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Dave Essler | MLB TotalSat, 08/08/15 - 7:10 PM
triple-dime bet923 CWS / 924 KAN OVER 8 Pinnacle
Analysis: There are tons of 8's and tons of 8.5's. I would wait and see, buy it to 8 (many books allow that) or just play it. If I felt strongly enough it goes over 8, then it goes over 8.5. We're getting such a great number here because of Samardzija, and the fact that Guthrie has at times been pretty good. However, Samradzija in my opinion is wearing down, and since the AS break has allowed four or more earned runs in three of four games. In the beginning of the season we felt that that may happen, first of all as AL teams see more of him, and secondly in the AL he cannot pitch around the pitchers' spot. Kansas City tagged him pretty good after the break, his pitch counts are up, and if flyball/groundball ratio has been way up. The White Sox bullpen has a 4.88 ERA over the last week, and we simply know the Royals are that much more lethal against right handed pitchers. Guthrie has had some very decent starts, much to my chagrin because they seem to happen when I fade the Royals - however, we cannot ignore his season-long WHIP of 1.57 which just is baÆd. He's been tagged pretty good since the AS break as well, is 36 and also perhaps "aging" this time of year. He's thrown a couple of 100+ pitch games, and tonight in Kansas City it's going to be super-hot with a decent breeze blowing from right to left. The Royals bullpen has fallen on hard times - they've got a 6.06 ERA over the last week - and AGAIN last night Holland gave up hits and a run. Laz Diaz is behind the plate, and he's a decent over umpire. Ten of the twenty games he's called this season have had double-digit runs scored, and only ONE of them has not had at least six. There are, as with all f our bigger plays, just far too many ways this gets there. Both teams easily should get to four, making it a winner. Both pens are suspect, and as usual either of these teams can get 9 alone. In last night's 3-2 game, Chicago had tons of chances, going 0-9 w/RISP, and the Royal were only 1-6 w/RISP. It's not going to take much regression back to where they were (hitting) for this to be a higher scoring game. Out
***
Added BO
Pick Made: Aug 8 2015 5:14AM PST
Dave Essler | MLB TotalSat, 08/08/15 - 7:10 PM
dime bet909 Mia / 910 ATL OVER 7.5 Greek
Analysis: I may add more for long term people later in the day - we'll see what happens. I like too many.
Pick Made: Aug 8 2015 7:26AM PST
Dave Essler | MLB TotalSat, 08/08/15 - 7:05 PM
dime bet905 COL / 906 WAS OVER 8 Pinnacle
Analysis: Rockies should score off Strasburg, off the DL and pitch count, maybe. Washington should score off Butler and the Rockies pen - EITHER team can get there alone, too.
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On Saturday the free Road warrior is on St. Louis at 7:10 eastern. The Cardinals are better in just about every category over Milwaukee. They have the #1 road era, The Brewers have 14th home Era. The Cards are 18-6 here and are 30 games over .500 vs right handers this year. Garcia for the Cardinals has won his last 2 here and has a 1.67 road Era. Peralta for Milwaukee has lost both starts this year vs St. Louis and is 0-3 in August starts. St. Lois fits an 82% system that pertains to last nights win by over 5 runs against Milwaukee. Take the St. Louis Cardinals. Saturday card has Powerful system Plays in MLB and Canadian Football league. Jump on all of Saturdays plays. For the MLB Road warrior play. Its the spirit of St. Louis. GC
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