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Chris Rusin has lost 6 of the last 7 games when pitching as an underdog
of +100 or higher and he has lost 14 of the last 18 night games. Chris
Rusin has lost 10 of the last 16 games when pitching in the 2nd half of
the season and he has an ERA of 4.36 in all starts this season.
Play Chicago Cubs -145 over Philadelphia---Top Play
Cole Hamels has lost 21 of the last 30 games when pitching with five or
six days of rest and he has lost 16 of the last 28 day games. Cole
Hamels has lost 24 of the last 42 road games and he has an ERA of 9.45
in his last three overall starts.
Yovanni Gallardo has lost 41 of the last 74 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 20 of the last 33 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Yovanni Gallardo has lost 20 of the last 33 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has lost 38 of
the last 62 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150.
Seattle Mariners (+108) Happ has bounced back over his last three starts and has a stellar 2.66 ERA in his eight home starts. Hutchison has an 8.81 ERA over his 10 road starts and he’s the favorite? Plenty of value here with the home side
Tigers TT Over 4 (-125) Wright loves to give up the long ball and was actually looking at the Game OVER, but think it’s a bit high. That said, Tigers gets to Wright early and often
Giants TT Over 4 (-110) Giants batting .339 and averaging 7 runs per game in their last 10, not get to face Chris Bassitt, who will take Kazmir’s spot in the rotation. I think San Fran’s offense gets cranked back up against the callup
Washington Nationals (+138) I know Burnett’s numbers at home, but seems to me there’s plenty of value here with Gio and the Nats. He’s 3-0, 1.38 ERA over his last four starts and is really starting to look like the guy we saw last year. Burnett has had some struggles vs. Nats, especially last time out, and we think that happens again today
Houston Astros (+124) Gonna play against Duffy here again tonight and looking for some regression. I also like the fact he is 0-2, 7.59 ERA vs. the Astros is his two career starts and Feldman is 3-0, 2.89 ERA is his last four starts vs. the Royals. Plenty of value here with the hot road team
Twins TT Over 4 (+100) I know that CC has owned the Twins throughout his career, but they hit him HARD last time they faced him in the Bronx and he’s simply not the same pitcher he used to be. Opponents batting .299 vs Sabathia and Twins will hit him hard again tonight
New York Mets (-125) Expecting Harvey to bounce back from poor start last time out and Mets anemic offense wakes up a bit vs. Lee, a last minute callup for the Dodgers.
5-Unit Play. Take #926 Kansas City (-130) over Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
Danny Duffy is in the way of the Astros putting together their longest win streak in eleven years. Duffy has been very good so far in July with a 2-0 record with a 1.33 ERA in three outings. The lefty has turned a corner after a dreadful five start stretch where he went 0-4 with an astronomical ERA of 8.14 so it has been nice to se him get it moving in the right direction. The Astros will send Scott Feldman to the hill to oppose Duffy and while he has been solid against KC of late his luck will most likely come to an end this evening. Lorenzo Cain is 7 for 13 lifetime and Eric Hosmer has been on fire in his last seven games batting .500 (14 for 28) with a 1.263 OPS. The Royals have dropped two straight and the way they have been playing in the last two months that will absolutey not continue so take them in this one to even the series.
2-Unit Play. Take #911 Cincinnati (-130) over Colorado (8 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
2-Unit Play. Take #914 San Diego (-135) over Miami (8:40 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
2-Unit Play. Take #917 Toronto (-115) over Seattle (4 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
1-Unit Play. Take #923 Chicago White Sox (-105) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
Today’s Totals
7-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.0 Toronto at Seattle (4 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
There is a lot at work in this game but, the main fact is that both of these pitchers have been a mess this year – and lately – and this is an awful matchup for both of them. The Blue Jays have absolutely dominated left-handed pitching this year. All of their power is on the right side and they just tee off against a soft-tossing lefty like J.A. Happ. The Jays scratched out two runs last night despite Felix Hernandez starting and I think that they will get to five or six today. Drew Hutchinson is going for the Jays today and he has been a wreck all season long, posting a winning record despite posting an ERA over 5.00. He has been consistently bad this season and has been even worse lately, sporting an ERA over 6.00 in his last three starts. Seattle tallied five runs yesterday and I think they will get their cuts in again today. Finally, we have Jim Joyce behind the plate and he is notorious for having a small strike zone. Add in the warm weather for this afternoon game and I see plenty of runs being scored in this one.
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 N.Y. Yankees at Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Texas at L.A. Angels (9 p.m., Saturday, July 25)
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