6-4-15

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

NBA BASKETBALL


50* Play Golden State -5.5 over Cleveland (NBA)

Golden State is 29-18 ATS in home games this season
Golden State is 23-13 ATS when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY MLB BASEBALL


50* Play Detroit -115 over Oakland

Oakland is 1-5 when playing on a Thursday
Oakland is 5-14 in day games this season


50* Play Washington -110 over Chicago Cubs

Washington is 52-37 after having lost four or five of the last six games
Washington is 25-16 when playing on a Thursday


50* Play Houston -140 over Baltimore

Houston is 29-16 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Houston is 12-6 in day games this season

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Worlds Worst Picker

Cleveland Cavaliers
Oakland athletics

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Dave Cokin

Rays +125 (Ramirez/Elias)

Erasmo Ramirez homecoming, so he should be fired up to go against a team that I'm sure he feels dumped him. Ramirez is mediocre but he's off an exceptional start. Roenis Elias for the Mariners here, and he's no great shakes either, also it's not exactly a stellar matchup. Rays hit lefties decently, bullpens are roughly even, though I'd give ninth inning edge to TB for sure. Mariners made the deal for Mark Trumbo, and that should help their offense, though his defense is atrocious if they're putting him in the outfield. No clue as to whether or not Trumbo gets to Seattle for this game. I was thinking of waiting for the lineup info to show tomorrow, but my sense is that if he's playing the number drops, so perhaps better to just go ahead with it early at what is a decent enough dog price. No problems trying to beat Seattle right now, so let's take the Rays in this spot.

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Mike Davis MLB

2-Unit Play. Take #957 St Louis +100 over LA Dodgers (Thursday, June 4th at 10:10 p.m.)

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Thursday card has the NBA Finals Double Perfect Historical super system side and the 96% MLB Power system game of the week. MLB 3* 90% totals system below.





The MLB Totals system play is on the Over 7.5 runs in the Cleveland at KC Game. Rotation numbers 967/968 at 8:10 eastern. This game fits a powerful 90% totals system that dates to 2004 and averages over 11 runs per game when it has applied. We are playing over the total for home favorites like Kansas City in games where the total is 8 or less if they are off a home dog win and scored 4 or less runs, vs an opponent that lost as a road favorite and scored 2 or less runs and had 10+ hits. Both pitchers in this game. C. Young for KC and T. Bauer for Cleveland have been excellent as both have an Era under one. This will be the game they give up some runs as they both make their first starts here in June. In the Series 6 of the last 8 have posted over the total. Cleveland has played over 5 of 6 times as a road dog from_100 to +125 and 15 of 20 vs winning teams. Look for this game to push over the total tonight. On Thursday the NBA Finals Double Perfect Historical system side takes center stage along with the 5* MLB Game of the Week from a Powerful 96% System that dates to 2004. Jump on now and put the most powerful data in the industry on your side. For the MLB Totals play. Take Cleveland and Kansas City to go over 7.5 runs. GC

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Kevin Rogers

Golden State (-6 -105)
The Warriors are favored to win this series, but it almost feels like they are treated like an underdog heading into the Finals against the Cavaliers. Klay Thompson is expected to play in Game 1 after suffering a concussion in the series clincher against Houston in the last round. The Cavaliers cruised past the Hawks in four games and won two of those games without Kyrie Irving, who still isn't at 100% despite the week of rest. In LeBron James' playoff career, he is 1-8 in Game 1's on the road, with the only win coming at Atlanta in the last round. Golden State is listed as a home favorite of less than 9.5 points for the first time in the playoffs, while winning eight of nine games at Oracle Arena. I'll back the Warriors to cash in the series opener.

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Bill Marzano

Cavs / Warriors Under 203

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SPORTS REPORTER

BEST BET
CLEVELAND over *GOLDEN STATE by 4
Golden State intrinsically it seems is the better team. They are nearly unbeatable at home, they are great holding teams to a poor shooting percentage and they are deep at guard and can bring in former All Stars as forwards. Andrew Bogut has to stay healthy but he has been solid. But they are not perfect. They have had a tendency to not value the ball and they must do that if they want to control the tempo in this series. Considering the layoff, both teams could come out a bit rusty and that will favor Cleveland and give them a shot to quiet to home crowd if they can get out to an early lead and control the tempo. You can bet your bottom dollar that LeBron is sick and tired of hearing how Steph Curry is the best shooter of all time and that the King is only 17% from long range in the playoffs. That last stat can be easily fixed if LeBron just goes to the hoop. Bogut is a good defender but really not a shot blocker. Granted the regular season is the regular season, but when Cleveland played this team for the first time this year they were in the midst of losing 9 of 10, LeBron didn’t play and the guy that started for LeBron had 0 points. And the ball stuck with 13 assists. When Cleveland got revenge on the Californians the Cavaliers won the battle of the glass, the Splash Brothers were 10 for 30 combined and LeBron had 42 and 11 boards. This is the game to get because if they can, then the Warriors will be tight as a drum for the second game. CLEVELAND 104 – 100


7:05
RECOMMENDED
CHICAGO CUBS (Arrieta) +115
at Washington Nationals (G. Gonzalez)
These two offenses have seen better days but given that the Cubs are healthier and are facing their preferred side, they are the pick. The Cubs are hitting lefties to the tune of 5.4 runs per game in their eight chances and will look to build on that against a pitcher in Gio Gonzalez who is not at his best right now. He has a 5.94 ERA in his last three outings with the only good one coming against a horrible Phillies team. He has nice recent numbers vs. the Cubs but their personnel is much bet- ter than last year. Jake Arrieta is in for a nice day. Washington has been banged up all year and they just aren’t putting runs on the board. They have been held to three runs or fewer in 10 of their last 12 games with seven of those featuring two or fewer runs. They are just not in a good place right now and that should cost them.

9:40
RECOMMENDED TOTAL
UNDER 8
New York Mets (Harvey) at Arizona (Hellickson)
Matt Harvey returns to the scene of his major league debut when he struck out 11 D-Backs in just 5.2 innings. On paper, it looks like Harvey struggled in his last start but he really just had an unlucky three batter span. He allowed four runs but only six hits and struck out 11 in eight innings and should be ready to get back on track today. Jeremy Hellickson is usually an over target of ours but we have to give credit where credit is due: He is pitching well right now with a 3.37 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his last three starts. The Mets offense isn’t great, and is much worse on the road this year, scoring only 3.2 runs per game. Look for them to struggle here.

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Indian Cowboy


3* LA Dodgers

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Frank Patron


20,000 Money Move


Cleveland Cavaliers +6

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Cleveland Insider

MLB

Orioles +1.5
Diamondbacks +1.5
Dodgers -1.5

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POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play Of The Day

Golden State Warriors -6

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Justin Michael Sports (YTD NBA +26 Units)

Thursday, June 4th 2015 at 8:00PM CST – Cleveland vs Golden State – 5.5

GOLDEN STATE 5 UNITS

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Strike Point Sports MLB

7-Unit Play. Take NY Mets (-140) over Arizona