neophyte Teddy Bridgewater as our obstacle, we are content allowing the defences to fight this one out in a conservative affair.

TAKING: JETS +6


Bills (7-5) at Broncos (9-3)
LINE: DENVER by 10

It’s not really fair to penalize Buffalo’s strong defensive stats because of the teams and quarterbacks they’ve faced this season. However, if our objective is to pick the winning side, we have no choice but to do so. Bills have squared off against a group that includes the Jets twice, Miami twice, Houston, Cleveland, Detroit and Minnesota. Not exactly high octane teams. When facing Tom Brady, they gave up 346 yards passing. Even Jay Cutler torched the Bills for 341 yards. Denver has not lost at home in six tries, averaging more than 35 points per game at Mile High. Buffalo unlikely to trade punches in that range.

TAKING: BRONCOS -10


49ers (7-5) at Raiders (1-11)
LINE: SAN FRANCISCO by 8

You just need watch the Niners to see the lack of confidence displayed by its offence. This appears to be more of a chronic thing than a temporary ache. Colin Kaepernick seems lost but the team is strangely asking him to throw more passes than he ever has before? San Francisco has scored 17 or fewer points in five of its past six games. Granted, the Raiders are a doormat but there is some Bay Area bragging rights at stake here and teams coming off embarrassing losses (Oakland lost 52-0 last week) have a prideful way of rebounding from such disgrace. Just too many to give with 49ers in current form.

TAKING: RAIDERS +8


Seahawks (8-4) at Eagles (9-3)
LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 1

This is simply a bad line. Seattle held struggling Arizona offence and then punchless 49ers to three points each and suddenly its feared defence of a year ago is back? Not so fast. While we respect the Seahawks’ stop unit, we’ve seen it struggle against some formidable offences this season and Philadelphia’s is a dangerous group that can throw all sorts of schemes at you. Chip Kelly has had 10 days to prepare for this one and while his guys may not rack up their usual abundance of points, Seattle’s offence is a stagnant group that may not be able to answer. Seahawks 2-10 both straight up and against the spread in week after facing the 49ers.

TAKING: EAGLES -1


Patriots (9-3) at Chargers (8-4)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 3½

Uh oh, Patriots off a loss. History will support a big bounce back (covered 9 of past 12 after a defeat) but this could actually be a flat spot for the Patriots fresh off a high profile game at Lambeau Field. New England now traveling for second week in a row and will face an 8-4 San Diego squad that many had lost faith in not so long ago but the Bolts have inconspicuously won three straight. While Tom Brady is as elite as they come, the Chargers’ Philip Rivers is no slouch sporting 69.1% completion percentage, tops in the AFC. Good Sunday nighter and tough one to call but taking better than a field goal is the way we’ll lean.

TAKING: CHARGERS +3½


Falcons (5-7) at Packers (9-3)
LINE: GREEN BAY by 13

Green Bay appears unstoppable right now, especially on this field. To find flaws in their game would just sound foolish. We won’t even try. Thing is this, we don’t have to win the game to get the checkmark. We just need the Falcons to stay within two touchdowns. Easier said than done of course but with Atlanta fighting to remain at par with the Saints, they must leave everything on the field right now. The Falcs have quietly won three of past four and the near two touchdown spot leaves us plenty of backdoor space. Packers could also have slight letdown after win over mighty Patriots last week.

TAKING: FALCONS +13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ivey Walters

2% New England Patriots -3.5

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VSI

7 Unit Play. #155 Indianapolis -3 ½ over Cleveland (1:00p.m., Sunday, December 7 CBS)
(AFC Game of the Year) I was hoping and wishful thinking that the Cleveland bosses would start Brian Hoyer over Johnny Football and Wednesday early afternoon we got our wish. Hoyer hasn't thrown a touchdown in forever and he is throwing dead ducks game after game in his past couple of starts. Yes I know the Browns are 7-5 but they are 7-5 because of their defense not their offense. The Colts come to Cleveland on a 2-game winning streak and they needed these two easy cupcake wins after their bad home loss to New England 3-weeks ago. If the Browns defense can't get Andrew Luck off the field this could be a long day for the Browns and if the Browns can't rush the ball then they will be in trouble at home. If the Colts can get another quality game from RB Dan Herron that will only help Andrew Luck throughout the whole game. I see a tough hard fought game in the first half but I see Andrew Luck taking control after halftime and I see the Colts stealing this road game. The road team in this series is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Browns are 1-7 ATS in the month of December. The Indianapolis Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-2 ATS following a SU win of 14 points or more. The Colts are also 16-5 ATS against AFC teams and with a hot Andrew Luck this trend will go up Sunday afternoon.