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8-Unit Play. #734. Take Over 203.5 Cleveland vs. Boston (Thursday @ 7:05pm est) We roll with the Over here as we expect this contest to have a high pace to it. Note that Boston is only a +4.5 dog here for a reason and we expect them to likely win this contest outright. At worst, we expect them to give Cleveland plenty of issues at home today as with the Boston crowd, it should be raucous environment for Lebron. Lebron hates playing in Boston and has always hated the Boston fans who are some of the most knowledeable fans in not only the United States but all over the World. They know their sports inside and out and Lebron even in the Pierce, Garnett, Allen, Rondo days has hated to play in Boston. Look for Boston to be a fantastic active underdog here and likely send this game over the posted total. Whenever Boston has played well, they have gone over the posted total such as their 121-122 contest earlier this season in Boston when Boston was a 6 point underdog. With Boston coming off one of their worst offensive performances in recent memory only posting 91 points in their last game, this is a big bounce-back game. Look for Boston and Coach Stephens to bounce-back offensively and Lebron and Company to play well offensively as well as Lebron learned from the Miami days how important it is to stay focused and sweep teams so as to save energy for the tougher series that are coming ahead (i.e Atlanta). Look for Boston to be a great active underdog, Lebron and company to be pushed to the limit such as the earlier game this season which went to over 240 points as we expect this game to reach 215 this evening. The Over is 7-3 for Cleveland coming off an ATS loss and the Over is 15-7 for Boston against the NBA Central. Essentially, active underdog, bounce-back offensively for Boston and Cleveland plays to the Over typically on the road to boot as well
8-Unit Play. #79. Take Over 5 Goals (-135) in Calgary vs. Vancouver (Thursday @ 10pm est) We roll with the Over here as we expect Vancouver to finally show up in a big way offensively after a lackluster offensive performance the last two days. Vancouver lost 3-1 to Calgary in their last game and 1-2 the previous game which has to frustrate a team that has a lot of offensive prowess. This is a Vancouver team that when they play well and have been heavy favorites for certain listed games such as today against Calgary has done well. They won 4-1 recently against Calgary on April 17th as a -152 favorites and now find themselves as a similar favorite. But the difference is that Calgary is likely an active underdog on the road today as well as they play a bit more free today and not as stressed as Vancouver who have it all on the line. In elimination games or near elimination games, people believe games likely go under but usually its the opposite way around.
On such games, games have a big tendency to likely go over the posted total and such is the case today. With Vancouver as the -150’ish favorites today, likely to bounce-back offensively and Calgary likely to hold their own taking more chances and playing a bit more free – look for this contest to likely go over the posted total this evening at a 4-2 type of final
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