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The obvious reaction here would be to assume that Scott Kazmir and "over" don't go in the same sentence. However, we've got two of the most potent offenses in baseball (if Trout plays, even better!) in one of the smaller parks in the league with what I consider a favorable umpire. Clint Fagan (behind the plate) has already done three Astros games this year, all of which have gone over the total. Back to Kazmir for a minute, because that's the only wild card, IMO. No denying his capability - but, when I look at the smaller parks he's pitched in, it's not nearly a pretty as what happens in a huge park like Oakland. In Houston he's allowed three home runs in fifteen innings with a 1.56 WHIP.. He is a flyball pitcher - with Cli nt Fagan as an umpire, Kazmir is 0-3 with a 6.32 ERA (hence I came very close to taking the Angels as well, and still might). But, why I am not ready to back Los Angeles is that I don't trust their pen, which under some conditions might be fine, but not with Shoemaker. He has not pitched through the 7th inning since the end of May - and has allowed 17 jacks in only 97 innings pitched. I vividly remember trying to back him after a solid outing when he pitched at Toronto earlier this season - and he was simply crushed. He doesn't change speeds well. The Astros have seen enough of him (not much, but enough for me) and Altuve is 4-7, which we always love when the leadoff guys get on. Even Carter, Mr. Strikeout, is 3-6 with two bombs. I am not sure who catches for Houston, but even Castro, who cannot hit, is 2-4 off of him. That's a least a confidence thing. Back to the Angels' pen, which has a 4.09 ERA over the last week. Can't get behind that on the road. In the last week, the Angels are hitting .270 and averaging over 5 runs per game. In the last week the Astros are hitting .285 and averaging over 5 runs per game. The Angels are a better "over" team on the road. Houston is a better "over" team against right handed pitching. This is a huge series, obviously, and the Angels just cannot afford to get swept (another reason I MAY take them) so they should come out swinging, and of course Houston always does. And, as I have often stated, very often games start the way the previous one finished, and the Astros scored in the last four innings the hit (after being shutout for four innings) and the Angels battled and got a couple in the ninth. There are far too many ways these teams score - and very few that tells me they don't. I'll add more thoughts, as always, later in the day - same as every day and every sport.
Thursday card has The big 5* MLB Blowout game of the Week from an Undefeated super system that Wins by over 3 runs on average. There is also a totals play with 8 big angle. MLB Sweeps Wednesday Free CFL Play below
On Thursday the free Canadian Football League play is on British Columbia game 321 at 8:35 eastern and televised on Espn 2. British Columbia has won 4 of the last 5 in the series and the last 2 here in Winnipeg. They are 13-5 vs teams under .500 and thats what ...they will get here tonight with Winnipeg who is 1-6 as a home dog of 3 or less. When Playing with 6 or less days rest Winnipeg is 5-17, off a division loss they check in at 3-13 and they are also a dismal 0-7 when the total is between 49.5 and 52 in their home games. Look for British Columbia to take another in this series. On Thursday the lead play is the 5* MLB Game of the week from a Huge undefeated blowout system winning by over 3 runs since 2004. We also have a Powerful MLB Totals play with 8 big statistical angles. MLB Sweeps on Wednesday. Jump on now and put this industry leading data on your side. For the free CFL Play. Take British Columbia tonight on Espn 2. GC
Colorado has lost 25 of the last 38 games when playing on a Thursday and they have lost 104 of the last 163 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Colorado has lost 88 of the last 128 road games and they have lost 33 of the last 40 games when playing as an underdog of +175 to +250.
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