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#916 Cleveland Indians with Carrasco moneyline -140 (7:10 edt)
The Indians will be very ready for a win here after getting swept in their first home series of the season to the Tigers. They have had Monday off to stew about that so look for a big effort from them here. If they want a home win they have found a perfect opponent since they are 15-3 against the Sox at home and Carrasco was outstanding in his first start this season. Take Cleveland here as the play of the day.
Tuesday card has the A.L. Central Total of the Month from a Rare and perfect totals system dating to 1995, there is also a Powerful 92% NBA Super system side up. NBA Top play cashes big as well as Both MLB Top plays. Free MLB play below.
On Tuesday the free MLB play is on the San Francisco Giants. Game 910 at 10:15 eastern. The Giants will look to rebound after getting shutout by Colorado on monday 2-0. Tonight they have Tim Hudson going and he is 7-0 at home vs Colorado and is a quick starter going 8-0 at home in April stars the last few seasons. Last out he went 6+ score less. Colorado counters with Bergman who will make his first start. Last year he lost his last 3 road games and maybe catching the giants at the wrong time tonight. The Rockies are a paltry 14-42 on the road when the total is 7 or less and the Giants have been solid as a home favorite in this range. Take the Giants. On Tuesday in MLB Action the lead play is the A.L. Central Total of the month from a League wide totals system that is Perfect since 1995, their is also a another big NBA Late season power system side cashing 92% long term. Jump on now and cash out on Tuesday. For the free play. Take the Giants. GC
Arrieta, my 5th ranked starting pitcher last season, is still underpriced at home. Anthony DeSclafani has a 5.8 career ERA (39.0 innings), a K/9 rate of 6.8, 1.5 HR/9 rate, and 4.5/4.2 FIP/xFIP. Throw in a mediocre 35% GB-rate and a 23% LD-rate and you have a pretty mediocre pitcher on the mound opposite Arrieta. Arrieta dominated the Reds at home last year allowing 2 ER’s in 16 innings of work with 22K’s and only 1 BB. I like his chances for another strong outing and a win tonight.
Detroit Tigers +108
Fading old-man Burnett here against one of the better lineups in the league. Opposite him is Shane Greene, who is facing the Pirates for the first time in his career. Greene has had a dominant year last season with a 24% K-rate, 50% GB-rate, and 3.4 SIERA, 37th best mark in the league. He does tend to struggle against ‘lefties’ with a 1.7 K/BB rate, 15% K-rate, and 4.3/4.3 FIP/xFIP against them. Pirates have 3 of them in the lineup today: Polanco, Walker, and Alvarez. Polanco is still figuring out how to play in the majors and Alvarez is a below average hitter. Walker of course is a ‘risk’ but hopefully Greene can work around him. What Greene lacks against lefties though he more than makes up for it against righties. Here are his numbers against right-handers in his career: 31% K-rate, 4.9 K/BB rate, 2.8/2.7 FIP/xFIP. These are absolutely elite numbers against right-handed hitters. As long as Greene is ‘on’ his game today, I expect a dominant performance out of him, as the Tigers should plate enough runs off Burnett to grab a win in this one.
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