2-1-15

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NCAA Basketball Picks

California at Washington

The Golden Bears head to Washington today to face a Huskies team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games versus Pac-12 opponents. California is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: California (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 1 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 805-806: Miami (FL) at Florida State (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 61.013; Florida State 65.117 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 4 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2 Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+2)

Game 807-808: Oakland at Youngstown State (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 55.361; Youngstown State 47.668 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Oakland by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-2 1/2)

Game 809-810: Michigan at Michigan State (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 60.254; Michigan State 72.246 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 12 Vegas Line: Michigan State by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-9 1/2)

Game 811-812: Cincinnati at East Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 64.543; East Carolina 58.529 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 6 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+9 1/2)

Game 813-814: Fordham at Dayton (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 49.995; Dayton 71.318 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 21 1/2 Vegas Line: Dayton by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-16 1/2)

Game 815-816: Utah at USC (2:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 75.272; USC 60.185 Dunkel Line: Utah by 15 Vegas Line: Utah by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (-11 1/2)

Game 817-818: Connecticut at Houston (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 60.735; Houston 54.958 Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 6 Vegas Line: Connecticut by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+8 1/2)

Game 819-820: California at Washington (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: California 56.524; Washington 60.648 Dunkel Line: Washington by 4 Vegas Line: Washington by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: California (+7 1/2)

Game 821-822: Quinnipiac at Niagara (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 52.315; Niagara 48.208 Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 4 Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+6 1/2)

Game 823-824: Marist at Canisius (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marist 41.948; Canisius 60.938 Dunkel Line: Canisius by 19 Vegas Line: Canisius by 12 Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-12)

Game 825-826: Manhattan at Monmouth (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 54.074; Monmouth 53.255 Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 1 Vegas Line: Monmouth by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+3 1/2)

Game 827-828: North Dakota State at Western Illinois (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 54.614; Western Illinois 46.555 Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 8 Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-5 1/2)

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Boston

The Heat head to Boston today to face the Celtics and come into the contest with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games versus Atlantic Division opponents. Miami is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 1 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Miami at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 119.948; Boston 118.317 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 186 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3 1/2); Over

Game 803-804: LA Lakers at New York (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 112.385; New York 113.407 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 186 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 190 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+3); Under

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

CBB | FORDHAM at DAYTON
Play On – A road team (FORDHAM) a horrible offensive team (<=63 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

CBB | MIAMI at FLORIDA ST
Play On – A road team vs. the money line (MIAMI) after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in February games
216-278 over the last 5 seasons. ( 43.7% | -1.5 units )

CBB | OAKLAND at YOUNGSTOWN ST
Play Against – Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (OAKLAND) hot team – having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, playing only their 3rd game in a week
142-82 since 1997. ( 63.4% | 51.8 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

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NBA

Hot Teams
— Knicks won four of their last six games (1-5 HF).

Cold Teams
— Celtics lost three of their last four games (5-5 HF). Miami lost four of its last six games (4-0 last four AU).
— Lakers lost nine of their last ten games (0-3-1 last four AU).

Series Records
— Celtics lost seven of last ten games with Miami.
— Lakers won nine of last twelve games against New York.

Totals
— Last eight Miami road games stayed under the total.
— Under is 8-0-2 in Lakers’ last ten road games.

Back-to-Backs
— None

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NBA | MIAMI at BOSTON
Play Over – Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points making 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, on Sunday games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

NBA | MIAMI at BOSTON
Play On – Any team vs the money line (BOSTON) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 80 points
122-83 since 1997. ( 59.5% | 50.7 units )

NBA | LA LAKERS at NEW YORK
Play Under – Any team vs. the 1rst half line playing with 2 days rest, on Sunday games
278-172 since 1997. ( 61.8% | 88.8 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% | -1.4 units )

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FORMULA CAPPER

Recap: Another great day yesterday! we go 7-4 with a push. Today’s the big day! The super bowl. Hope you all enjoy the game and I’m sorry to anyone who lives in the New Hampshire area. On top of the superbowl, we’ve got a big soccer day!

NFL
1 unit #102 Seattle Seahawks moneyline -110

England Premier League Soccer
1 unit #55 Southampton/Swansea over 2.5 goals +115

Spanish La Liga Soccer
1 unit #121 Barcelona -2 goal spread +105

Germany Bundesliga Soccer
3 units #131 Hertha Berlin/Werder Bremen over 2.5 goals -130
3 units #134 Hoffenheim/Augsburg over 2.5 goals -126

France Ligue 1 Soccer
1 unit #154 Guingamp/Bordeaux over 2.5 goals +125

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Scott Delaney
100 DIME
Linemakers Lock


Seattle

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Sean Michaels
100 DIME
Max Wager
New Engand

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Brad Wilton
100 DIME
Title Game Winner # 2 in a Row
Seattle

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BIG AL's SUPER BOWL OVER/UNDER WINNER!

Our Selection: Seahawks/Patriots 'under' Line: 48 Rating: Opinion
Analysis: At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots to go 'under' the total. The Seahawks' defense has been pretty special over the past eight games. They've allowed just 78 points, or less than 10 points per game. Five of those eight games have gone 'under' the total, but one of the three 'overs' -- their 28-22 win vs. Green Bay -- only went 'over' the total due to the overtime session. New England has posted playoff scores of 35 and 45, but those two games were against Indianapolis and Baltimore. And neither of those teams were in the same class as this Seahawks club. Seattle played two quarterbacks this season in the class of Tom Brady: Aaron Rodgers (twice) and Peyton Manning. In those three games, the Seahawks held Green Bay to an average of 19 ppg, and held Manning's Broncos to 20. I foresee a similar result in this Super Bowl, and I feel the current over/under line is a bit inflated due to New England's season offensive numbers (against inferior clubs). For technical support, consider that NFL games have gone 'under' the total in 76 of 130 games (58.4%) over the past 35 years if both teams' last two games totaled at least 48 points. With Seattle coming in off 31-17 and 28-22 victories, and New England off 35-31 and 45-7 wins, we'll play the 'under' in the Super Bowl.

BIG AL's TOP SUPER BOWL PROP WAGER -- NATIONAL ANTHEM

Our Selection: National Anthem 'under' Line: 122.5 seconds Rating: Opinion
Analysis: I will take the under 122.5 seconds in the National Anthem. Idina Menzel has sung the National Anthem twice at sporting events. In 2008, her version lasted 95 seconds at the regular season meeting between the New York Giants and New England Patriots. And, then, in 2014, at the MLB All-Star Game, her version lasted 120 seconds. I expect this version to be much closer to the All-Star Game version, of course, since it was the most recent. But at that performance, she actually paused three seconds to let Air Force Thunderbird planes fly overhead. Of course, there may (or may not) be Air Force planes scheduled to fly over the stadium during her performance at this Super Bowl. Regardless, the 'under' 122.5 seconds is the better bet. Take the 'under.'

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Super Bowl Sunday

2* = New England(light Play)

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SIXTH SENSE

1* Seattle Seahawks +1

First prop bet for Super Bowl XLIX
Total FG’s made over 3.5 +115

Second prop bet
Yes game will be tied after 0-0 -110

Third prop bet for Super Bowl XLIX
Brady under 265.5 passing yards -110

Fourth prop bet
Vereen over 3.5 receptions +120

Fifth prop bet for Super Bowl XLIX
Amendola over 2.5 receptions +135

Sixth prop bet
Turbin over 14.5 rushing yes -110

Seventh prop bet for Super Bowl XLIX
Patriots convert 4th down conversion +130

Eighth prop bet
Seahawks convert 4th down conversion +155

Ninth prop bet for Super Bowl XLIX
No score in first 6 minutes -125

Tenth prop bet
Sea +6.5 & under 54.5 teaser -105

Eleventh prop bet for Super Bowl XLIX
Patriots under 24.5 points -120 must get at least 24

Twelfth prop bet
Lynch ov 89.5 rushing yds -110

Thirteenth prop bet for Super Bowl XLIX
Patriots under 100.5 rushing yds -150
Anything 92 yds or better is good

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XpertPicks

SUNDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play New England -1 over Seattle
6:30 PM EST

Seattle has lost 17 of the last 25 games against the spread when playing with two weeks or more of rest and they have lost 49 of the last 88 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game. Seattle has lost 19 of the last 34 games against the spread vs. AFC East Division Opponents and they are only averaging 4 points at halftime in their last three games.


SUPER BOWL PROPOSITION PLAYS

Play OVER 47 Points in the game
Play New England to win the 1st quarter
Play New England to win the 1st half
Play Legarrette Blount to score the 1st TD of the game (+700)
Play Rob Gronkowski to score the 1st TD in the game (+600)

Play OVER 44.5 yards for the longest TD in the game
Play OVER 44.5 yards for the longest Field Goal in the game

Play New England to score first in the game

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Rickenbach NFL *10* Top Play NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS vs Seattle @ 6:30 ET Sunday, February 1st - The Patriots are on a mission and, as tough as it is to repeat as NFL Champions, the Seahawks face an even tougher task then most teams who have earned themselves the opportunity to repeat. Note that Seattle is facing New England, and mastermind coach Bill Belichick, when he's off of back to back Super Bowl losses. The Patriots, in their last two visits to the Super Bowl, lost to the Giants each time. One defeat occurred in 2008 and the most recent loss occurred in 2012. By the way, the last team to repeat as Super Bowl Champions was the Patriots when they won it back to back in 2004 and 2005. For the Pats and Belichick, this offers even more motivation for this Super Bowl. The Patriots want to take away the sting of losing in their last two trips to the big game and they also want to maintain their status as the only team in this century to repeat as Super Bowl Champs. That's right, the last team to do it was Denver back in '98 and '99. Motivation and history aside here, the biggest key to this play is that no team is playing as complete as football is New England is right now. The power running game, the physical defense, an elite quarterback, and all of these factors are strengthened by having an amazing head coach. As for the Seahawks, while I certainly respect their solid defense and the success that Russell Wilson has had on the other side of the ball for Seattle, there is no doubt the Hawks do not belong in this game. Green Bay had them beat in the NFC Championship Game and let's not forget that the Packers barely slipped by the Cowboys in the Divisional Round. With injuries to Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas (even if they turn out to be minor and they do play in the Super Bowl) will certainly not help matters for a Hawks defense that struggled earlier this season when they were not healthy. After their miracle comeback win over the Packers, the Seahawks luck runs out here. Belichick and the Pats machine (that truly is what they are, a machine with amazing systems), will hoist the trophy this year. Play New England as a *10* Top Play.

6:30p Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots
Take: Total 48½ un-105 in 9h

Rickenbach NFL *8* UNDER the total in Super Bowl @ 6:30 ET Sunday, February 1st - Though we felt somewhat burned by the fact that the Patriots game did not go over the total in the divisional round, credit must certainly be given to the Pats defense for shutting down Andrew Luck and the Colts. That said, another UNDER result coming New England's way (with more solid defense) in the Super Bowl should not surprise. The last 3 times the Pats were in the Super Bowl the average total points scored has been 38. Couple that with the fact that the Seahawks result of an over in the NFC Championship Game was a miracle and you have some nice value with the lofty posted total in the Super Bowl this year. Note that the Seahawks game was 19-7 with just over two minutes left when the crazy Seattle comeback ensued. That said, note that Seattle had seen 5 of their prior 7 games stay under the total before their crazy finish against the Packers. As for the Patriots, each of their last 3 games away from home has stayed under the total. Also, New England is on a long-term 22-11 run to the UNDER in playoff games. Play UNDER the total in the Super Bowl as an *8* selection.

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Sports Locksmith
(5-2)(+15.2*) Sat.
NCAAB:
Manhattan +3.5 -110 1* (2:00 Eastern)

Utah -12 -110 2* (2:30 Eastern)


NBA:
Boston -3.5 -110 1* (1:00 Eastern)

NFL:

Chairman's Play:

Seattle Pick'em -110 5* (6:30 Eastern)

If you want to have some fun we provided you all with our prop bets and the units we placed on each one! Hope you enjoy!

Super Bowl Prop Bets:
No Team Unanswered Score More Than Three Times +170 2* (Best Bet)
Belichick Wears Grey Hoodie -155 .5*
Winning Team Gatorade Dump On Head Coach Color:Orange +125 .25*

Katy Perry Wears Pants/Shorts/Any Other +165 .25*

Legarrette Blount Scores Touchdown +110 .5*
Marshawn Lynch Scores Touchdown -150 .5*
Russell Wilson MVIP +300 ..5*
Longest TD Under 44.5 Yards -115 .5*
Shortest TD Over 1.5 Yards -115 .25*
Player To Score First Touchdown In The Game: Marshawn Lynch +450 .25*