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INDIAN COWBOY (Bowl Game) 6-Unit Play. #209. Take South Alabama -2.5 over Bowling Green State (Saturday, December 20th @ 9:15pm est)
South Alabama is a 6-6 team but they want to be here and are motivated to play this game. Something you’ll want to take note is that South Alabama is that they are a top 65 defense to their credit and they are top 35 as it relates to pass defense as well. This is a team that is also hungry for a win as they come off a very difficult loss to Navy and South Carolina and now they hook up with a team they can likely do well offensively again. Note that BGSU is a defense outside the top 125 who is outside the top 120 in pass defense and also outside the top 100 in run defense as well. So what you have is a hungry South Alabama coming off back to back difficult opponents, has the better defense and hooks up against one of the weaker defenses in the country. Bowling Green comes off a loss to Northern Illinois in their Championship Game and it will difficlut for this team who got routed by Northern Illinois to get up for this game. This team has lost their last 3 contests including to a relatively weak Ball State team by 17 points. Let’s roll with the more motivated team and who has the better defense here to step up and likely do well on Saturday evening. This is also a small public fade to boot as well.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS (Bowl Game) 6-Unit Play. Take #218 Western Kentucky (-3.5) over Central Michigan (Noon, Wednesday, Dec. 24) Note: This is the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
This game is a total mismatch. I know that Central Michigan has an impressive defense, but their defense will not be able to slow down the Western Kentucky offense. The Western Kentucky offense broke 42 team and individual school records this season, and was lead by QB Brandon Doughty (over 4,000 yards passing and 44 touchdowns). Western Kentucky not only beats teams in the air, but they also have a solid ground game lead by Leon Allen and his nearly 1500 yards rushing. This line should be closer to a touchdown than a field goal, and even if it is close for a while, the WKU offense will pull away in the end. Central Michigan is just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 out of conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games on grass. Western Kentucky meanwhile is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on grass. Lay the points in this one, as these two teams are not as evenly matched as the line suggests. WKU to the bank.
7-Unit Play. Take Florida State (7/1) to win College Football Playoff.
Florida State has been going through the motions all year long, and now their is tremendous value on them to win it all. FSU has done what is necessary to go undefeated for two college football seasons. While every other team in the nation has had that slip up or two FSU hasn’t. They have blown teams out, played close games, fallen way behind, and regardless of the situation, come out on top. I believe wholeheartedly, that they are going to win the whole thing regardless of who their opponents are. Their defense is just good enough to slow down Oregon, and their offense is big enough and strong enough to score on any team in the nation. It doesn’t matter who comes out of the Ohio State/Alabama game as FSU is better than both of those teams. This squad is battle tested and mentally prepared for this playoff system. They have been there before and they know what it takes to win. FSU was hurt for most of the year on the defensive side of the ball, but this long layoff will allow this group to heal in time for their playoff push. Another thing to keep an eye on is the kicking game of Florida State. In big games such as these, many times it comes down to a kick, or the kicking game is essential throughout. FSU has the best kicker in the country, in Roberto Aguayo, and if it comes down to a close finish, my money is on him. I know that it will be difficult to buy in to FSU when they seemed to struggle at the end of the season, but this team took everyones best game and came out on top. They beat a solid Louisville team, a hot Miami team, a real good Georgia Tech team, a good Clemson team, and a surging Notre Dame team. Each and every night they came out on top, and they will do it again, two more times.
4* Utah -2.5 Colorado St 3:30 pm (Las Vegas)
3* OVER 53.5 Camellia Bowl 9:15 pm (B Green/S Alabama)
NFL Top Opinion:
San Francisco -1 San Diego - 8:25 pm CBS - Sat NFL Marquee
Bowl Top Opinions:
South Alabama -2.5 Bowling Green - 9:15 pm Espn (Camellia)
Marquee TRIPLE - OVER 53.5 Camellia Bowl (Bowling Green/ S Alabama) - 9:15 pm Espn
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 58.5 Idaho Potato Bowl (West Michigan/ Air Force) 5:45 Espn
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 44.5 New Mexico Bowl (UTEP/ Utah St) 2:20 Espn
Regular Opinions:
UL-Lafayette +1.5 Nevada - 11 am Espn (New Orleans)
Air Force +2 Western Michigan - 5:45 pm Espn (Idaho Potato)
Had to pickem:
UTEP +10 Utah St - 2:20 pm Espn (New Mexico)
Marquee SINGLE - UNDER 57.5 Las Vegas Bowl (Utah/ Colorado St) 3:30 ABC
Marquee SINGLE - OVER 63.5 New Orleans Bowl (Nevada/ ULL) 11 am Espn
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