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ARKANSAS STATE (+3.5) over Toledo
9 p.m. ET
We like the situation here for Arkansas State, which will be very comfortable with its surroundings here as it heads to Birmingham for a fourth-straight bowl appearance. The Red Wolves have also been very good when playing top competition, going 3-0 ATS against winning teams this season and 12-2 ATS the last three years. Toledo, meanwhile, is just 1-5 ATS in its last six bowl game appearances and MAC bowl favorites have been money eaters over the last few years. Take those points!
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