2-25-15

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TONY FINN

Finn Factor Sharp Play – Under 133 – Indiana vs Northwestern

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JASON SHARPE (NBA)

8 Unit Play Take #701 Miami -3 over Orlando (7:05pm est):

The Miami Heat Hassan Whiteside has been quietly playing at near All-Star levels since joining the Miami starting lineup. With Whiteside, Wade, Deng and Bosh the Heat featured four top guys. Though Bosh is now lost for the season, Miami added a very good player in Goran Dragic at the trade deadline. We haven’t had a chance to really see the Heat play four top notch players in many games this season as Whiteside didn’t start playing till later in the year and since that’s happened it seems the Heat have been dealing with injuries to other key guys. They now have their ‘big four’ on the court and instantly are a much better team than their overall record.

Don’t be fooled by the recent stretch of decent play by the lowly Orlando Magic. The Magic have won three games in a row but this isn’t surprising as they were favored in two of those games by six points or more. They have also had the luxury of having played five of their six games under their new head coach at home. They face a Miami squad who has been better on the road than at home this season here.

This is a big game for Miami as they need it to keep pace with the other teams in the Eastern Conference fighting for one of the remaining two playoff spots that look to be within reach. They also dropped a game earlier this year to this Orlando team at home which should have them seeking revenge here in this one. Take Miami minus the points here. I have had a solid NHL season right from the start as I jumped out ahead for the year overall and have stayed that way for nearly every single day this hockey season. I have also won 2 straight NHL plays and looking to keep the good times rolling. Join me and see for yourself.

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Steel City Cappers

Added

Miss state +18

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DOC SPORTS (CBB)

4 Unit Play. #737 Take Valparaiso -4.5 over Detroit (7 pm ESPN 3) The Crusaders need just one win in their last two games to earn the regular season championship in the Horizon League and thus get to host the Conference Tournament. With a trip to Cleveland State on deck they do not want any part of a winner take all scenario on Friday. That can become moot if they win tonight and I expect them to accomplish that task. Detroit has a terrible record but they played a brutal nonconference schedule but seemed to find their form mid-January. But come the end of February that schedule has taken its toll and they are struggling down the stretch with losses in five of their last seven games. Valparaiso is 6-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games against team with a winning home record. Detroit is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Just do not see Valpo losing this game straight-up and if they win straight up they should be able to cover the spread as well

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Boston bob
Virginia tech

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Andre Gomes

Brooklyn
Clippers Over

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SPORT MOUNTAIN

NHL
3 Pitts Under 5
2 NJ ML

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Tampasports 2/25

nba
houston -best bet
la lakers
new orleans

cbb
detroit
fresno st
n.iowa -best bet

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DOC SPORTS (NBA)

3-Unit Play #703 Take New York +11 over Boston (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
The Celtics have been playing well in the underdog role, but we just don’t think they should be laying this many points to any team in the NBA, not even the New York Knicks. Boston hasn’t been anywhere close to this big of a favorite all season long, and we don’t think this big of a line is warranted. This is also a rivalry game as it is any time that teams from New York and Boston play, and you just have to love this Knicks team getting double digits here. The Knicks are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall, and we think they will keep this game close here tonight.

4-Unit Play #707 Take Washington +1.5 over Minnesota (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
Washington is pretty good on back-to-backs at 8-5 this season, and even though this team hasn’t been playing well lately they were pretty good against the Warriors last night in a near cover until a late surge by Golden State and we think they give their best effort tonight to get back on track, and this is the perfect team to do it against. Washington is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings, and in our handicapping we had them listed as a small favorite in this one, so there is some really nice value for the team we expect to win the game since they are getting points here.

3-Unit Play #710 Take New Orleans +2.5 over Brooklyn (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
Even though the Pelicans have a couple key players out tonight we think that they have a great chance to win this game straight out. This is the type of game that the Pelicans have to win with Davis out in order to push their playoff chances forward, and we think they give their best effort tonight. This team has won and covered their last two games without Davis, and this team has a lot of talent even without Davis on the floor. And from the look of their last couple games this team has the ability to step up with their star out. The Pelicans have also been one of the best underdog plays in the league this season, and we think that continues tonight.

3-Unit Play #714 Take Houston -3 over LA Clippers (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
Houston is one of the better ATS teams in the league, and this is the perfect situation where they cover the line against an overrated Clippers team. Since Blake Griffin went out for the Clippers this team went on a mini surge, but all that has done is keep the odds honest. We could see this line with BG in the lineup but without their best player this team should be getting at least 6 against a Houston team that has been playing well and has covered lines all season. Houston also has revenge for a recent loss in LA, and we think they get it in blowout fashion here tonight.

3-UniPlay #719 Take LA Lakers/Utah UNDER 191.5 (9 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
Love the way this Utah team is playing defense lately, and even the best offensive teams in the league have struggled to score against them. Utah is now No. 9 in the league in points allowed and they are climbing up that list. They can finish in the Top 5 defensively if they keep playing the way they have. But they need to play strong defense to remain competitive because their offense stinks. And so does the Lakers’. LA has been giving up a lot of points on defense, but Utah is not really the type of team that can take advantage of this, and the pace here should suit a lower-scoring contest. These teams played last month and the total wound up under 180. We could see the same type of game here.

4-Unit Play #721 Take Memphis/Sacramento UNDER 200 (10 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
The Grizzlies have been playing defense as well as anybody in the league lately, however their offense has not been great and they have not scored 100 in six games. In fact, besides the game against Portland where they scored 98 they have not even come close. This team is trending heavily towards the under and only one of their last 15 games has gone over the number (one push) and it seems like this is another total posted too high. Yes, the Kings have given up a lot of points lately, but we think that the pace here will be slower than the games they have played lately and we just don’t see the Kings doing anything special on offense tonight even if Memphis does have a rare game where they surpass the century mark.

4-Unit Play #723 Take San Antonio +3 over Portland (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
The Spurs have lost three straight coming into this game. This team does not care much about the regular season as they want to be fresh for the playoffs, but this is as close as a desperation game as the Spurs will have, and they really need a win here tonight. We think they will get it. This team has the roster the experience and the coaching, and despite their current records this is a better team. We just think this game is very important to the Spurs and think they will shake off their recent funk and produce a championship-level performance tonight in what should be a great game. But this is one we think the Spurs will win.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

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HARRY BONDI

College Hoops Free Play
TEXAS TECH (+9) over TCU
8 p.m. ET

We’ll gladly take the points here and go against a TCU team that has been absolutely dismal on its home court, going 11-23 ATS the last three seasons. The Horned Frogs haven’t been installed as a home chalk of this size since the 2011 season, while Tech is 4-1 ATS as a road dog in this range in their last five chances. Some of the reason for the inflated spread may be the first meeting between these two teams this season when TCU prevailed by 20 points, but in that game Texas Tech shot a horrific 22% from the floor and and even worse 18% from 3-point land. Look for the Red Raiders to shoot much better than that and be there until the final possession in tonight’s rematch. Take the points!