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7-Unit Play. #801. Take Jacksonville State +17 over Memphis (Wednesday @ 8pm est)
Indeed we will take the ugliest underdog on the card today it seems but it follows the same theory that we used for Alabama A&M just earlier this week over Texas Southern. Jacksonville State is a team that will get up to play one of the elite teams this year in Memphis as this is a contest they will certainly have looked forward to for quite some time. This is why they played miserably against Tennessee State losing 45-43 in game they should have won as the entire coaching staff and players will tell you. Maybe they were looking ahead to this game likely which is why they had a look ahead and played so terribly. Will this team do what Alabama A&M did and nearly beat Texas Southern, no. But they should be able to hang fairly tough in a low scoring game. We’re not huge fans of Memphis coming off a loss to Gonzaga but then again, with the 70/30 split of the public on Memphis, even though they come off a loss and the line is a bit lower than expected, combine that with Jackonsville State coming off one of their worst losses of the year, this is a good spot here for Jacksonville State. Note this is the same team that put up 82 points against Belmont, beat Eastern Kentucky, Dartmout and Winthrop earlier this season and with Memphis having a big showdown with Temple on the horizon they are likely looking for bigger fish to fry. The Gamecocks of Jackonsville State are 4-0 ATS in non-conference games and the Tigers of Memphis are just 1-4 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage of 40% or less. What you’ll get is Jacksonville State’s best effort all year and Memphis likely looking ahead. Let’s hold our noses once again but this is likely a 10-14 point differential this evening.
This Irish Catholic rivalry has persisted for many years through multiple sports regardless of conference affiliation. Now, the teams are locked into annual meetings as members of the ACC. Last year, Notre Dame escaped with victories of 73-69 and 76-73. Tonight’s game figures to be another closely contested rivalry contest. Notre Dame is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. Following a 77-73 win on this court against Duke on January 28th, the Fighting Irish came flat in a 76-72 upset as 5 point road chalk at Pitt on Saturday. Some might expect a bounce back at home following that defeat. A more savvy handicapper realizes that 15th year Notre Dame HC Brey is just 23-44 ATS at home following a loss, including 1-9 ATS in that role last season. In addition, this has been a poor price point for Brey, who is 23-34 ATS as a favorite of 12 or more points on this court. That works in tandem with the fact that Notre Dame is just 4-13 ATS as home chalk L2Y. Enter Boston College. Under 1st year HC Jim Christian’s tutelage (Kent, TCU, Ohio), the Eagles have soared to a 9-11 SU mark, surpassing their 8 victories of last year. The Eagles have been most resilient following a spread loss this season, posting a 4-0 ATS mark after losing to the impost in their previous game. With Boston College off an embarrassing 64-49 loss at Clemson on Saturday, look for a bounce back as double digit rivalry dog against a Notre Dame team who has proven to be at their least profitable in this role.
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