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SB PROFESSOR
NFL
SO FAR: 23 Wins 0 System Losses.
When it's going like this you wish you had a play on every game, but neither of the 2 Saturday games fits the system.
MILLIONAIRES---UTAH ST
NO LIMIT CLUB---WASHINGTON REDSKINS
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PERFECT PLAY---WESTERN MICHIGAN
Right now Western Michigan is reeling from a 31-21 loss to the NIU Huskies and desperately searching to turn things around at the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl against the 9-3 Air Force Falcons. The Western Michigan broncos are a pass first team behind the arm of Zach Terrell. Terrell has completed 231 passes for 3,146 yards and 23 scores. Terrell has been able to spread the defense thin when he gets a chance to go deep. Expect to see him try and throw early and often. The throwing of Western Michigan and the rushing attack of the Cadets keep this game going back and forth but in the end, a few more passes caught will be the difference maker.
TAKE W. MICHIGAN
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INNER CIRCLE---COLORADO STATE.....OPENING WEEK BOWL GAME OF YEAR
The Colorado State Rams are heading out to the Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl to take on the #22 ranked Utah Utes. Colorado State is 10-2 on the year with 6 wins coming from within their division. The Colorado State Rams are a vertical threat with the capability to blow out their opponent on any given night. The Rams average 326 passing yards per game which has led to almost 40 total points every time out. QB Garrett Grayson has thrown for almost 4,000 yards with 32 scores. The Utes rely on QB Travis Wilson to try and open things up with both his arms and his legs. Wilson has thrown for over 2,000 yards with 17 scores to go along with 218 yards on the ground. The Utes are 91st in the league in passing yards and 59th in points per game. Utah has struggled to score all year long and it has come down to the fact that they have no huge playmaker. That has been their downfall most in all their losses. That's why as an underdog, Utah is a good play during the season. But today, they are a favorite and that's not a good role for them. TAKE COLORADO ST
First of all, let's put one thing behind us. The 49er's will play hard tonight; coaching problems or not. The players are pros. 35 to 45% of the players will be let go during the off-season so they are playing for their jobs. Add into the fact that there may be a new coaching staff makes them play even harder. With that being said, San Diego is not a good team. Coming off of two straight losses to quality competition, the Chargers will look to ease their pain but San Fran will not go away.
The Chargers are 11th in the league in passing yards per game but they haven't truly been a passing threat in at least four or five games. Philip Rivers is doing his best Dr. Jekyl impression and the results are less than stellar. Add to that fact injuries to Ryan Mathews and Keenan Allen and you might be spelling out a potential disaster Saturday night. The Niners franchise is crumbling as San Francisco loses its leader Coach Harbaugh is rumored to be on the way out the door. Nothing like a win tonight to really throw a wrench back at the 49ers management. TAKE SAN FRANCISCO
NHL | CALGARY at VANCOUVER
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (VANCOUVER) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season
50-7 since 1997. ( 87.7% | 38.9 units )
NHL | FLORIDA at PITTSBURGH
Play On - Any team against the money line (PITTSBURGH) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
92-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.0% | 53.7 units )
17-6 this year. ( 73.9% | 8.5 units )
NBA | INDIANA at DENVER
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 in a game involving two poor shooting teams (41.5-43.5%)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.6 units )
NBA | INDIANA at DENVER
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
84-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.4% | 40.1 units )
8-3 this year. ( 72.7% | 2.9 units )
NBA | INDIANA at DENVER
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%), on Saturday games
60-28 since 1997. ( 68.2% | 29.2 units )
CBB | LOUISVILLE at W KENTUCKY
Play On - Road favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (LOUISVILLE) an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CBB | SYRACUSE at VILLANOVA
Play Against - Any team (VILLANOVA) hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a good team (60% to 80%)
82-82 over the last 5 seasons. ( 50.0% | 50.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.0 units )
CBB | WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA
Play On - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (FLORIDA) an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )
CFB | NC STATE at UCF
Play On - Any team (UCF) poor rushing team (100-140 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
CFB | NC STATE at UCF
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NC STATE) off an upset win by 14 points or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season
39-17 since 1997. ( 69.6% | 0.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
CFB | NOTRE DAME at LSU
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 25 to 28 after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game
29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )
It’s the annual Hondo Christmas Special, boys and girls, so gather ’round the Bettor’s Guide tree and let Jolly St. Aitch, who compiled an impressive 9-6-1 record in Week 15 (2-1 in Best Bets), fill your stockings with an assortment of priceless goodies.
Redskins over Eagles: This just in: Skittish Sony executives, who pulled the plug on the release of “The Interview” because of an anonymous cyber threat, also may cancel Friday’s scheduled release of “Annie.” Apparently some frizzy-haired foster children don’t like how they are portrayed and have threatened to sic their dogs on the company’s cowering execs.
Chargers over 49ers: ’Tis the season for the Niners to have no reason, so if you put a little bit of coin, or even a little Bitcoin, on the still-breathing Chargers, you should be able to bolt to the winner’s circle.
I have one college football bowl selection and one NFL selection already posted below. May add college basketball on Saturday morning so check back then. Best of luck!
-EZ
Saturday NCAA basketball all 2 STAR plays:
2* (517) Virginia Commonwealth +1.5
2* (526) North Carolina +1
2* (527) Massachusetts +4.5
2* (552) College of Charleston +4
2* (584) North Carolina State +1.5
2* (622) Arkansas -17
2* (644) Michigan State -24
NFL
3* (103) San Diego Chargers +1
You can stick a fork in the 49ers because they are done. Last weeks loss in Seattle officially eliminated San Francisco from the playoffs. To make matters worse head coach Jim Harbaugh is a lame duck coach who will be gone at the end of the season. Another additional distraction is the release of defensive linemen Ray McDonald Wednesday after another issue with the law. San Francisco's defense has played well but McDonald will be missed and their leading tackler middle linebacker Chris Borland was injured last week and is most likely out for the season. The San Francisco offense has regressed this season and they have scored more than 17 points just once in the last eight games. The Chargers still have playoff hopes as they are one game back in the AFC wildcard picture but another loss will kill those hopes. I expect the Chargers to pick up a big win. Play on San Diego.
NCAAF
3* (209) South Alabama Jaguars -3
I have a hard time believing that Bowling Green will be excited to be playing in Montgomery Alabama in the Camellia Bowl, but I know that South Alabama will be very excited. This will be the first bowl game ever for the Jaguars and this will be like playing a home game with the South Alabama campus being just a short drive away. I expect for South Alabama to be successful against Bowling Green. The Jaguars come into this game on a two game losing streak but those losses were to South Carolina and Navy. Bowling Green comes into this game have lost three straight games and they allowed 92 total points in their last two losses against Ball State and Northern Illinois. The Jaguars offense should be successful against the Bowling Green pass defense that is the worst in the nation. The Falcons offense also doesn't help their defense much as Bowling Green is one of the worst teams in the nation in time of possession. Lay the points.
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