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20* Washington Wizards +6
20* Boston Celtics +7½
20* Miami Heat +15
20* St. Joseph's -9
20* Miami (OH) +12
20* Ohio +3
20* Akron -3
20* Central Florida +2
20* Indiana St +3½
20* LSU / Mississippi Under 146½
20* Coll Charleston +6
20* Drake / Loyola-Chicago Over 120
20* Duquesne / St Louis Under 135½
20* Stanford / California Over 126
20* NC-Greensboro +4
20* South Dakota St -9½
20* North Dakota St +1
Doc Sports
7-Unit NBA Game of the Year #709 Take Memphis/Brooklyn UNDER 189.5 (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
The Brooklyn offense has just been terrible lately, and they have averaged less than 88 points per game in their last six contests, and that is with a breakout performance last time out against the Rockets that saw them score 99 to bring that average way up. But other than that they have not sniffed the century mark in awhile. Their defense, however, has been very solid and the only reason they have been somewhat competitive recently. But this is a team that is definitely trending to the under as five of their last six games have gone under the posted number. If this team is struggling to put up points against teams like Dallas, Miami, Boston and Philly then they are in for a real tough one tonight against the Grizzlies. Memphis hasn't been consistent with defense lately as we would expect, but they should be able to keep Brooklyn down to a real low score tonight, and there is also a decent chance for a Memphis blowout tonight, which we think bodes well for the under here. Brooklyn is one of the strongest under teams in the league this season at 24-14. This is a battle of two Top-10 defenses, and we think this total is posted at least five points too high.
7-Unit Play. #716. Take Denver -2.5 over Dallas (Wednesdsay @ 9:05pm est)
Indeed we will roll with Denver here at home against Dallas though it seems a bit scary. Note that Denver is starting to play better and they are starting to get a little healthier and more confident. The coaching staff has consistently taken a knock of late but look for that to slowly change as Denver does have the talent to compete well in the West. Is it scary to go against Dallas, yes. But then again, going against Dallas at the right spots can pay great dividends. Know that Dallas comes off a big win overtime win against Sacramento but struggled against the Clippers, Detroit and Brookly on the road. Look for Dallas who faces Denver for the first time since the Rondo trade to get a very competitive Denver team on the road here. Dallas has struggled with Denver losing 5 out of the last 7 contests to this team and Denver is slowly on a power ranking up tick as well having won 4 straight including beating Sacramento on the road by double-digits, Orlando at home, Minnesota on the road and routing Memphis at home as this team first showed bite over the holidays nearly beating the Bulls on the road. In the NBA it is about spots, which is why we have done well going 4-0 of late with 4 straight winning days and 10-2-2 over the last 2 weeks and went 94-62 (60%) for +12,890 last year, it is truly about spots. And in this spot, with Denver having revenge, good public fade, Dallas off a overtime win and Denver facing Rondo for the first time since the trade, as well as the Mavs being 1-10 ATS in their last 11 contests against the Western Conference as well as the Nuggets 30-11 ATS in their last 41 games when facing a team with a winning road record, look for this contest to be very competitive and quite possibly Denver to win by 7-9 points this evening. You can certainly get a better line than -2.5 but we will roll with that for now and hopefully the hook will not get us. But we do have Denver by about 7-9 this evening.
dime bet – 800 Northwestern 2.0 (-110) vs 799 Illinois
Analysis:
Illinois (-2) at Northwestern 9:00 ET BIG10TV
1* Northwestern (+2)
You can tune into BIG10TV at 9:00 ET tonight to watch the visiting Illini take on in-state and Big 10 rival, Northwestern. Each team enters off a loss with 6 losses for the season and just 1 win in Big 10 play. There the similarities end as I see definitive edges for the home team tonight.
Much was expected of Illinois this season as they have 5 returning starters in the fold, following a 20 win season of last year and 2nd round NIT appearance. They would be led by Ravonte Rice, a Drake transfer, who averaged 16 PPG and 6 RPG last year. As a 5th year senior, Rice was the No. 4 returning scorer in the Big 10 from last season. The Illini finished non-con play at 10-3 SU. Though they began the Big 10 season 0-2 SU ATS with losses by 8 at Michigan and 16 at Ohio St. that was not the worst news! For, it was at that time that Rice who was again leading the team in scoring, injured his hand and is now out 4 to 6 weeks following surgery. Predictably, the Illini banded together for a huge effort at home vs. highly regarded Maryland. It resulted in a 64-57 home win vs. the Terps. Just as predictably, the flat spot ensued in their Sunday meeting at Nebraska. With little offensive continuity, the Illini dropped a 53-43 road decision, bringing their record to 0-4 SU ATS in road games with every loss by 8 or more points. This type of performance in Big 10 play is not unusual under 3rd year HC Groce. For once the bell rings for league action, the Illini are 19-40 ATS in conference play under Groce. Do not expect their fortunes to improve on the road today against in their in-state league rival.
Northwestern is led by 2nd year Chris Collins, the son of NBA player, Doug Collins. Chris is a former Duke player and long-time Duke Asst. beside Coach K. With 4 RS from his 14 win team of last season, the Wildcats have built on the fundamentals that Collins coaches to enter today’s play at 10-6 SU. Though they are just 1-2 SU in Big 10 play, they do have a victory at Rutgers (who just beat Wisconsin). Losses are to Wisconsin and on Sunday to Michigan St. As 14 point road dog at East Lansing, they gave the Spartans all they could handle before losing an OT decision (84-77). In that game, the Wildcats were 12 of 25 from behind the arc. The strength of this team is in the backcourt. With a trio of guards in Trey Demps, Cobb and frosh McIntosh all averaging 12 PPG, 7 footer Olah patrols the interior, averaging 10 points, 7 boards and nearly 2 blocks per game. The Northwestern improvement has been reflected in recent pointspread success, which sees the Wildcats enter today’s contest on a 6-2 ATS run.
Play the improved Northwestern team at this value home dog price against a fading Illini team, who will continue their lack of road ability without star player Rice. Last year as home dog, Northwestern won this matchup outright (49-43). In a game where the total is just 123 points, expect another low scoring game that is won by the host again this year
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