1-30-15

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Joe Gavazzi NBA


4% Minnesota -4
3% Atlanta -6.5
3% Toronto -7
3% Houston -6

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DOC SPORTS (NHL)
8-unit Play Take #7 Chicago Blackhawks (-110) over Anaheim Ducks (10:05pm EST) On the surface, tonight’s game between the Chicago Blackhawks and Anaheim Ducks looks like a fairly evenly-matched affair. The Hawks come in at 30-16-2 with 62 points, while the Ducks are 32-10-6 with 70 points. You’d probably even give Anaheim the leg up considering they have the better record, have won six straight games overall, and the fact that they’re 18-5-3 at home. But a closer look into the numbers tells a different story. First off, Chicago has a +39 goal differential this season while Anaheim checks in at just +19. The Ducks are an amazing 22-0-6 in 28 games decided by one goal this season, which has contributed significantly to their success. Some teams are better in tight games, but there’s no question that no team can sustain that kind of record in one-goal contests. They’ve been fortunate to say the least. Chicago has also played the much tougher schedule this season, which skews the overall records of these teams. Chicago’s schedule is rated as 5th toughest in the NHL, while Anaheim’s is only 22nd. Finally, Chicago has dealt with more injuries than Anaheim this season. The Hawks are still missing some guys, but the key pieces are healthy now. Add it all up, and Anaheim is fortunate to be where they are. Winning close games, playing an easy schedule and staying healthy are the main reasons why the Ducks have a better record than Chicago. But make no mistake; the Blackhawks are the better squad overall despite the records. Anaheim will also be playing on the second leg of a back-to-back tonight, so Chicago will be the more rested squad. Take Chicago as our 8-unit Western Conference Game of the Year.

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DOC SPORTS (NBA)
(3*) Take Portland +7 over Atlanta
(3*) Take Toronto -7 over Brooklyn
(3*) Take LA Clippers -6 over New Orleans

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MIKE DAVIS
3* Over 206 – Golden St. vs Utah
CBB – Dark today

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Wolkosky Milan




20* Trailblazers / Hawks Under 204
20* Mavericks / Heat Over 190½
20* Chicago Bulls +7




20* Brown / Cornell Over 133
20* Marist / Niagara Over 127½
20* Oregon St / Arizona Over 120

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SB Professor Original NBA Picks


System Plays:
Toronto -7
Phoenix -7




Additional Play:
Cleveland -7

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Maddux

Added

10* - Brown +5

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Jason Sharpe 8 Unit Total Of The Year

JASON SHARPE (CBB)

8 Unit Play Take #827 ‘over’ 142.5 Oregon/Arizona State (8:00pm est):

Arizona State head coach Herb Sendek has mixed and matched different lineups all year long as he added four junior college transfers and three freshman to the team this past year. It’s been a constant process of figuring out who can and can’t do what on the floor. It looks like he’s starting to figure things out as Arizona State has played very well offensively in their last four games as they’ve averaged 75 points per game and has put up 70 or more points in each one of those contests. What makes this even more impressive is that three of those four teams are ranked in the top half of the Pac-12 conference in defense. The 73 points they scored last game versus Oregon State, the 79 against California and the 78 points scored against Colorado EACH were the most points that these teams have allowed in regulation time to any opponent this year. ASU has played a schedule that’s faced some of the toughest defenses in the country this season. When you eliminate the five defensive teams they’ve faced who are ranked in the top 25 in team defensive efficiency this year you see that ASU has scored 68 points or more in 14 of the other 16 games. The good news here is they get an Oregon squad who is ranked 11th in defense in the Pac-12 this year and is easily the worst ranked defense that they’ve faced of the 12 teams they’ve played this season who play in a major conference. Also one of the big reasons for their turnaround has had to do with freshman Tra Holder taking over the point guard position. Holder has been in and out of the ASU starting lineup this season but he seems to have really settled in the last few weeks and played over 30 minutes in three of their last four games.

The Oregon Ducks lead the Pac-12 in tempo coming into this contest. This is a bad defensive basketball team whose goal is usually to try and outscore their opponents. The Ducks made a switch in the middle of the season in their starting lineup but have recently went back to freshman Ahmaad Rorie at the point guard spot. Rorie appears to be the quickest of the Duck players and this is the type of play that head coach Dana Altman stresses. Altman has spoken quite a bit of late about wanting his team to play even faster as he says their not playing fast enough right now. This is a huge quote from a coach when your betting on a total as it sounds like the game plan for Oregon going forward is to push the pace even more than before. Oregon games this season are averaging 148 points per game combined which is more than this posted total here. They’ve went above the total in 4 of their last 5 road contests while ASU has went ‘over’ the total in 7 of their last 8 home games coming into this one.

Play ‘over’ the total here. Big weekend of Super Bowl action coming up. My 6 unit NFL Game of the Month is Sunday as I look to put a big fat exclamation point on what’s been a fantastic season so far this football season as I have broken my overall profits won for a season. My NFL plays have been on fire of late winning 8 of my last 11 overall and I nailed last year’s Super Bowl winner as well. Get on board and end the season a big winner.

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January 30: Sacramento {B} bet - This is a confirmed official Exterminator bet!









All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.



Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

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FORMULA CAPPER



NHL
1 unit #7 Blackhawks moneyline -115
1 unit #5 Predators/Avalanche over 5.5 goals +105

NBA
1 unit #807 Rockets -6 point spread -110
1 unit #815 Warriors -10 point spread -110

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Sports Mountain

CBB

820 Princeton +5

840 Western Illinois +2

835 Manhatten vs Sienna Over 142

NHL
Chicago -110 ML
STL -125 ML
Colo -125 ML

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Nelly

Blazers +7

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Hall of Fame / William Holloway

828 Arizona State(-6)

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Worlds Worst Picker

Manhattan
Oregon
Princeton

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Maddux

Added

10* - Brown +5

10* 801 minn -3.5