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7-Unit Play. Take #925 Cincinnati (+140) @over Cleveland (7:05 p.m., Friday, May 22) The Reds are in the midst of their longest losing streak of the season at 5 games in a row, but I think having the gritty Mike Leake on the bump for them tonight is going to snap their recent slide. Leake has been great on the road this season going 2-1 with a 1.74 ERA over 4 starts and in his last two road starts he hasn’t allowed a run over 16 innings pitched while surrendering just 8 hits winning both contests. Leake will need his offense to score some runs and improve upon their hitting with runners in scoring position, as they are 10-73 (.137) over their last 11 contests in those situations going 3-8 over that span. Luckily for Cincinnati Joey Votto (8 HR, 18 RBI’s last 17 meetings), Marlon Byrd (15-35, 12 RBI’s last 9 contests), Zack Cozart (hitting .405 over 11 matchups), and Brandon Phillips (.350 lifetime) have all had success against Cleveland in their careers. Just like the Indians as a team have struggled at home losing 6 of 18 so far at Progressive Field so has scheduled starter Carlos Carrasco. Carrasco is 1-2 with a 7.11 ERA in 3 starts allowing 10 earned runs in 12.2 innings pitched. He has lost back to back starts and he has surrendered 7 runs over 10 innings in two starts against the Reds. Cleveland is just 3-12 in their last 15 games following a win and they are 0-11 in Carrasco’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series while the Reds are 4-1 in Leake’s last 5 road starts versus a team with a losing record. I think Cincinnati gets a lead early, something they haven’t had in their last 5 games, and Leake takes it from there to pick up the W.
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