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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358238

    #61
    JOE GAVAZZI

    LOY-Chicago vs. Indiana St. (-1.5-) 9:30 ET

    Scott Trade Center, St. Louis, MO

    2* Game – Indiana St. (-1.5-)

    LOY-Chicago, the No. 6 seed in the Missouri Valley Tournament, meet Indiana St., the No. 3 seed, in the last of 4 games that make up the Quarter Finals of this Conference Tournament, which is annually held in St. Louis, a central location for the 10 conference teams. The Missouri Valley is one of the oldest and most prestigious Conference Tournaments. Beside the basketball action, it is an annual event for the many alumni groups of the member schools who “meet and greet” for an annual reunion. Indiana St. is a long-standing member of the league, while LOY-Chicago is in only its second season. In the five games these teams have faced each other, Indiana St. has won all five times, four of them by 11 or more points, including a 75-62 victory in this event last year. This year’s meetings in the regular season saw Indiana St. emerge victorious with wins of 14 and 11 points.

    LOY-Chicago is coached by 4th year HC Porter Moser. In the previous 3 seasons, his Ramblers recorded just 32 total wins. With 4 RS, this year’s 18-12 SU team is the best of the group. Nonetheless, at 8-10 SU, LOY is still a notch below the upper echelon of the MVC. The calling card for LOY is a defense that allows just 60 PPG on 44% shooting and 32% from the arc. But, their impotent offense averages just 62 PPG. They also have a negative rebounding margin. The Ramblers are making some nice strides, as they approach competitive level in this respected loop. But as recent scores attest, they are not in the class of Indiana St.

    Indiana St. is coached by 5th year mentor, Greg Lansing. The Sycamores used the preseason play in November and December as a rebuilding tool. They entered league play at 4-8 SU, 4-7 ATS. After a 5-0 SU ATS Valley start, it was evident that Lansing has been “playing possum.” The Sycamores finish the year at 11-7 SU in league play. It was the “best of the rest,” behind league heavyweights Wichita St. and N. Iowa. This is a program that is built for success by Lansing with strong defensive tendencies and good fundamentals. They have the pedigree of making it to the final round of this event last year, before losing to Wichita St. With good scoring balance and solid fundamentals, Indiana St. is clearly the better team.

    Well aware that LOY enters this event on a 8-2 ATS run with 5 consecutive road covers! But, the strong series history between these two, as well as the Indiana St. pedigree and offensive balance, point out the Sycs as the clear winner in this one.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358238

      #62
      GP from Vegas

      Elon +1
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358238

        #63
        Kelso

        Atlanta Hawks
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358238

          #64
          River city Sharps

          Diamond play Cle/Atl over 203.5
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358238

            #65
            Maddux Sports

            10* Det/Hou over 204
            10* Eastern Kentucky pk
            10* Wichita St -18
            10* Radford +2
            10* Cleveland St -5.5
            10* Denver Nuggets +11.5
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358238

              #66
              BETTING AS A BUSINESS

              NCAAB

              #833 Akron +3.5 / Kent St. 7:00 ET 1.25 Unit
              (Play ON Akron)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358238

                #67
                DOC SPORTS (NBA)

                8-Unit NBA Game of the Year #803 Take Chicago/Indiana UNDER 188.5 (7 p.m. EST, Friday)
                We circled this game because looking at the schedule we knew the Bulls would have a tough game on Thursday at OKC and this sets up for a letdown here. The points are maybe a tad too high for Indiana as far as the point spread is concerned, but we just see the Bulls having a flat offensive night tonight against a Top 5 Indiana defense, and the Pacers are not a very good offensive team and probably won’t do too much damage against this Bulls defense that has really been improving lately. These teams normally play physical, low-scoring games and we don’t think tonight will be any different. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Indiana and 5-2 in the last seven meetings overall. Both teams have been trending towards the under as well with the Pacers going 5-0 for the under in their last five and the Bulls going 5-0 for the under in their last five on the road. In fact, the under is 19-9 in 28 road games for the Bulls this season, and that is a strong trend that has held up most of the season. These teams met last in late December, and of course that game went under in a 92-90 Bulls win here in this same building. The game was incredibly low-scoring most of the way but the third quarter saw 64 total points scored! It shows just how low-scoring this game was otherwise that they scored so many in the third and it still went under. We expect less of those big quarters here and more of the low-scoring defensive type of game. Plus, in that last meeting Jimmy Butler and Derrick Rose scored a combined 44 points, and both players are of course out for the Bulls tonight. We just really think the Bulls really struggle on offense tonight and expect a low team total from them and even if Indiana wins big they won’t put up a massive number here and this one will stay well under the posted number.

                3-Unit Play #809 Take Phoenix +2.5 over Brooklyn (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
                The Suns have been hit-or-miss lately, but we seriously had them favored in this game slightly and we think there is good value here in this road underdog. The Suns are the better team, and they really need a win here and should bring their A Game against an inferior opponent. The Nets always seem to underwhelm in situations like this, and they are just 4-8 ATS this season against winning teams at home. Brooklyn has been giving up points in bunches lately, and that does not bode well for them tonight against a Suns team that is very good offensively. The Nets were blown out here on this same court last time out against the Hornets, and this one could be ugly as well, but either way we see the Suns winning this game.

                4-Unit Play #813 Take LA Lakers +11.5 over Memphis (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
                Memphis is just not good as a big favorite this season. They are 2-8 ATS as a favorite of eight or more points, and we think that this line is too large as well. The Lakers have been a scrappy team lately and they have covered five of their last six games overall. This team does have some talent, and they seem to play hard nearly every night. Plus, Memphis does most of their damage with defense, but when you are a club that relies mostly on defense it is hard to score enough points to cover big double-digit lines like this on a regular basis. The Grizzlies have been overrated by the oddsmakers and have covered in only one of their last five, and we think this line is too large as well and think the Lakers will stay within single digits.

                3-Unit Play #816 Take Houston -6.5 over Detroit (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
                Houston is just a team that gets the job done at home and has been underrated by the oddsmakers all season long. This team is 20-12 ATS on the season here at home and 35-26 ATS overall. We think they are being shortchanged by the oddsmakers again tonight. Detroit comes in having lost four straight, and their confidence is down right now, and this is not a very good team to begin with. Houston has revenge in this one from a double-digit beatdown in Detroit at the end of January, and we think they get it in a big way. We thought this line would be closer to 9.5, so we think there is very nice value in the undervalued home favorite on Friday.

                4-Unit Play #824 Take Golden State -10 over Dallas (10:30 p.m. EST, Friday)
                Dallas is coming in on a back-to-back after a beatdown in Portland last night, and we don’t see them doing much better against a much better Golden State team tonight. The Warriors can cover big spreads like this without breaking a sweat, and once they get a big lead late in games they basically treat the games like 3-point shooting practice and start bombing threes every trip down the floor, and of course they have some deadly 3-point shooters on this team. Golden State is 8-3 ATS this season at home against winning teams, and this big number does not scare us a bit, especially with the lousy performance the Mavs put together last night in Portland. The Warriors are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings, and we see that trend continuing tonight.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358238

                  #68
                  Totals

                  NBA
                  phx/brk under 209

                  NHL
                  cal/det over 5
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358238

                    #69
                    vegas linereader

                    Nets-2
                    Rockets-7
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358238

                      #70
                      Craig Davis

                      100 DIME Western Conference

                      Game of My Career

                      Golden st.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358238

                        #71
                        Harry Bondi

                        3 Unit Toronto
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358238

                          #72
                          Dr Bob

                          Murray st
                          Utah jazz
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358238

                            #73
                            INDIAN COWBOY (NBA)

                            8-Unit Play. #804. Take Indiana -6 over Chicago (Friday @ 7pm est) We like Indiana here against Chicago as the Bulls come off an exciting victory with a 3 pointer by Moore in the waning seconds in what was a great comeback for a squad needing a big win over a quality team. Now Chicago hits the road in the midwest as they face Indiana who seeks revenge from losing to them by a bucket earlier this year. And what has gone much under the radar is how good Indiana has been. The Pacers are all of a sudden in the thick playoff seeding race at this point as they are 26-34, 33-24 as it relates to ATS and not interested in tanking at all. This is a Pacer team that is just on the heels of Charlotte who is 26-33 and with a win here can do wonders for their chances going forward. With the East weak it is very possible for the Pacers to finish 6th in the conference or possibly better. Note this team has beat all the major squads of late and this includes beating Cleveland by 4 as a 6 point underdog (the small dog price shows the respect the oddsmakers have for this team), beating Charlotte on the road, losing to the Spurs by just 2 points, beating New Orleans and Philly on the road by 13 and 9 – beating Golden State by 6 points as just a 4 point underdog which once again shows their value the oddsmakers feel for them, beating Cleveland again despite Cleveland having revenge by 7, beating Philadelphia by 20 and most recently beating New York 105-82 and easily covering as a 13 point favorite. Let’s roll with Indiana here as Chicago comes off a big win, classic let down spot and with Indiana with revenge and the Bulls shaky on the road, let’s roll with the home team with a great home atmosphere. The Bulls are just 3-11 ATS following a win and the Pacers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings to boot.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358238

                              #74
                              OC Dooley

                              2 Units Cleveland St -5.5
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358238

                                #75
                                Mike neri

                                cleveland st -5.5
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