2-18-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

steve's golf picks

Charlie Beljan 70 to 1- How can we not go with Charlie this week. I was very impressed with his game down the stretch at Pebble Beach en route to a 3rd place finish. He now gets to tee it up at one of his favourite tournaments riding some excellent play. Charlie suffered a tough playoff loss here in 2013 to John Merrick. He fired a final round 67 but it wasn't enough to out duel the UCLA grad on that day. Charlie came right back in 2014 with a T12 finish here though, cementing himself as a horse at Riviera. Charlie is the 2nd longest player on Tour, an asset that will help him greatly this week.

JB Holmes 35 to 1- Holmes is one of the hottest players on Tour right now and is another player who will love the sight of Riviera. JB finished T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open and then followed that up with a T10 last week at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro AM. JB has a very solid history at this course including a run that saw him finishing no worse than T12 from 2008 to 2012. The long hitting Kentucky man ranks 12th on Tour in length this season and is 21st for Strokes Gained from Tee to Green. His key this week will be putting, but based on his love for these greens in the past, I like our chances.

Bill Haas 30 to 1- Everyone who has been with us for more than a few years can remember our Haas win here in 2012. He was a 50-1 player and managed to fend of both Phil Mickelson and Keegan Bradley in a playoff. It was one of the more exciting victories based on the circumstances and the caliber of players involved. Haas is back playing great golf as he already has a victory this year (Humana Challenge) and is coming off a T19 at the Farmers Insurance Open. I have explained in the past how Bill is one of the worlds best players on Traditional tracks, and he will be in contention this week come Sunday (has finished inside the the Top 25 in the last 4 Northern Trust Opens). He goes against our long off the tee approach but there is no way you can leave him off this list at Riviera.

2 Units on Jimmy Walker 16.5 to 1- I told you he would be on our list plenty in 2015 and I wasn't lying. No one not named Rory McIlroy or Bernd Wiesberger is playing better golf than Jimmy Walker right now. In 2015 Walker has a 2nd, 1st, T7th, and T21st. He is also arriving at one of his favourite tournaments based on past history. Since 2010 his results have been as follows (2011 - T4, 2012 - T4, 2013 - T16, 2014 - T20). Jimmy is extremely long off the tee (23rd on Tour for Driving Distance), and yet is one of the worlds best putters (15th on Tour for Strokes Gained through putting). Get used to this name being a fixture at the Top of leaderboards.

Bernd Wiesberger 55 to 1- Was extremely excited when Bernd decided to play this week in the Northern Trust Open. He has been outstanding on the European Tour placing no worse than T6 in his four events of 2015. He is sky rocketing up the World Golf Rankings (now 38th), and has the game to contend in majors. Wiesberger is a 29 year old from Austria who is long off the tee and possesses an excellent short game. I am beyond shocked that Bernd is 55 to 1 this week based on his game and ridiculous start to this season.

Charl Schwartzel 37 to 1- Charl has quietly be going about his business as one of the worlds best in 2015. He didn't have the best 2013 or 2014, but I feel will be back with avengence this year. He blew a big Sunday lead at the South African Open to start this year thanks to a final round 74 (he finished in solo 2nd). His next start resulted in a T9 finish at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship, a tournament that included a sizzling 3rd round 65. Once again we have a player who is very long off the tee and possesses a terrific history at Riviera. Schwartzel posted a T3 here in 2013 and backed that up with a solo 5th finish here last year.







HEAD TO HEAD

We look to keep picking up these head to head winners this week with a 3 unit play

Bernd Wiesberger (-120) over Hunter Mahan

Let's keep this great season going this week at the Northern Trust Open!

Steve

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty likes Richmond on Wednesday.

The deficit is 255 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al NHL
3* Blackhawks -173

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Canadiens won five of their last six games.
-- Chicago won four of its last six games.
-- Minnesota won eight of its last ten games. Flames won 12 of their last 16.
-- Los Angeles won last five games, allowing 11 goals. Colorado won last two games, 4-1/5-2.


Cold teams
-- Ottawa lost five of its last seven games.
-- Detroit lost its last three games, scoring five goals.
-- Anaheim lost four of its last five games. Lightning lost three of last four.
-- Boston lost its last four games, allowing 14 goals. Oilers lost five of last seven games.


Series records
-- Canadiens won four of last five games with Ottawa.
-- Blackhawks won four of last six games with Detroit.
-- Flames lost five of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Lightning won three of last four games with Anaheim.
-- Bruins won their last six games with Edmonton.
-- Kings won four of last five games with Colorado.

Totals
-- 10 of last 11 Montreal road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit road games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Calgary home games stayed under.
-- Nine of last twelve Tampa Bay road games went over.
-- Three of last four Boston road games went over total.
-- Under is 7-1-3 in last eleven LA-Colorado games.

Back-to-back
-- None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher




Play of the Day
Calgary Flames +100 over Minnesota Wild




Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Kings + Colorado Avalanche OVER 5
Anaheim Ducks + Tampa Bay Lightning OVER 5.5
Detroit Red Wings + Chicago Blackhawks UNDER 5


Basketball Crusher




Play of the Day
Syracuse +2.5 over Louisville




Rest of the Plays
Loyola Chicago +9 over Northern Iowa
DePaul +2.5 over Providence
Fresno State +4.5 over Colorado State


Soccer Crusher




Nova Iguacu + Bangu UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Iowa State at Oklahoma State

The Cyclones head to Oklahoma State tonight following a 79-59 win over West Virginia on Saturday and come into the contest with a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU victory. Oklahoma State is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 18 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Wisconsin at Penn State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 75.600; Penn State 63.491 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 12 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-9)

Game 703-704: Elon at College of Charleston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Elon 45.370; College of Charleston 47.483 Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 2 Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 5 Dunkel Pick: Elon (+5)

Game 705-706: Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 56.332; Miami (FL) 66.345 Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 10 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 11 Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+11)

Game 707-708: Fordham at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 50.178; George Mason 57.181 Dunkel Line: George Mason by 7 Vegas Line: George Mason by 4 Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-4)

Game 709-710: Duquesne at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 53.030; LaSalle 61.632 Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: LaSalle by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+10 1/2)

Game 711-712: Richmond at St. Bonaventure (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 65.172; St. Bonaventure 61.619 Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+1 1/2)

Game 713-714: Massachusetts at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 58.140; Rhode Island 67.458 Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-5 1/2)

Game 715-716: Xavier at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 63.651; Cincinnati 70.829 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1)

Game 717-718: Vanderbilt at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 61.718; Florida 70.291 Dunkel Line: Florida by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-5 1/2)

Game 719-720: Louisville at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 67.945; Syracuse 68.811 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1 Vegas Line: Louisville by 3 Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3)

Game 721-722: Hofstra at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 54.566; Towson 48.716 Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 6 Vegas Line: Hofstra by 4 Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (-4)

Game 723-724: William & Mary at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 60.105; Northeastern 54.579 Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Northeastern by 2 Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+2)

Game 725-726: Drexel at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 47.187; James Madison 55.665 Dunkel Line: James Madison by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: James Madison by 6 Dunkel Pick: James Madison (-6)

Game 727-728: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan (7:00p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 53.049; Central Michigan 59.586 Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 9 Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+9)

Game 729-730: Ball State at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 49.486; Kent State 56.525 Dunkel Line: Kent State by 7 Vegas Line: Kent State by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+9 1/2)

Game 731-732: Miami (OH) at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 50.435; Bowling Green 64.818 Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 12 Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-12)

Game 733-734: Ohio at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 51.456; Western Michigan 56.552 Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5 Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 8 Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+8)

Game 735-736: Toledo at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 58.799; Akron 63.142 Dunkel Line: Akron by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Akron by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Akron (-2 1/2)

Game 737-738: Buffalo at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 60.590; Eastern Michigan 57.703 Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3 Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2)

Game 739-740: Davidson at George Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 60.710; George Washington 64.830 Dunkel Line: George Washington by 4 Vegas Line: George Washington by 1 Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-1)

Game 741-742: Oakland at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 56.396; Wright State 51.332 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 5 Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-1 1/2)

Game 743-744: East Carolina at Tulsa (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 52.954; Tulsa 68.966 Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 16 Vegas Line: Tulsa by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-10 1/2)

Game 745-746: Detroit at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 51.113; WI-Green Bay 58.844 Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 11 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+11)

Game 747-748: Indiana State at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 54.237; Missouri State 55.416 Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 1 Vegas Line: Indiana State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+2)

Game 749-750: Northern Iowa at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 64.399; Loyola-Chicago 57.876 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 9 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+9)

Game 751-752: Kansas State at TCU (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 61.719; TCU 67.492 Dunkel Line: TCU by 6 Vegas Line: TCU by 3 Dunkel Pick: TCU (-3)

Game 753-754: Providence at DePaul (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Providence 64.924; DePaul 59.760 Dunkel Line: Providence by 5 Vegas Line: Providence by 2 Dunkel Pick: Providence (-2)

Game 755-756: Boston College at Florida State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 58.804; Florida State 62.717 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 4 Vegas Line: Florida State by 7 Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7)

Game 757-758: Northwestern at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 56.160; Minnesota 71.645 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10 1/2)

Game 759-760: Missouri at Arkansas (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 55.200; Arkansas 70.132 Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 15 Vegas Line: Arkansas by 17 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+17 1/2)

Game 761-762: Iowa State at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 69.107; Oklahoma State 75.735 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-2)

Game 763-764: North Carolina at Duke (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 71.002; Duke 76.629 Dunkel Line: Duke by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Duke by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+8 1/2)

Game 765-766: Illinois State at Bradley (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 57.053; Bradley 54.139 Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 3 Vegas Line: Illinois State by 5 Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+5)

Game 767-768: UCLA at Arizona State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 66.816; Arizona State 64.734 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 2 Vegas Line: Arizona State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2 1/2)

Game 769-770: Colorado State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 63.313; Fresno State 55.988 Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-4 1/2)

Game 771-772: Utah State at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.683; San Jose State 40.297 Dunkel Line: Utah State by 18 1/2 Vegas Line: Utah State by 14 Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-14)

Game 773-774: Boise State at UNLV (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 62.312; UNLV 63.311 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 1 Vegas Line: Boise State by 1 Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+1)

Game 775-776: Colorado at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 61.613; Oregon 65.319 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Oregon by 6 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+6)

Game 777-778: South Dakota State at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 60.057; Western Illinois 46.218 Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 14 Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-10 1/2)

Game 781-782: Boston U at American (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston U 48.775; American 54.869 Dunkel Line: American by 6 Vegas Line: American by 4 Dunkel Pick: American (-4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

CBB | BALL ST at KENT ST
Play Against – Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENT ST) good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO’s) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO’s) after 15+ games
71-34 since 1997. ( 67.6% | 33.6 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

CBB | MASSACHUSETTS at RHODE ISLAND
Play On – Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (RHODE ISLAND) revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record
807-254 since 1997. ( 76.1% | 197.7 units )
20-12 this year. ( 62.5% | -8.9 units )

CBB | TOLEDO at AKRON
Play Against – Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (AKRON) after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NY SPORTS GENIUS

Overloading on the Real Madrid/Schalke game today in various ways as a slight hedge. I would play more if possible, but 5 units is largest bet. Money management and smart betting is the key to success. Don’t ever play more than 5 units on a single selection.

For Wednesday afternoon:

5 units

(European Cup Soccer) Real Madrid – Over 2.5 goals TEAM TOTAL (+153)
(European Cup Soccer) Real Madrid/Schalke – Over 3 goals (-105)
(European Cup Soccer) Real Madrid -1.5 goal spread (+129)

3 units

(NCAAB) Oklahoma State -2 (-110)
(NCAAB) Akron -2.5 (-110)
(NCAAB) Wisconsin -9 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle

WEDNESDAY

NCAA BASKETBALL

Play DePaul +2 over Providence (NCAA TOP PLAY)

DePaul has covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 games and they have covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games when playing as a home underdog. DePaul has covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 games vs. conference opponents and they have covered the spread in 5 consecutive games coming off four games with fourteen or less turnovers.


Play Duke -9 over North Carolina (NCAA TOP PLAY)

North Carolina has lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread and they have lost 13 of the last 18 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. North Carolina has lost 17 of the last 25 games against the spread coming off a combined score of 155 points or more in their last game and they are allowing an average of 78 points in their last five games.


Play Utah State -14 over San Jose State (NCAA TOP PLAY)

Utah State has covered the spread in 21 of the last 30 games when playing as a favorite and they have covered the spread in 7 consecutive games when playing with seven or more days of rest. Utah State has covered the spread in 6 consecutive games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they are only allowing an average of 59 points in conference games this season.


Play UNLV +1 over Boise State (NCAA TOP PLAY)

UNLV has won 39 of the last 52 home games and they have won 74 of the last 111 games after having lost two of the last three games. UNLV has won 68 of the last 102 games when playing on a Wednesday and they are only allowing an average of 60 points in home games this season.

============================================


NHL HOCKEY

Play Minnesota +105 over Calgary (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Colorado +110 over Los Angeles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SOCCER BETTING MASTERS
England » Championship » Birmingham – Middlesbrough
Opinion: Middlesbrough to win

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS AT LARGE

Louisville -2.5
North Carolina +8.5
UNLV +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux
#721 - NCAAB - 10 units on Hofstra -4
#729 - NCAAB - 10 units on Ball State +9.5
#737 - NCAAB - 10 units on Buffalo +1.5
#741 - NCAAB - 10 units on Oakland -2.5
#774 - NCAAB - 10 units on UNLV +1
#770 - NCAAB - 10 units on Fresno State +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Oklahoma St -1.5

50* Akron -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Cincinnati -1

2* George Washington -2

2* Oregon -6