2-5-15

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DHAYES2

1* Georgia St/SMU ML Parlay +109

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Kelso

Long Beach State

Cleveland Cavaliers

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DOC SPORTS (NBA)

4-Unit Play #501 Take Washington -1.5 over Charlotte (7 p.m. EST, Thursday)
This is one of those games where we will side with the sportsbooks. It seems as if they set this line low to attract Hornets money. But we think that the Wizards are the clear play here. They are the better team and are in a great bounce-back position after losing to the Hawks last night. This is kind of like when baseball players swing the bat with a weighted bat in the on-deck circle. The Hawks are the weighted bat in this situation and the better team should be able to dominate the Hornets tonight. This also sets up a great revenge spot since the Hornets beat the Wizards in DC a few nights ago, but Washington will make the necessary adjustments and win this game pretty comfortably.

4-Unit Play #503 Take LA Clippers +4.5 over Cleveland (8 p.m. EST, Thursday)
We think that the Clippers can shut down LeBron James, or at least slow him down tonight, and we think that the visitors have a great chance to win this game straight out. At the very least they should cover. The Clippers are one of those teams that can make you scratch your head on any given night, but this team does tend to bounce back well from bad losses, and they had one of their worst last time out as they let Brooklyn come back from a huge deficit to win the game in the final minute. Look what happened in their last loss before the Brooklyn game: they lost in New Orleans and came back the next game and spanked the defending world champs by 20 in San Antonio. We think we should see that type of effort here tonight.

4-Unit Play #506 Take Sacramento +3 over Dallas (10 p.m. EST, Thursday)

3-Unit Play #505 Take Dallas/Sacramento UNDER 209 (10 p.m. EST, Thursday)
This is a bad spot for Dallas after a really late game on Wednesday against Golden State that required tons of energy and was very high scoring. We just think they will be in for a huge letdown here tonight. This team has really been struggling on the offensive end lately, and we see their offense being flat tonight and expect the Kings to win this one straight up in a low-scoring affair. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams and the under is 5-0 in the last five meetings! This looks like an ugly game for Dallas and we really think that the Kings should play great on defense and score enough on offense to win this game.

4-Unit Play #507 Take Phoenix +4 over Portland (10:30 p.m. EST, Thursday)

4-Unit Play #507 Take Phoenix/Portland OVER 211.5 (10:30 p.m. EST, Thursday)
The Suns are just too good of a team to be getting this many points from Portland. Phoenix has been one of the best ATS teams in the league the last two seasons, and this is just the kind of game they tend to cover. After a strong start to the season, the Trail Blazers have regressed a bit lately. They have lost five of their last seven, including a 5-point loss in Phoenix to this same Suns team. They have dropped four straight and five of six against the spread, and we think that they are overvalued in this spot as well. We don’t think that they can do anything to stop the Suns on offense tonight and expect this to be a very high-scoring affair. But we do think that the Suns will keep it close throughout with a very strong chance to win the game straight up.

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Primetime Insiders

4* Tulsa -5.5
3* Iowa +2.5
3* South Dakota St -3
3* Tennessee Martin -4.5
3* Idaho -2

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Diamond Dog Sports
2/5



NBA


#508: Trailblazers: -4.5 (-110) (2*)




NCAAB

#584: North Dakota State: -8.5 (-110) (1.5*)

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Wayne Root

Perfect Play - Pepperdine

No Limit - UAB

Millionaire - Houston

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OC Dooley

2 Units Wizards / Hornets Under 186.5

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Sports Locksmith (Even last night)

NHL:
New York Islanders -117 2* (7:00 Eastern)
Carolina -105 2* (9:00 Eastern)

NCAAB:
UC Davis +9 -110 3* (10:00 Eastern)

Chairman's Play:

SMU -6 -110 5* (9:00 Eastern)

NBA:
Chairman's Play:

Sacramento +3.5 -110 5* (10:00 Eastern)

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J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

CBB: (569) Tennessee State +16 (-20)

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STEVE FEZZIK

2* Scaramento Kings+3

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Sports Mountain

CBB

7:00 PM
513 Auburn +11

8:00 PM
587 Fairfield +10

8:00 PM
527 North Texas +10

8:00 PM
529 Wisc Milwaukee OVER

8:30 PM
593 Northern Colorado +5
593 Northern Colorado UNDER
592 Austin Peay +4 **

10:00 PM
555 UC Riverside +12

11:00 PM
564 Santa Clara +16

NHL
6:05 PM 10 Nashville ML -135
5:35 PM 7 LA Kings ML -125

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Rooster

Ga St. -3.5

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VegasButcher (NBA)

Charlotte Hornets +2

This is a rematch between the two teams as they’ve faced off against one another on Monday. The difference of course was that Hornets rested since then, while the Wizards had a game @ ATL last night. Washington is on a b2b and 3in4 spot here and with both Beal and Wall playing 39 minutes each, fatigue could be an issue. It could be an even bigger factor against a defensive-minded Hornets squad. Charlotte has held their opponents to 98 points or less in 14 of the last 15 games, and I expect the same level of defensive effort tonight. When the two teams met on Monday, Washington shot 41% from the field while losing 92-88 at home. The average margin in that one was +5.2 CHA, which was clearly a better team. Now in the rematch I like Charlotte’s chances to once again limit Washington offensively and to extend the Wizards ATS-slide to 9 consecutive games.

Sacramento Kings +3.5

Let’s look at Dallas’ schedule in 2015:

@ BOS; @ CLE; @ BKN

Home vs DET

@ LAC; @ SAC; @ DEN

Home vs DEN

@ MEM; @ Min

Home vs CHI

@ NOP

Home vs MEM

@ HOU; @ MIA; @ ORL

Home vs MIN

@ GSW; @ SAC tonight

Dallas played 19 games in 2015, and they have had exactly ZERO games in the same location during that span. They’ve only played 5 home games during this stretch and zero consecutive ones. That’s as brutal of a schedule as I’ve seen, as the Mavs have been constantly on the road flying from city to city over this 36-day period. After tonight’s game at Sacramento, they’ll have a 3-game home stand followed by the All-Star break, giving the Mavs two full weeks in Dallas. I’m sure going home can’t come fast enough for these players. Tonight, they’re on a b2b, 3in4, and a brutal 7th game in 10 nights spot. After getting out to a 17-point 1st quarter lead @ GSW last night, Dallas got outscored 103 to 72 the rest of the way and proceeded to get blown-out. Of course that forced all of their key guys to play major minutes (Ellis 39, Parsons 38, Chandler 34, Dirk 30). Tonight they’ll go up against a Kings team that is looking to avoid getting swept by the Mavs on the season. Dallas won by 8 at home very early in the season, a game where Collison didn’t play. They also barely won @ Sacramento on 01/13, needing OT to get a close 4-point victory. While Collison played in that one, Rudy Gay only logged 10 minutes after sustaining a knee injury. Tonight, the Kings will be fully healthy for the first time in this matchup. Cousins was an absolute monster in the last meeting, going for 32 points, 16 rebounds, and 9 assists. I expect him to be just as dominant tonight. Dallas of course is without Rondo, so they’re less efficient overall. Combine that with a really tough scheduling spot, and I like the Kings’ chances at home tonight.

Portland Trail Blazers -4.5

With Robin Lopez rejoining the Blazers, they should have a distinct size advantage here. Basketball is played by very big people for a reason and I think Blazers have it at most positions on the floor. Lopez and Kaman are too big for Len/Plumlee to handle at center. Aldridge is a really tough matchup for the Morris brothers. Lillard is bigger and stronger than Dragic. Batum is two inches taller than Tucker. And Matthews is 4 inches taller than Bledsoe as both shooting guards have very similar build. Physically, I believe Portland has a huge advantage in this matchup. Combine that with the #3 ranked defense (#2 in eFG%-allowed), superior rebounding, and ‘revenge’ in play (lost to PHX when Aldridge was out), and I like Portland to have a very strong shot of dominating this game. Throw in the fact that Portland is an excellent offensive team, especially at home, and I believer Phoenix needs to play at a near-perfect level to have a shot in this one.

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Maddux Sports

NBA

10 *Washington Wizards -2

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TRACE ADAMS

2000♦ AAC Game of the Year SMU -6