12-18-14

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Brandon Lang


50 DIME OFF LINE
OVER/UNDER
#2 IN A ROW


Jacksonville / Tennessee UNDER 40

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ATS LOCK CLUB

2* Jacksonville vs Tennessee – Under 39.5

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Topshelfpicks

(NHL) - Carson K

Carolina
Montreal

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DAVID GLISAN SPORTS

NHL
(52) Columbus -105 over Washington
(53) Toronto -140 over Carolina


CBB
(523) LSU -5 over UAB

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Northcoast

Thursday NFL Marquee/ REGULAR opinion -
OVER 38.5 Tennessee/Jacksonville NFL 8:25 pm

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VegasButcher (NBA) - 70 – 51 @ 0% for +13.9 Units

Chicago Bulls -13

The spread moved from -11 to -13, as both Anthony and Stoudemire are expected to be out. These are NY’s top-2 players, so their absence is huge. JR Smith and Iman Shumpert are also out, so scoring could be an issue for NY. We could see the lineup of Hardaway Jr, Calderon, Prigioni, Acy, and Dalembert…with Jason Smith and Larkin off the bench. Interesting. At the same time Derrick Rose is questionable for tonight with an illness. Knowing Rose, I think he’ll sit, as he wants to be healthy when attending ‘meetings’ in the future ;) Chicago has enough firepower without Rose, plus Noah is back tonight. The Bulls do have a game @ Memphis tomorrow, where the two Gasol brothers will square off against one another. Typically a ‘look ahead’ spot but Chicago is coming off a loss, and I’m sure Thibs has been barking at them for the last two days. Bulls have a chance for an easy win/cover here.

Sacramento Kings -6.5

Demarcus Cousins is listed as probable!! Very important factor, as Sacramento is a very different team with Boogie in the lineup than without. Milwaukee is on a b2b and 3in4 spot here, as they went down @ POR in a pretty competitive game. The average lead was actually +1.4 MIL in that game, as they just ran out of steam late. How much will they have for tonight’s game? Milwaukee committed 25 fouls and allowed 29 FT-attempts to Portland last night. Kings rank #1 offensively in FT-rate and with Cousins back, expect this team to shoot a lot of freebies today. In addition, Bucks rank 28th in defensive rebounding while Kings are #1 on the offensive boards. Again, fatigue and low energy for the Bucks will be a real issue in this particular facet of the game. Kings have gone through some turmoil as their coach got fired, but now they’ve had a few days to process it all. By all accounts, Corbin is a players’ coach so I see the Kings playing hard for him. With Cousins back, expect the Kings to try and end their 4-game losing streak tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5

On Tuesday I backed Memphis because they had a good defense and size advantage in the paint. Well, OKC ranks 3rd defensively (2nd in eFG% allowed) and they have size in the paint as well. Adams and Ibaka are both big and athletic, and without Bogut in there, I see the Warriors struggling around the basket. I liked Grizzlies’ strategy where they closed out on perimeter shooters, took away the space, and challenged Curry and Thompson to drive to the basket where Gasol was able to alter their shots. Well both Adams and Ibaka are more athletic than Gasol, and they’re much more efficient shot-blockers. This could be another very difficult game for the Warriors. Memphis limited Golden State only 41% from the field and 29% from the 3PT line, while allowing 12 FT-attempts. Draymond Green struggled against a bigger and more physical Z-Bo, and I think undersized Green will have another real tough matchup against Ibaka tonight. Curry/Thompson will have to deal with an explosive Westbrook which is going to be a really difficult matchup also. Oh, and I haven’t even mentioned the best player on the court, Kevin Durant, who logged 35 minutes @ Sacramento on Tuesday, as his 30-minute limit threshold has finally come off. Without Bogut, the Warriors allow 8.2 more points per 100 possessions and score 6.5 fewer, for a net-rating of 14.7. That’s an absolutely huge impact. The Warriors have beaten OKC on the road earlier this year, though neither KD nor RW played in that one. Now, I think OKC will get a chance to get some revenge, as they are the better team on the floor tonight from my standpoint.

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Johnny Banks

NCAAB
Delaware +9.5

NHL
Toronto
Anaheim
LA Kings

NBA
Oklahoma City +3

NFL
Tennessee +3

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Will Rogers

LA Kings
Anaheim/ Montreal UNDER 5.5
Washington/ Columbus UNDER 5.5

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Indian Cowboy

3* Bulls/ Knicks OVER 191

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Jimmy Boyd

Tennessee/ Jacksonville OVER 40

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Power Play Wins

Jacksonville Jaguars-4

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ARLON SPORTS (CBB)

Cleveland St +17

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JOE GAVAZZI (CBB)

2* Seton Hall -4.5

2* LSU -5.5

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JEFFREY JAMES (Play of the Day)

#101 – #102 Tennessee Titans – Jacksonville Jaguars – UNDER 40 (8:30 est) NFL Network

Both of these teams have been struggling – especially on offense. In their last 2 games 13 points has been the most either of these losers has been able to put up. Both QB situations are terrible and nobody can really be interested in this one. Look for sloppy preparation to lead to sloppy play and a very low scoring game here. Play the under as the play of the day.

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HARRY BONDI

NFL FREE PICK

JACKSONVILLE (-3) over Tennessee
8:30 p.m. ET
It’s an absolute clunker of a Thursday night game, but we still see some value in playing the Jags here. First off, while both teams have been dreadful this season, Jacksonville is playing with more fire and showing more promise, covering two out of its last three games, while the Titans are fading fast, dropping their last four against the spread and six of their last seven. Jacksonville has also played better when facing equally bad opponents, going 2-0 ATS this season vs. losing teams, while Tennessee is 1-6 in that same situation. The Titans won the first meeting between these teams at home, 16-14, but that was due mostly to two costly turnovers by the Jaguars, who outgained Tennessee in that game and had more first downs. Lay the short number.