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NBA
Dunkel's Highlighted Game
Atlanta at Brooklyn - Wednesday April 8, 2015
The Hawks (23-14 SU on the road) head to Brooklyn tonight to face a Nets team that is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Brooklyn is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nets favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5).
Wednesday April 8, 2015
Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets
Game 721-722
April 8, 2015 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Laker
114.245
Denver Nuggets
117.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 3 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 10
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Laker
(+10); Over
Washington Wizards @ Philadelphia 76ers
Game 701-702
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington Wizard
122.911
Philadelphia 76er
112.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington Wizard
by 10 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington Wizard
by 7 1/2
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Wizard
(-7 1/2); Over
Phoenix Suns @ Dallas Mavericks
Game 723-724
April 8, 2015 @ 9:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix Suns
116.363
Dallas Mavericks
121.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 5
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 8 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix Suns
(+8 1/2); N/A
Chicago Bulls @ Orlando Magic
Game 703-704
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Bulls
124.206
Orlando Magic
114.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 10
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 8
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Bulls
(-8); Over
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto Raptors
118.624
Charlotte Hornets
119.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte Hornets
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 3
198
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte Hornets
(+3); Over
Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks
Game 707-708
April 8, 2015 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Indiana Pacers
117.511
New York Knicks
114.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 3
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 13
192
Dunkel Pick:
New York Knicks
(+13); Under
Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets
Game 709-710
April 8, 2015 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta Hawks
118.262
Brooklyn Nets
129.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn Nets
by 11
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn Nets
by 5
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn Nets
(-5); N/A
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons
Game 711-712
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boston Celtics
115.312
Detroit Pistons
118.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit Pistons
by 3 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit Pistons
by 1
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit Pistons
(-1); Over
Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans Pelic
121.765
Memphis Grizzlies
123.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 1 1/2
173 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 5
186
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans Pelic
(+5); Under
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs
Game 717-718
April 8, 2015 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
118.079
San Antonio Spurs
132.560
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 14 1/2
214 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 5 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio Spurs
(-5 1/2); Over
Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz
Game 719-720
April 8, 2015 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento Kings
112.432
Utah Jazz
122.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah Jazz
by 10
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah Jazz
by 8 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Utah Jazz
(-8 1/2); N/A
3 Unit Play Take #711 Boston -1 over Detroit (7:05pm est):
Both of these teams are coming off thrilling wins in their last game. The Boston Celtics are fighting for a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and nearly blew a big game for them their last time out as the Toronto Raptors came from down by double digits in the 4th quarter to force overtime. The Celtics trailed for most of the overtime but scored at the buzzer to steal back a game that they almost let slip away. Boston has been beating these type of teams like the Pistons (Eastern Conference squads in the 30-36 win range) the last three times they’ve played against them but they did just lose in overtime to Detroit at home right before that and they would love nothing more than to get that much needed win back here and do so on the Pistons home floor.
Detroit has been playing much better of late after an ugly losing streak more or less knocked them out of the playoff race last month. Those losses came right after guard Reggie Jackson was acquired by the Pistons at the trade deadline but Jackson eventually settled in and has been playing very well of late and his rise in play has been a big reason for the Pistons winning six of their last nine games. The other big thing that has happened during Detroit’s recent surge has been that one of their best players in Greg Monroe has been out with an injury. Most feel the reason Jackson has played so well of late has been because without Monroe down low it’s helped open up some things offensively for Jackson and the Pistons offense and created better spacing for their offense. The problem now is that Monroe has practiced and is back for tonight’s game and you have to wonder if having Monroe back on the floor means Detroit’s will revert back to their poor play again.
With this being a much bigger game for the Celtics I expect them to bring a big performance here in this one. Take Boston.
Two factors come into play here. First, Cleveland should have an advantage offensive tonight. Last year, this team ranked 5th overall against right-handed pitching. They’ve added another power bat in Moss to the lineup and will feature 8 left-handers in this one. Houston, on the other hand, ranked 20th offensively against right-handers. All of their key ‘big bats’ are righties: Altuve, Springer, Gattis, and Carter. So offensively, Cleveland should have a strong edge here. Of course an even bigger edge should reside between the two starters. Carrasco was my #2 ranked starter last season. Yes, only Clayton Kershaw was better when you look at advanced stats. Imagine what Kershaw would be listed at if he was pitching in this spot @ Houston. About -150 / -160 if I had to guess. Carrasco is a strike-out machine (27% K-rate) who dominated right-handers last year (2.4 xFIP with 7.5 K/BB rate). Houston’s hitters love to strike out and they’re one of the worst in that department. I think we’ll see a dominant outing from him tonight. As far as Feldman is concerned, he’s as mediocre as it gets. Just looka t that terrible K-rate of 14% along with a 4.1/4.2 FIP/xFIP. His ERA of 3.7 was actually much lower last year than his SIERA of 4.3, so I would expect some major regression this season. In Spring Training, Feldman had 8 K’s to 8 BB’s….in 18.1 innings of work. That’s probably as bad as you can pitch, regardless of whether he gave up hits and/or HR’s. Huge mismatch in this one and I love Indians’ chances tonight.
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