4-23-15

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Steel City Cappers

Cubs-117. 1*

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ULTRA SPORTS – MLB

st Louis Cardinals
Kansas City

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Betting First Look Show with Marco D’Angelo

Milwaukee Brewers ML

[DaKid]

Do you know?.......................Thanks..

Hes ok, has runs like everyone else

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James Jones

2* NBA-Milwaukee Bucks(+3)-112
1* NBA-Boston Celtics(+5)-107

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EZWINNERS

Added

MLB – (ACTION)

2* (961) Dodgers -$111

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Indian Cowboy NBA
8-Unit Play. #734. Take Over 203.5 Cleveland vs. Boston

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For today on April 23 we have the following bet under my original MLB betting system:




Chicago White Sox {A} bet (this is a bet on the money line)




Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.




Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:




In the month of April: Bet aggressively on all the qualifying bets under the original MLB system by risking an additional 5% on every wager you make. Risk a flat percentage of your bankroll for all your wagers under the Exterminator system.




Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:






- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road




- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.




- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team




Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.




Regards,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

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Sleepyj | NHL Total - Dime Over 5 Nashville/Chicago

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Dave Malinsky - NBA Best Bet - Over Cavs/Celtics

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Dave Cokin - NHL Best Bet - Blackhawks

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VegasButcher - MLB 16 – 14 for +0.11 Units

Chicago Cubs -104

No McCutchen in the lineup for the Pirates today which is a big loss for Pittsburgh of course. In addition their best reliever so far this year, Tony Watson pitched 2 innings yesterday (30 pitches) and 3 of the last 4 days. I don’t see him being available in this early game either. Starting pitching is a wash but Cubs have an advantage offensively and with their BP in this matchup. I expect them to bounce back.

Miami Marlins -113

Have you looked at Phillies’ lineup today? They are without Howard, Utley, or Ruiz. This is a team that ranks 29th offensively so far and 30th against righties, and they’ll be even worse than that in today’s matchup. Neither pitcher is anything special but Phelps at least is coming off a start on 04/17. McGowan has worked primarily in the BP with his last appearance being 4-days ago. Phillies’ BP has a 2.5 ERA but their 4.2 SIERA is the 29th worst mark in the league, indicating to me that this group isn’t as good as their ERA indicates. Plus both Garcia and Giles have pitched in two straight games so their availability is in question today. This is a very winnable game for Miami.

New York Mets -128

Sometimes when you’re hot, you’re ‘hot’, and there isn’t a hotter team than the Mets right now, winners of 10 straight. They also have a starting pitching advantage in this one. Colon has a 24% K-rate and a 2.9 SIERA, the 26th best mark in the league so far. By comparison, Teheran has only an 18% K-rate. His 3.7 ERA is almost a full run lower than his 4.6 xFIP or his 4.5 SIERA, the 108th ranked mark in the league. When he faced the Mets on 04/11, he had a good outing on the surface (1 ER in 6 innings) but when you look closer he actually allowed 3 runs (2 were unearned) and issued 4 BB’s. His SIERA was 5.1 in that one with a 29% LD-rate and only a 36% GB-rate. This time he gets to face them on the road. I expect a different outing more in line with his advanced stats.

Milwaukee Brewers -105

Lohse has a 10.3 ERA but his 3.9 SIERA indicates a pitcher that is just a tad ‘unlucky’ so far. His 0.357 BABIP and a ridiculously low 45% strand-rate, plus an inflated 29% HR/FB rate have a lot to do with it. Facing a mediocre Cincy lineup at home today I think Lohse has a good shot to get back on track. He dominated this team last season and has a 2.7 career ERA against them in 20 career starts. As far as Bailey is concerned, he made his first start off an injury and the results weren’t pretty. It’s one thing to give up 9 hits and 5 ER’s in 5.2 innings but he failed to strike out even 1 batter while facing 28. Remember, he faced a NL team so the pitcher also numerous times and failed to record even one punch-out. I think today is a strong chance that Brewers break their losing streak.

Los Angeles Dodgers -112

Straight fade of Vogelsong who has been one of the worst pitchers in the league over the last few years. His 5.2 SIERA this season is right in line with his recent performance. Dodgers rested a number of key hitters yesterday so I expect all to be available today. Plus this Bolsinger kid is pretty decent. Last year he recorded a 5.5 ERA but his 3.3 xFIP and 3.5 SIERA indicate a much stronger pitcher than that. He had a 20% K-rate and a 52% GB-rate in 52 major-league innings, and that tells me the kid can pitch. His .355 BABIp and low 64% strand-rate had a lot to do with his ERA being inflated. So far in two AAA starts he has a K/9 rate of 14 with a 0.0 ERA and 1.7 FIP. Backed by a strong offense and a very good BP, I expect him to do well against Vogelsong and the light-hitting Giants.

San Diego Padres -113

Just a much better pitcher on the mound here. Ross hasn’t been ‘great’ but he’s better than Lyles who has almost as many walks issued (9) as strike-outs (10). Lyles has a 4.5 FIP and 1.1 HR/9 rate at Coors and I don’t like his chances against a potent Padres lineup

Washington Nationals -142

Scherzer at home at these odds? Can’t pass that up. Scherzer is dominating the NL right now and some might argue that Wacha is doing the same as his 1.4 ERA indicates. But his 4.6/4.2/4.4 FxS tell a different story. His 11% K-rate is extremely low as he’s been aided by unsustainable 0.186 BABIp and 100% strand-rate so far. Facing an improving (healthier) Washington lineup on the road will be a bigger challenge than going up against Cincy in his first 2 starts. Back Scherzer with confidence at home in this one.

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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS – MLB

#963/964: Cardinals/Nationals: Over 6.5 (-105) (1*)
Wacha/Scherzer

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SB Professor Original NBA

No plays tonight

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The Sheep's Moves

April 23, 2015

960 UNDER 31.5 (-110) R/H/E (SD-COL) ($500) **Buy-Back**
960 Colorado -105 $500
959) OVER 31.5 (-110) RUNS/HITS/ERRORS (SD/COL) $500