7-13-15

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Hondo

Hondo has horse right here

Hondo closed out the first half on a high note — one of the few — as he scored easily in Cleveland with stable stud Sonny Gray and the A’s to lower the IOUs to 1,935 abbatiellos.

Monday: In the absence of any activity in the diamond district, Mr. Aitch will heed the counsel of a harness racing insider and put one unit to win on Caviart Christa in the eighth at Yonkers.

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Chris Torrisi

CFL

Calgary-7

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GEOFF WEIGEL

HR Derby Prediction

Albert Pujols +400

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Fezzik

Triple Dime - Calgary -6

Calgary is a 3 star play up to -7, at -7.5 it's a 2 star play.


Calgary, the defending CFL champs have disappoäinted 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, and WHAT A BAD GAME they just played laying -9.5 @ Montreal and getting slapped around by Cato and Montreal.


They were in a terrible spot there, but they are in a great spot now, VERY ANGRY and hosting a Toronto team that has yet to play a home game since the Pan American Rodeo or Games or whatever it is has invaded their stadium. Toronto is 2-0 SU, ATS, and that sets them up IMO to fail miserably here, fat drunk and happy off a 2-0 road start. Remember when we faded Ottawa last week and they got crushed? The same thing should happen to Toronto TONIGHT!

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Soccer Crusher
Velez Sarsfield + Tigre UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina

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James Jones

1* MLB(All-Star)-Todd Frazier wins Home Run Derby+450
1* MLB(All-Star)-Josh Donaldson wins Home Run Derby+765
1.5* MLB(All-Star)-Joc Pederson wins Home Run Derby+600
1.5* MLB(All-Star)-Bottom Bracket Exact Result-Todd Frazier beats Josh Donaldson+427
1.5* MLB(All-Star)-Bottom Bracket Exact Result-Josh Donaldson beats Todd Frazier+623

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Bankerz Bets

Home Run Derby FREE Picks


Prince Fielder +525
Kris Bryant +475

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Big Al

Our complimentary selection for Monday, July 13

7:00 EST

Honduras -0.5 over Haiti.

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Stephen Nover
MONDAY CFL CRUSHER
Calgary -7

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Brandon Lang

FREE PLAY


CFL - Toronto/Calgary OVER 52

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JR Odonnell
Tor +8
Under 52

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SPORTS WAGERS

Toronto + 7½ over CALGARY


BEST LINES: Bet365 +7½ -105 SportsInteraction +7½ -110 N/A Pinnacle +7 +104 Betfair N/A

Posted at 1:00 PM EST.

Not many are concerned about the Stampeders 1-1 record (which should actually be 0-2 had it not been for poor clock management by Hamilton in Week 1). After all, the Stamps are still the champs and it is being suggested that a big breakout game is forthcoming. That could certainly come to pass but that’s really not the issue here. The issue is always the price and while Calgary hasn’t looked very good so far, their stock is still very high because of the anticipation of an inevitably huge breakout game. Furthermore, Toronto will now play its third straight game in the past three weeks on the West Coast and they were very fortunate to escape with a win in Regina last week after being outgained by over 200 yards. Combine all that and we get an inflated number on the Argonauts.

So, what you’re going to read or hear about is how Jon Cornish is going to explode for massive yards because he’s only rushed for a combined 129 yards in two games. You’re also going to hear about franchise QB Bo Levi Mitchell being a bit out of sync so far but like Cornish, it’s only a matter of time before Levi-Mitchell goes off for something like 350 yards and four TD’s. Perhaps all of that is true and perhaps the Stamps do go off here against the Argonauts and win going away. Thing is, Cornish is older and age catches up to everyone and so does the toll of playing RB at any level for an extended period of time. How many times in the NFL and CFL over the years have we seen a complete stud suddenly fall off the map after outstanding production the previous year? It happens often and there are millions of fantasy football players that can attest to that fact. Perhaps Cornish’s time is up. Perhaps Bo Levi Mitchell isn’t as good as advertised when he doesn’t have the running game to balance the attack. As we so often find out, there is no switch in the world that a team can turn off and on. When they are out of sync, getting in sync becomes more difficult after each weak performance and Calgary has had two of those so far.

Toronto’s QB Trevor Harris is annihilating the opposition with an 83.1% completion rate, a 7:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio and 614 passing yards. Oh, and he’s yet to lose but now he and the Double Blue are being offered 7½ big points? We’re very aware of the Stamps potential and the fact that the Argos are being asked to travel again for the third consecutive week. However, those intangibles are factored into the number but this week what we’re seeing is some overcompensation. The Argos are being completely disrespected in this line. Every player and coach in that Argos locker room knows the point-spread. Toronto was not given a chance in their season opener in Alberta against the Eskies. They responded. Once again they are being told that they have no chance in Calgary against a team ready to explode. We trust the Argos to respond again and stay well within this margin.

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GAMBLERS PALACE




The 2015 Home Run Derby will take on a new form this year, as sluggers will have a set amount of time to swing the bat instead of having a set number of pitches they will see.

Parlay that with the new bracket, head-to-head style of this contest, and you could have some real fireworks flying in Cincinnati on Monday night.



THE HOME RUN DERBY BRACKET

#1 Albert Pujols vs. #8 Kris Bryant
#4 Joc Pederson vs. #5 Manny Machado
#3 Josh Donaldson vs. #6 Anthony Rizzo
#2 Todd Frazier vs. #7 Prince Fielder

Certainly, youth is being served in this Home Run Derby. Rookies and first-timers are all over the place in this competition, something you don't always see. Joc Pederson and Kris Bryant are both rookies, while Anthony Rizzo and Manny Machado are still very young and have never partook in a competition like this before.

Albert Pujols is back for his fourth Home Run Derby, while Prince Fielder is looking for his third win in this event. Josh Donaldson is in his second go-around in the Home Run Derby, while Todd Frazier, the hometown hero, will look for improvement after he finished as the runner-up to Yoenis Cespedes last year.

Fielder needs 10 home runs to break the all-time record for the most dingers in Home Run Derby history. He has 68, while David Ortiz holds the current record at 77.

PAST HOME RUN DERBY WINNERS

2014: Yoenis Cespedes
2013: Yoenis Cespedes
2012: Prince Fielder
2011: Robinson Cano
2010: David Ortiz
2009: Prince Fielder
2008: Justin Morneau
2007: Vladimir Guerrero
2006: Ryan Howard
2005: Bobby Abreu

The recent trend, of course, is for American League batters to win the Home Run Derby. That really shouldn't be considered all that surprising, knowing that AL teams get to stack the deck a little higher with their everyday lineups with the designated hitter.

However, it really hasn't been the DHs doing the damage of late. There hasn't been a pure DH to win the Home Run Derby since David Ortiz pulled the feat back in 2010.

It isn't often that a first-timer wins the Home Run Derby. Cespedes did so in 2013, but he followed that up with another Home Run Derby victory in 2014. Before that, there wasn't a first-time winner of this competition since Ryan Howard did so in 2006.

HANDICAPPING THE HOME RUN DERBY

So who does the Home Run Derby really favor?

Certainly not Frazier, one would think. There has only been one man in this competition's history to win the Home Run Derby in his home ballpark, that being Ryne Sandberg in 1990. The pressure is just going to be too immense on a man who wasn't really that much of a home run hitter anyway before this season to blast 30+ homers in one night.

Fielder and Pujols would be our picks, if for no other reason that they have been here and done this before. These two can't run into each other until the final of the competition, and both have the perk of being the only real vets of the Home Run Derby on their halves of the draw.

They'll likely be amongst the favorites to do the job, but it's hard to take anything away from these two men, knowing that they each individually have more home runs in this competition in their careers (50 for Pujols, 68 for Fielder) than the other six men combined (and it's not even close).

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CONSENSUS FREE PICKS


The guy who has the longest odds at winning the Home Run Derby is the guy who I feel has the best betting value in this field of 8 players. Manny Machado is only 23 years old, but the young third basemen has 3 years of major league experience under his belt, including postseason play, so don’t expect Machado to shrink under the pressure of the spotlight.

Machado will come into the Derby looking to make a name for himself on the national stage more so than veteran players like Prince Fielder and Albert Pujols. Manny has shown a fiery personality and when he competes for something he goes all out for the win. Having a big head can work to a player’s advantage in a contest like the Home Run Derby and look for Machado to try and grandstand a bit with the spotlight on him. Machado still has a long and successful career ahead of him in Baltimore and this is a great opportunity for the young man to get some recognition on the national stage.

Who do you like to win the Derby?

Odds:

Prince Fielder 15/4
Kris Bryant 9/2
Todd Frazier 9/2
Albert Pujols 6/1
Joc Pederson 6/1
Anthony Rizzo 7/1
Josh Donaldson 7/1
Manny Machado 9/1

OUR PICK:

Manny Machado 9/1