3-27-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KEN THOMSON


3* - gonz
3* - nc st
3* - utah
3* - okla

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

nba- 4* celtics -9.5

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WAYNE ROOT

PINNNACLE – Utah

PERFECT PLAY - Louisville

INNER CIRCLE – Oklahoma

MILLLIONAIRE – Gonzaga

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John Fisher

5* NC State +3

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Allan Eastman
8-Unit NCAA Tourney GOTY
Michigan st -1.5

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Doc's

7-Unit LA Clippers/Philadelphia Under 201

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western viper:
Cbb oklahoma +2 (-115)
cbb utah +6 (-125)

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Alatex 10*

NC St. +2.5

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Frank Patron

20,000 Unit Move


Michigan State Spartans -1.5 over Oklahoma

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAJUN SPORTS


Lost last night with Wichita State




GAME: Utah Utes vs. Duke Blue Devils 9:45 PM EST


RATING: 5* (#884) Duke Blue Devils -5


The Utah Utes advanced to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2009 by defeating Georgetown 75 to 64 in the round of 32. The Duke Blue Devils dispatched Robert Morris and San Diego State to advance to the Sweet 16. The Devils rolled over both opponents in blowout fashion covering as nine-point favorites against the Aztecs with a final score of 68 to 49 in the Round of 32. Jahlil Okafor had twenty-six points, six rebounds and three blocks in their win over San Diego State. Okafor has been a beast scoring 47 points in their two NCAA Tournament games which is the most by a Duke freshman in the history of Blue Devil basketball. Duke made the Sweet 16 for the thirteenth time in as many chances as a Number One seed. The Utes are led by guards Taylor and Wright who have both been instrumental in their advancement to the Sweet 16. The Blue Devils installed as favorites in this price range have posted a record of 15-5 ats. Duke when installed as a favorite in this price range coming off a game in which they were the favorites has posted a record of 17-7-1 ats in their next game. If Duke won as the favorite in their last game they are 16-6 ats their next time on the hardwood. We want to Play AGAINST postseason road teams coming off a su win as a favorite and going Over the posted total. These postseason road teams are 41-70-4 ats in their next game. We want to Play AGAINST postseason road underdogs coming off a su win as a favorite and going Over in their last game because these postseason road pups are 38-62-3 ats. If our postseason road pup won both su and ats as a favorite while going Over the posted total are 29-47-4 ats their next time out. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 12.80 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 8.21 points with a line range of -5 to -7. The BSIM Matrix has the Blue Devils with a 74.04 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 9.93 with a transitional average of 43.9 and a conversion rate range of 48.95 to 50.77 percent in tonights contest. College favorites in this price range with a BBMM average of at least 7.75 points and an OD differential of more than 8.5 are a perfect 30-6-2 ats including a perfect 14-0 ats the last fourteen qualifying contests. The Duke Blue Devils have been in this particular situation (BTPR BBMM SIM min averages) seven times the last two seasons and they won and covered in all seven of those games. The Utes Madness ends on Friday night with Duke punching their ticket to the Elite 8 with a su and ats victory. Devils
GAME: NC State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinals 7:35 PM EST


RATING: 5* (#877) NC State Wolfpack +3


The Wolfpack was installed as a double-digit underdog in their third round game against Number One seed Villanova last Saturday with few if any giving them a chance to cover the spread much less win straight up. If you watched that contest it was relatively obvious very early on that the Wolfpack were playing on a different level than Villanova. It was if Villanova had overlooked NC State and just assumed if they show up they will win and advance. It happens every year these young men (boys) start believing all the hype by the so-called experts and fail to show up against a lesser opponent with the outcome quite different than what they expected. NC State is playing into revenge because these two met during the regular season and the Wolfpack defeated the Cardinals 74 to 63 as ten-point road underdogs. Will Louisville avenge that loss and advance, our numbers say no because NC State scores higher in all of our primary indexes as well as the BSIM. NC State coming off a su and ats win in their last game and now installed as a conference road team has posted a record of 20-8-1 ats in this situation. We want to Play ON postseason teams coming off a su and ats win on the road versus a team with a winning record. These play on teams have posted a record of 104-68-7 ats. If they are installed as a road underdog the record is 74-46-3 ats. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of -5.76 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of -6.41 points with a line range of +2.5 to +4.5. The BSIM Matrix has NC State with a 72.97 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 5.16 with a transitional average of 41.4 and a conversion rate range of 42.56 to 44.7 percent in tonights contest. With significant support from our power index averages as well as technical and situational support all pointing to one team and the winner of this game we will follow the lead and play NC State plus the points. Wolfpack
NCAA Basketball TOTAL Selection(s):

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

25* Gonzaga
25* Oklahoma
25* Louisville

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Dave Essler
3* UCLA

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Mike Davis

6-Unit - UCLA / Gonzaga over 144

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DHAYES2

1* Gonzaga -8.5

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Indian Cowboy

Write-up

7-Unit Play. #883. Take Under 134.5 Duke vs. Utah (Friday @ 9:45pm est) (Currently 135 at Sportsbook)


We roll with the Under today as these two teams hook up in what should be an absolute thriller. Duke of course is the better team here as Coach K has consistently learned from what he has done well and what he has done wrong in the past and consequently over the past few years have fielded more competitive teams to his credit. This is a Duke team that is top 5 in offensive efficiency and top 45 in defensive efficiency. And when this team hooks up with strong defensive teams, they have a tendency to go Under. They essentially play to the tempo of their opposing team. Such as their wins against Wisconsin and Notre Dame, both were very high scoring affairs 150 respectively for all 3 games in fact. But when they face defensive teams such as a Virginia or UConn it was 132 and 122 points respectively. And the same goes for a Utah team who loves to play strong defense and the benchmark for this game is when Utah faced Arizona twice this year and lost 69-51 and 63-57 both totals of 120. And when Utah faced San Diego State, BYU or UCLA for that matter all top 30 power ranking teams the totals were 110, 126 and 102. And even the Wichita State game went to 137 - but that went to overtime so if it stays in regular that goes under the posted total as well from the current total. Plus, as one of the last games on the board this is a great public fade to boot. Let's indeed roll with the Under here as both these teams when they face strong power ranking teams have a tedency to go under the posted total, quality public fade and the Under is 5-2 when the Utes face a team with a winning percentage of 60% or greater and Under is 4-1 for the Blue Devils when they face a team with a winning percentage of 60% or lower as well.