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dime bet -742 Creighton / 741 S. Dakota – OVER 139.0
Analysis: I suspect this number may come down even a bit more, but I see it as very similar to last nights’ Butler game. South Dakota doesn’t know how to slow down much, and their tiny. Creighton should be able to shoot over them and even go inside, which they don’t do much. When they do get to the line they shoot over 76%. Bottom line for them is that unless they go ice cold from deep, they’ll get to 80. South Dakota should get their 60, especially seeing as how the line is about -16, that’s what they expect. South Dakota also shoot a lot of three pointers, and if Creighton has a weakness it’s defending the perimeter. Creighton NOR South Dakota are great rebounding teams, which mean the potential for more fast break points, and neither team has created a ton of turnovers or turned it over a ton, which also means less wasted possessions. The square over is the play for me.
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