Tweet
INDIAN COWBOY
7-Unit Play #302 Take Seattle-7.5 over Green Bay (Sunday @ 3:05pm est)
Thisis going to be a great game and though Green Bay has revenge here, it is hardfor us to pass up Seattle by a touchdown at home. And it’s obvious that thepublic is on Green Bay as well to a tune of 65/35 here which we like. Note thatSeattle, has won back to back games against Green Bay and even though Green Bayhad revenge from the replacement ref situation, they still were able to routthis team at home to leave no doubt. Seattle has won 36-16 and 14-12 againstGreen Bay and note this is one of the playoff teams ATS wise in the history ofa coach in Pete Carroll and yet the public still wants to take the points witharguably the best quarterback of this generation in Aaron Rodgers. This team is6-0-1 ATS over their last 7 games with the only push coming against SanFrancisco. This team is 7-1-1 ATS over their last 9 games and though Green Baywas able to beat a very good Cowboys team, things will be much tougher on theroad, against the noise and with a defense that is well aware of the hobbledAaron Rodgers and will test him in every possible facet. If the Packersstruggled a bit against the Cowboys at home, they are going to have their handsfull against a Seattle defense who is significantly better - on the road atthat - with a hobbled QB who has already lost by 20 points earlier this yearwhen he was healthy with revenge from the replacement ref situation. Let's rollwith Seattle here as they are indeed the better team and the only team webelieve that can give them a run is quite possibly an elite mobile quarterbackand likely the Indianapolis Colts actually. The Packers have struggled a bit onField turf as well as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on Field turf andthe Seahawks are 5-1 ATS over their last 6 playoff games, the Seahawks are37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 home games and Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last10 road games versus a team with a winning home record as well.
3-Unit Play #303 Take Under 54 Indianapolis vs. New England (Sunday @ 6:40pm est)
Everyonebelieves this game will be high scoring, which is why we believe this game willbe low scoring. As the last game on the board on Sunday evening, the Over willbe pounded here and its a quality public fade with both these offenses. Did yousee what this Colts defense against the Broncos? Sure Peyton was injured butthe Colts learned a significant amount from their opening loss to the Broncos.Slowly but surely they gained confidence in the 3rd quarter of the first game,the 4th quarter - and then in their rematch they were confident from theopening coin toss because they knew they can keep up. Such is the EXACT samesituation here with the Patriots as this team was blown out by the Patriots thefirst time they faced each other and Brady is 3-0 lifetime against Luck. Butthat very well might change here but more importantly, the total is likely todip below the posted total as the Colts deal with Peyton Manning's duplicatehere in Tom Brady. An unmobile pocket passer that is elite but who they willtry to confuse. And though Peyton was injured it was not as if he was lame andparalyzed, he can still throw and he is still Peyton Manning so you have togive this Colts defense some credit here. This is the same team that went 6-3on the road this year straight up, gave up 42 points to New England in theirlast game and likely finally steps up here this time around, gave up 13 pointsto Denver on the road, gave up 13 points to the Bengal’s at home,10 points to Tennessee on the road, 10 points to Houston, 24 points toCleveland on the road, 27 points to Washington and 3 points to Jacksonville.Outside of the Cowboy game which this team got caught off guard with, don't besurprised to see this game likely goes below the posted total. New England iscertainly not happy with giving up 31 points to Baltimore and likely steps updefensively against Luck as they take the challenge that Coach B sets to thisdefense. Look for this game to likely step up defensively and likely to goUnder the posted total by a score of 24-21 this Sunday evening.
7-Unit Play #302 Take Seattle-7.5 over Green Bay (Sunday @ 3:05pm est)
Thisis going to be a great game and though Green Bay has revenge here, it is hardfor us to pass up Seattle by a touchdown at home. And it’s obvious that thepublic is on Green Bay as well to a tune of 65/35 here which we like. Note thatSeattle, has won back to back games against Green Bay and even though Green Bayhad revenge from the replacement ref situation, they still were able to routthis team at home to leave no doubt. Seattle has won 36-16 and 14-12 againstGreen Bay and note this is one of the playoff teams ATS wise in the history ofa coach in Pete Carroll and yet the public still wants to take the points witharguably the best quarterback of this generation in Aaron Rodgers. This team is6-0-1 ATS over their last 7 games with the only push coming against SanFrancisco. This team is 7-1-1 ATS over their last 9 games and though Green Baywas able to beat a very good Cowboys team, things will be much tougher on theroad, against the noise and with a defense that is well aware of the hobbledAaron Rodgers and will test him in every possible facet. If the Packersstruggled a bit against the Cowboys at home, they are going to have their handsfull against a Seattle defense who is significantly better - on the road atthat - with a hobbled QB who has already lost by 20 points earlier this yearwhen he was healthy with revenge from the replacement ref situation. Let's rollwith Seattle here as they are indeed the better team and the only team webelieve that can give them a run is quite possibly an elite mobile quarterbackand likely the Indianapolis Colts actually. The Packers have struggled a bit onField turf as well as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on Field turf andthe Seahawks are 5-1 ATS over their last 6 playoff games, the Seahawks are37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 home games and Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last10 road games versus a team with a winning home record as well.
3-Unit Play #303 Take Under 54 Indianapolis vs. New England (Sunday @ 6:40pm est)
Everyonebelieves this game will be high scoring, which is why we believe this game willbe low scoring. As the last game on the board on Sunday evening, the Over willbe pounded here and its a quality public fade with both these offenses. Did yousee what this Colts defense against the Broncos? Sure Peyton was injured butthe Colts learned a significant amount from their opening loss to the Broncos.Slowly but surely they gained confidence in the 3rd quarter of the first game,the 4th quarter - and then in their rematch they were confident from theopening coin toss because they knew they can keep up. Such is the EXACT samesituation here with the Patriots as this team was blown out by the Patriots thefirst time they faced each other and Brady is 3-0 lifetime against Luck. Butthat very well might change here but more importantly, the total is likely todip below the posted total as the Colts deal with Peyton Manning's duplicatehere in Tom Brady. An unmobile pocket passer that is elite but who they willtry to confuse. And though Peyton was injured it was not as if he was lame andparalyzed, he can still throw and he is still Peyton Manning so you have togive this Colts defense some credit here. This is the same team that went 6-3on the road this year straight up, gave up 42 points to New England in theirlast game and likely finally steps up here this time around, gave up 13 pointsto Denver on the road, gave up 13 points to the Bengal’s at home,10 points to Tennessee on the road, 10 points to Houston, 24 points toCleveland on the road, 27 points to Washington and 3 points to Jacksonville.Outside of the Cowboy game which this team got caught off guard with, don't besurprised to see this game likely goes below the posted total. New England iscertainly not happy with giving up 31 points to Baltimore and likely steps updefensively against Luck as they take the challenge that Coach B sets to thisdefense. Look for this game to likely step up defensively and likely to goUnder the posted total by a score of 24-21 this Sunday evening.
Comment