2-7-15

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DHAYES2

2* Tennessee +6.5

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Jason Sharpe

3* Play Take #535 'over' 125 Temple/Memphis (1:00pm est)
3* Play Take #560 'under' 129 Oklahoma/TCU (3:00pm est)
3* Play Take #620 'under' 132 Alabama/LSU (6:00pm est)
3*Play Take #679 'over; 122.5 Utah/Colorado (10:00pm est)

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Carson K

G.Tech -5.5 (Noon)
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Xavier -6.5 (1:00)

St.Bonnie +3 (2:00)

Okla St +2 (2:00)

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The Sports Boss

Auburn +5

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RAS
Penn st under
Purdue under

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Topshelfpicks (Raiderman)

W Virginia -4.5. Mountaineers off a bad showing at Oklahoma come home to play a Baylor team that has consecutive 20 point plus victories at home. I look for the Mountaineers to bounce back against Baylor at home. Keys to this game...can BU handle the WVU pressure? Can W Virginia shoot the ball well? BU plays good defense, so if the Mountaineers can't make shots, it will be a long day in Morgantown.

Tennessee +6.5. The Vols are a cover machine on the road. They are coming off a bad home loss. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are likely to have a bit of a letdown after a valiant effort at Kentucky.

Vanderbilt -2.5

Mississippi State +12.5

Iowa State. -16.5. A lot of points to lay, but this is a revenge game for ISU. I am not fooled by Tech's big win over K-State the other night, as Marcus Foster was suspended by his coach.

Notre Dame +9.5. Revenge game for Duke, but this is too many points to lay to a good Notre Dame team.

Villanova-9

I am also leaning Kentucky and Virginia at this point. I love the way Virginia plays. They are so efficient on offense and they know how to clamp down on D. Also like Kentucky here. They seem to really step up when the spotlight shines a little brighter, as it will tonight.

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DOC SPORTS (CBB)

4 Unit Play. #539 Take Kansas -1 over Oklahoma State (2 pm ESPN) Most of this play comes down to Bill Self > Travis Ford. The Jayhawks were written off this season for the Big 12 Championship but yet have a commanding lead atop the standing in early February. Kansas has already won at Texas, at Georgetown, and at Baylor and they can take down the Pokes today. Ok State is coming off an OT game on Wednesday and I just feel Travis Ford will screw this game up someway somehow.

4 Unit Play. #554 Take Cleveland State -9.5 over Wright State (2 pm ESPN 3) The Raiders are just a shell of their former selves and continue to get too much respect from the odds makers. This year’s version is terrible and they have lost five of their last six games. That includes losing to the Vikings in Dayton last month. Cleveland State has a chance to win the Horizon League and if they can beat Green Bay by 14 points they can certainly beat the Raiders by double digits.

6 Unit Play. #594 Take Arizona State +8.5 over Arizona (4:30 pm Fox)

PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR. Arizona is just not an offensive juggernaut and much like we did fading San Diego State on Wednesday, we will take the points on Saturday afternoon with the home team. This game is pretty much all Arizona State has left to play for this season and expect an all-out effort in order to keep this game close and earn the victory. Herb Sendek also elevates his coaching for this game as he is 8-10 against Arizona (ASU was 1-22 against Arizona before he arrived) and has won 4 of the last 7 games in Tempe. Arizona has had a much better team in all of these 18 matches expect for one time and the Wildcats have a little mental hurdle playing in Tempe. Arizona State will be playing at home for the third straight game and they are well rested as they have not played a game since last Friday, January 30th, 2015. Arizona State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. Wright State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Cleveland State is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. #655 Take Bowling Green -3 over Northern Illinois (8 pm) This is a rematch from last Saturday when the Falcons won by double digits. If Bowling Green can win at Central Michigan they can also win at DeKalb. Northern Illinois is traditionally won of the worst teams in the MAC and things are not much better this season. Bowling Green is 12-3 ATS (3 pushes) in their last 18 games. Northern Illinois is 2-6 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. #664 Take Tulsa (pk) over SMU (8 pm ESPNU) Frank Haith could teach a course at Tulsa on when to jump ship and exactly the right moment. He got the hell out of Missouri to take a job at Tulsa and many people questioned what the hell he was thinking. But he now looks like a genius as Missouri is a sinking ship and Tulsa leads the American Athletic Conference at 10-0. They now host an overrated SMU team coming off an embarrassing loss to Cincinnati and I do not see things getting any better for them tonight in Tulsa. The Golden Hurricanes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. The Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. #714 Take IPFW -2 over Oral Roberts (7 pm) The Mastadons have been playing well of late winning four straight games (three of them by double digits) and expect them to take care of business tonight at the Allen County War Memorial Coliseum. IPFW lost by just 4 points at Oral Roberts earlier this season and expect them to win by 6-8 points tonight. Oral Robert is 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 Summit League games. IPFW is 25-10 ATS in their last 35 Summit League games.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

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Kelso

200* W VA

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ROBERT FERRINGO (CBB)

1-Unit Play. Take #515 Wake Forest (+5.5) over Georgia Tech (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 7)

Georgia Tech sucks and Brian Gregory is going to get fired sooner rather than later. He was a terrible hire when they brought him in and this one has played out pretty much exactly as I thought it would. Wake is solid. They are playing well at home and on the road and a big part of their success is the fact that they actually do have a good coach, Danny Manning. I think Georgia Tech is in a letdown spot after their close loss to Duke. And I just don’t think that they should be laying points to anyone right now. Tech has actually gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. But Wake is 7-3 ATS as well and both teams have done well at the window precisely because they have been solid underdogs.

1-Unit Play. Take #533 Notre Dame (+9.5) over Duke (1 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

I don’t like to mess with Duke in Cameron Indoor and they have been pretty effective (5-3 ATS) over the last few seasons when they get a regular season revenge spot. But the fact of the matter is that Duke is just 6-3 in the ACC and they probably aren’t as good as people think they are. Can they jump up and bit a Top 10 team on the road? Sure. They did it to Wisconsin, Virginia and Louisville. But they also lost to Miami and N.C. State. So they are erratic. They haven’t been all that impressive at home in league play and I think that Notre Dame can make enough shots to keep this one respectable.

2-Unit Play. Take #539 Kansas (-1) over Oklahoma State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

This one is a system play.

1-Unit Play. Take #541 Texas Tech (+16.5) over Iowa State (2 p.m.)

This one is a system play.

1-Unit Play. Take #544 Central Michigan (-5) over Western Michigan (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

CMU proved that it isn’t invincible at home when they let a game get away in OT against Bowling Green. But the Falcons are outstanding right now and WMU is just holding on for dear life. They are just 5-4 in league lay and they’ve dumped their last two road games (and six of nine away from home). This is CMU’s biggest game of the year and they are going to come ready to play. Both teams play a very similar style – wide open. So this game is going to be about who can get a stop when they need it. Despite the raw numbers, Central Michigan has been the better defensive team (ranked No. 213 versus No. 258 for WMU). Add in the home court and I think that Central Michigan has the goods to get a win here.

2-Unit Play. Take #554 Cleveland State (-9) over Wright State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

Either they are or they aren’t. Cleveland State should be able to kick the piss out of this feeble Wright State team. CSU already won on the road against this team and Wright State has dumped five of their last six games. The Raiders have lost by 13, 8, 26, 10, 5 and 24 points in their league losses. They are young and inexperienced and they are still playing without the one good player they have, J.T. Yoho. Cleveland state is kind of a feast or famine team. They have a unique style of play and that can let crappy teams like Illinois Chicago hang around and lose by 5. But they also have some jets and can beat the tar out of good teams like UW-Green Bay by 14. If Cleveland State wants to win this game by 15 points they can win this game by 15 points. I’ll back the better team, the home team, and the motivated team that is making a charge at the Horizon crown.

2-Unit Play. Take #556 St. Bonaventure (+3) over VCU (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

St. Bonaventure is a tough place to play in general. The nearest airport is an hour away so teams have to fly in and then 1-Unit Play. Take a bus through the snow and cold of Western New York to this bandbox gym. If you are not ready to play then this scrappy, physical team can jump out at you. They are coming off a confidence-boosting win on the road against Davidson and they could pull another upset here. VCU was having a great season. But they just lost their best player, Briante Weber, to a horrible leg injury. And now they found out that their second-best player, Treveon Graham, is also out for this game. So not only is VCU playing without its two best players but they are playing without their only two seniors. The rest of this team is good. But they aren’t good enough to pick up the slack. VCU had a very misleading final against George Mason on Wednesday – a huge rivalry win for them – and I don’t know that they are going to be able to do it again.

1-Unit Play. 1-Unit Play. Take #576 St. Joseph’s (-5) over George Mason (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

This is a system play.

1-Unit Play. Take #579 BYU (-8) over Loyola Marymount (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

I hate these Mormons so terribly much. But I am pot committed. I missed again with these losers on Thursday in a game that they just choked away. But I have to think that at some point they are going to pull their heads out of their asses and win a game that they are supposed to. They beat LMU by 13 in the first meeting. And that was in a tough spot after a home loss to Pepperdine. Now BYU is in a desperate spot where they can’t afford another loss. They are coming off a loss to Pepperdine again but instead of being relaxed at home they should be angry on the road. Will that work for this bunch of losers, who have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight? Who knows. But the fact is that I am going to stubbornly stick to my belief that this team is better than it has played and they can beat this number against just a pathetic excuse for a basketball team. Loyola has won three of four games and gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine. But they are not a good team. During that stretch of ATS ?wins? they have lost by 9, 13, 17, 3, and 14 points. Other than one game they haven’t been close. They just get credit for not being as pathetic as people think. Well, I think their luck runs out and I’ll back the idiot Mormons again here.

1-Unit Play. Take #587 Syracuse (+3) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

The Orange just found out that they are banned from postseason play. It would be easy to just pound against them thinking that they will quit on the season. Not playing in the postseason will weigh them down later this month. But right now they are more likely to rally.

2-Unit Play. Take #589 Texas (+5) over Kansas State (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)
Note: I had this posted as a 2-Unit Play at +5. It is now a ‘PICK’ game and I suggest it as a 1-UNIT Play. The spread was 5 overnight and this morning, but Foster’s status has caused the spike.

Speaking of total losers, I am pot committed to Texas as well. They are playing without John Holmes today. That’s fine because he really hasn’t done much but miss a lot of 3’s over the last few weeks. I think that Texas’ best move would be to go with a three-guard lineup and play two bigs. Is Rick Barnes smart enough to think of that? Absolutely not. But maybe he will accidentally fall into it because he is shorthanded today. Kansas State is all over the map. They have some good wins. They have some bad losses. But they are going to be without Marcus Foster, by far their best guard, and it is for some random transgression off the court. This isn’t the first time this year he’s been punished for something off the court and it is going to have a negative ripple effect on the team. Texas stinks. But K-State has lost four of five games and only two of their five wins (in 12 games) since Christmas has been by more than five points. I think the Foster loss hurts K-State more than the Holmes loss hurts Texas.

1-Unit Play. Take #597 Georgia State (-12) over South Alabama (5 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

I’m just going to keep it rolling here with idiot losers that I’ve been pissing money away with this season. Georgia State is the most talented team in the Sun Belt. Have they played like it? Absolutely not. They blew another game on Thursday against Georgia Southern and these guys have been money burners all season long. How will they respond after that in-state rivalry loss? Well, a good team would get mad and would go out and beat the piss out of a terrible USA squad.

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 124.5 Bradley at Evansville (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)
Note: This total has not been released yet. This is my projected total. Play it ‘over’ up to 126.0. If no total is posted then this won’t be a play.

Evansville is likely going to be without their big center in this game. He is one of only two guys taller than 6-6 and he is the only guy taller than 6-8. That’s going to open things up for Bradley on the inside. It is also going to spur Evansville to make up for the loss of their big by focusing more on the offensive end. Bradley has been pathetic offensively. But they’ve been good for 55-60 points. That means if Evansville can play in the high 60’s then this one will go ‘over’. I actually think both teams hit 60 in this game and this one will tuck ‘over’.

2-Unit Play. Take #599 Central Florida (+6) over East Carolina (5 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

ECU should not be favored by this many points over anyone. Ever. Anywhere. Central Florida has played the single-toughest league schedule in the AAC. They are undervalued even though they’ve put up a pretty good fight against much better teams. They are coming off a blowout loss at SMU but I think the Knights bounce back here and are able to stick around in a grinder. A win is never a given for the host Pirates. And even if they do win they’ve only beaten one Top 300 team – James Madison – by more than six points this year. I think UCF is going to win this game outright.

2-Unit Play. Take #637 Charlotte (+8) over Old Dominion (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

Here is a list of Charlotte’s losses: Miami by 3, at Davidson by 6, at GW by 8, at Georgetown by 3, at Georgia Tech by 1, Old Dominion by 7, at WKU by 8, Rice by 5, at UAB by 5, at MTSU by 3 and Florida International by 8. So they don’t get blown out. And this team is just a couple shots and a couple plays in a couple games from being a really solid team having a really good season. They’ve played a tough schedule and they are a team that is going to play hard for all 40 minutes; if they had been blown out in half of those games I wouldn’t even bother. But I think that Charlotte can win this game outright. ODU was a Top 25 team at one point and they were 13-1. But they have lost their last three games (of eight) against teams ranked in the Top 200. Their last two wins over teams in the Top 100 were against William & Mary and Georgia State, and both of those teams are mediocre at best. The numbers suggest that this spread should’ve been 10. It came in at 7. That’s a red flag to me and I’ll 1-Unit Play. Take a shot.

2-Unit Play. Take #645 UL-Monroe (+6) over Georgia Southern (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

Monroe had gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games and they have one of the most experienced teams in the Sun Belt. They have been fighting, scraping and clawing all season long and I like this team. Georgia Southern is in a massive letdown spot. Their last game they faced in-state rival Georgia State in a battle for first place. They had a crazy second-half comeback and won a very emotional game. Now they have to gear back up for Louisiana-Monroe. This game isn’t any less important. But can Southern, a team in its first season in this conference, gear back up? Georgia Southern is 12-1 ATS this year. That’s the best mark in the country. At some point the numbers are going to catch back up with them. I had this spread at 4. It came out at 6. That’s reason enough for me.

3-Unit Play. Take #647 Louisiana Tech (-2.5) over Middle Tennessee (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)

This is a really proud Tech team and they just got humiliated by UAB in a 20-point loss. I watched that game from start to finish tough. That was a close game until the Blazers got hot from the outside and went bonkers about midway through the second half. La. Tech has to be pissed off and I think they are going to come to play in this game. They better. Because this team isn’t going to the NCAA Tournament based on their resume alone. They need to win the league tournament and that requires beneficial seeding. They need this win. I have been betting against MTSU all season long and this is not a vintage Blue Raiders team. They lost a ton of talent and experience from last year’s group and they have flopped against any good team they have played, outside of a random OT win at home over Old Dominion. They flopped around with Southern Miss in their last game and MTSU is just kind of there. I think Tech is motivated and I know they are more talented. I think they find a way to sweep this series and win this game by six.

1-Unit Play. Take #655 Bowling Green (-3) over Northern Illinois (5 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 7)
This is a system play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Asa

6* IPFW -2

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10 Top Puck Line Play · [P/L] Dallas Stars Away -1.5
Blueline Sat Feb 7th, 2015 7:05pm EST

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Diamond Dog Sports

NBA
#501/502: Bulls/Pelicans: Under 195.0 (-110) (2.5*)


NCAAB
#555: VCU: -3.0 (-110) (1.5*)

#559: Oklahoma: -4.5 (-110) (0.5*)

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Steel City Cappers Consensus
consensus play is Duke -9

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RAS

Added

sides CS fullerton , Air Force, Long Beach st

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary CBB Pick for February 7th, 2015

Game: Texas Tech Red Raiders (541) @ Iowa State Cyclones (542)
Time: Saturday 02/07 2:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Iowa State -15.5 (-110) at TopBet

The Iowa State Cyclones made a good run in the NCAA Tournament las year before getting ousted by eventual Champion UConn. They appear to be ready to make another run this season as they enter at 16-5 and have been a force at home where they are a perfect 12-0, knocking off Texas, Oklahoma State, Kansas, and Arkansas in this building, as well as covering three of their last four as a double-digit favorite. Texas Tech has struggled to compete in the Big-12 except the few years Bobby Knight took the reigns. Tech is winless on the road in five conference games, losing by a combined 123 points or by 24.6 points per game, and certainly look overmatched heading to Ames to take on the Cyclones, who will be ready for revenge for a five-point loss at Texas Tech. Lay the points on Iowa State.