5-31-15

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DHAYES2

1* Royals -107

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POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play Of The Day

MLB: Texas Rangers -110 (Rodriguez)

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LT LOCK

Reds
Brewers
Padres
Red Sox
Angels

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BURNS:

10* LA Angels Under 7.5
8* Oakland -132
8* Baltimore Over 8

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SUNDAY PICKS(NSA "THE LEGEND")
25* MLB Nationals -120
20* MLB Pirates -110
20* MLB Giants -1.5
10* MLB Twins +110
10* MLB Rays -110
5* MLB Rangers -110

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sports insights

BOS -111
MIA +126

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Dave Cokin

Brewers +107 (Anderson/Wagner)
I'm very familiar with Tyler Wagner, who will make his big league debut here. He's a Las Vegas kid and whole this is a big step up for him this early, he;s been very good at Biloxi and it's already established I like betting on first time starters who have some skills. Wagner won't be a high K type, he's going to be successful getting ground balls with a hard sinker in the low 90's. He can bump the fastball up a few ticks on occasion. Mid-80's slider with lots of break, has to guard against hanging that pitch. There's also a changeup which seems to have improved this year. Wagner throws three-quarters and has a high kick, so for guys who have not seen him there figures to be some deception. Anderson has pitched well for the Diamondbacks and Arizona is playing good ball right now, so this is no cinch. But I want to stay with the debuting pitcher angle that's paying off nicely, so I'm going aheaqd and taking my chances with Milwaukee here.

Dodgers +100 (Anderson/Martinez)
I'm reading the line here and making an assessment based on that. Cardinals have lost six home games all season, Dodgers not so hot on the road. Carlos Martinez has given up zero runs in his last two starts, and yet the Redbirds are barely favored on the true opening line. Why wouldn't St. Louis open more in the -130 range? I'm more inclined to utilize this thought process in football than baseball, but this is a game where the square money has to be on the Cardinals, and is, and yet the line is holding firm. When the oddsmakers say who they like in a game, I have a tendency to believe them. Also have no problem backing Brett Anderson, who has actually now cracked the Top 20 on the metrics chart. Dodgers get a play here.

Rangers +102 (Kelly/Rodriguez)
Joe Kelly might be pitching for his roster spot here. Maybe that propels him to a good start, but that's iffy at best. Not thrilled with Wandy as a pitch to back and he can certainly be homer prone. But that Boston offense is terrible right now, and so is the defense. I was leaning Texas to begin with, and with the line movement I think I have to just take them based on value at this point. Be advised it's sharp money on the Red Sox, but I'm buying Texas today at the current number.

Indians -103 (Salazar/Happ)
Pretty good mound matchup. Happ has surpassed my expectations and his numbers this season are legit. But Salazar continues to impress. Throwing out his last start as he was apparently bothered by a cut on one of his fingers, but he should be good to go here. Better pitcher and a better offense as well, with the Mariners having been very inefficient for the most part all season. I think the true line here is more like Indians -130, so I have no problem playing the Tribe in the pick 'em neighborhood.