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ATLANTA (+13) over Green Bay
8:40 p.m. ET
Yes, we know that Green Bay has just been rolling over teams at home but you will never get rich laying double digits in the NFL and this is an overlay against an Atlanta team that should be able to stay within the generous pointspread. The Falcons dominated an Arizona team that has the NFL’s best defense last week rushing for 142 yards and controlling the ball for 37 minutes. They should be able to run the ball for at least that much tonight against a Green Bay defense that is ranked 29th in the NFL and is allowing 132.2 rushing yards per game. The Falcons ability to run the ball and eat clock will be a big key to covering this game and keeping Aaron Rodgers and the Packers high powered offense off the field. Trends are also with the Falcons who have covered 7 of their last 8 against the Pack including the last 4 at Lambeau field. Bay
7-Unit Play. Take #507 Denver (+9) over Toronto (7:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 8)
This is one of those games where Toronto will truly miss DeMar Derozan. His athleticism and scoring ability in both transition and in the half court will be missed tonight. Denver has the ability to score with anyone, and they have length and athleticism on the wing. Toronto is still a good team without DD, but this is just too many points to be giving to a decent Western Conference team. Denver was only getting four from the Washington Wizards a few nights ago, and now they are getting nine! Vegas missed on this one. These points are just too good to pass up. Denver is a great bounce back team at the betting windown. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. The Nuggets have all the trends in this series on their side. Take the points in this matchup.
Denver is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the two teams
Denver is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in Toronto
The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams
The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
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