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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    #46
    SPORTS WAGERS

    HAMILTON -7½ over Winnipeg

    The Bombers have as many wins as the Ticats but equals they are not. Seven weeks into the season and we’ve learned enough about these teams to know that Winnipeg has been mostly outplayed in every game this year. After getting smoked by Edmonton two weeks ago 32-3, Winnipeg bounced back with a 10-point win over B.C. last week in Winnipeg. Their other victories were against Montreal (Als are 0-3 on the road) by two points, also in Winnipeg and in Saskatchewan against the now 0-7 Riders by foir points on opening day. In Saskatchewan, the Bombers were outgained by 108 yards. In their win over the Als, they were outgained by an almost identical 109 yards. In Winnipeg’s win over B.C. last week, they outgained the Lions by 10 yards. Statistically speaking, Winnipeg has lost just about every single battle. They have a 26-point loss and a 29-point loss. Defensively, the Bombers are giving up over 400 yards per game, including 129 per game on the ground. Last week was a response game against the Lions (we’ve all seen how bad B.C. is) after Winnipeg was destroyed the previous week. This week, Winnipeg is out to avenge a shellacking they took at home by these ‘Cats back in Week 2. The score of that game was 52-26 but 19 of those 26 points that Winnipeg scored all came in garbage time after Hamilton was leading 38-7.

    We still haven’t seen the best out of Hamilton. They whacked the Argos last week in their first home game of the season but the score was more convincing than the performance. It’s not that the ‘Cats played poorly but they caught the Argos in a good spot and Toronto made several mistakes that allowed Hamilton some easy scores. In fact, Hamilton was outgained by 143 yards last week by the Argonauts. Don’t think for a second that Hamilton’s players and coaches were satisfied with last week’s result. They may have been satisfied with the win but not with the performance. Now the Tigercats will be home in back-to-back games for the first time this season. They’ve never lost at their new home and have now won eight straight at Tim Horton’s Field. This game is sold out. Winnipeg is much improved across the board, and that includes the Bombers' 2014 tendencies toward poor play on the road and shoddy pass protection. Still, this is not a team that matches up with Hamilton on the line of scrimmage or anywhere else for that matter. The case for the Bombers is mainly to “make-a-stand” against a team that has absolutely blown them out in so many games over the years including the first one this year. Those are indeed often decent spots, but don't invest in intangible advantages when the team in question has repeatedly demonstrated lousy intangibles, not to mention a really poor defense.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358248

      #47
      WUNDERDOG SPORTS FREE PICK

      mlb Game: Toronto Blue Jays (967) @ New York Yankees (968)
      Time: Sunday 08/09 1:05 PM Eastern
      Pick: New York -128 (moneyline)

      The Toronto Blue Jays have shut down the Yankees attack in this series, but they will have to face Masahiro Tanaka in the finale. The Yankees own a 25-10 record when he is on the mound in his short MLB career, and they are 14-4 at the Stadium when he takes the mound in his last 18 starts here for a 19% ROI. He has been a true stopper as the Yanks are 4-0 when he takes the mound if the team is off two losses. The Yanks have a much broader situation at hand here, one that is 84-34 with a 28.1% ROI the last 12 years, and the Yanks fit into a tidy subset based on the line that is 16-1. The Yankees are hard to sweep at home as they are 28-7 in the last 12 years in Game 3, as a favorite, if they lost Games 1 and 2. Make the play on the New York Yankees.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358248

        #48
        SPORTS WAGERS

        PITTSBURGH -102 over Los Angeles

        Charlie Morton is an extreme groundball pitcher that is coming off perhaps his best game this year in Cincinnati, where he held the Reds to five hits and zero runs in seven full innings. Morton does bring risk but no more risk than his mound opponent here. Furthermore, the Pirates are at home, they’re playing very good ball and they have all the momentum on their side.

        The Dodgers acquired SP Alex Wood, SP Mat Latos, 1B Michael Morse, RP Jim Johnson, RP Luis Avilan, 2B Jose Peraza and SP Bronson Arroyo as part of the a three-way trade with the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves on Thursday, July 30. The two big pieces for the Dodgers are Wood and Latos, who immediately moved into the L.A. rotation behind Clayton Kershaw and Zach Greinke. Wood struggled in July as noted by a 4.91 ERA in five starts and there are other concerns too. Both his velocity and strikeout rates are down this year, and his 4.85 ERA over his last five starts seems to suggest caution. Wood has an alarming 27% line-drive rate since July 1 and his first pitch strike rate has dropped considerably to 56% over that same span. Wood was whacked by Philadelphia in his Dodgers debut. His 1.42 WHIP and oppBA of .288 are far below league average. Wood signed a 1-year deal with the Braves last March for a mere 520,000. That’s far below market value and he’s not a free agent next season. His first year of arbitration eligibility is in 2017 therefore, it’s a little curious that the Braves moved him. Lefties with good contracts that have had success (3.10 ERA over 86 MLB appearances) are scarce. Every team would love one. Perhaps the Braves knew something that the Dodgers don’t or saw something in Wood that caused great concern. Regardless, it makes one wonder, no? The Pirates defeated Clayton Kershaw and Mat Latos in the first two games of this series and cannot be a pooch at home to Alex Wood and the Dodgers in this series finale. Wrong side favored.

        CLEVELAND -1½ +136 over Minnesota

        The balls are exploding this weekend at Progressive Field and if that continues today, expect the Indians to cross the plate far more often than the Twins. Cleveland scored nine times on Friday and 17 times yesterday. They’ve belted out 33 hits over those two games and have a great chance again to put up another crooked number against Phil Hughes. Some things make sense while others do not and Hughes’ 10-7 record with a 4.14 ERA makes none. Here’s a guy with a groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 35%/25%/41%. He has a mere 83 K’s in 141 frames to go along with a low 5% swing and miss rate. His impeccable control counts for something but when this park is giving up hits and runs like it is now, Hughes’ profile cannot withstand it.

        The Twins are sinking faster than Donald Trump’s likeability. Minnesota is 5-15 over their past 20 games with a team batting average of .194. The Twinkies pitching staff has given up nine runs or more in four straight games so not only will they be working with a weak starter here but the relief staff will be hiding in a corner praying their name isn’t called.

        Cory Kluber is almost always a solid play at home where he has held foes to a .637 OPS in 2015. The Twins offense has been steadily sinking into the land of solidly second-division (.663 OPS last 20G), and Kluber has excellent numbers against Minnesota batters (strikeout-laden .600 OPS allowed). There’s nothing more to say about this game other than the Indians have a huge edge in every single area while getting rid of Nick Swisher and Michael Bourn may just turn out to be the best moves this franchise has made in a long while. “Looking pretty out there Swish”. “That’s a pretty uniform you have on Swish”. Don’t let the door hit ya on the way out. Indians have a better vibe about them the past few games and we like it.

        Baltimore +111 over L.A. ANGELS

        We don’t like Miguel Gonzalez one bit. He’s a guy that wins games but his skills leave plenty to be desired. However, Gonzalez is pitching better right now than he has all season with a 10% swing and miss rate over his last 10 games, not to mention a respectable 4.17 xERA. Furthermore, Gonzalez catches the Angels struggling with a BA of just .239 over their last 20 games. Should this one come down to the bullpens, we still like the Orioles chances, but let’s forget all of that because this one is all about fading Jared Weaver.

        Weaver is back in the rotation because the Halos are playing him 18M a season, otherwise they would have left him down in the minors where he belongs (we’re not sure if they are even allowed to according to his contract and we don’t care enough to look it up). In his last rehab start at High-A Inland Empire (that’s A-ball folks, not Triple A) Weaver was tagged for two jacks. Overall, Weaver issued four walks and struck out 7 over 9.1 innings covering two starts at Inland Empire. Weaver struggled to tune of a 6.58 ERA in four June starts before hitting the DL with a hip issue. The writing on the wall is finally catching up to him. Weaver’s ERA jump is reflective of his increasing xERA downside. With below-average skills now, his downside is even worse than that mediocre 1st half. Avoidance of disaster is his only redeemable skill, and his 1st half disaster % reveals cracks there too. Weaver’s fastball tops off at 83 mph. That was before his bum hip. There are no radar gun records at Inland Empire that we know of but we can’t imagine that Weaver will be stronger or better after being off for two months. If we rip up this ticket, so be it but we must play value and fading Jered Weaver has to be about as good as that value gets.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358248

          #49
          RIVER CITY SHARPS – MLB

          Atlanta Braves (-135)

          Cincinnati Reds (+120)

          Tigers – TT Over 4 (-125)

          Indians – TT Over 4 (+105)
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358248

            #50
            Indian Cowboy


            7* LA Dodgers
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358248

              #51
              VSI WNBA PLAYS

              3 Unit Play. Take #608 Minnesota -5 over LA Sparks (7:05 p.m., Sunday, August 9)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358248

                #52
                charlie sports

                NFL X. 8:00 PM EST. Minnesota-3. (500*).




                NFL X. 8:00 PM EST. Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota under 35-points. (500*)




                MLB. Angles-120. (30*)



                MLB. Cincinnati+115 (20*)



                MLB. Miami+125. (10*) Free Play
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358248

                  #53
                  ultra Pitt
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358248

                    #54
                    Stephen Nover

                    Minnesota Vikings -2.5
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358248

                      #55
                      Jeff Benton

                      One & Only 150 DIME A.L. West Game of the Year


                      Houston Astros
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358248

                        #56
                        Raphael Esparza

                        MLS SOCCER

                        8-UNIT Game of the Year

                        LA Galaxy
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358248

                          #57
                          GP FROM VEGAS

                          Tigers/Red Sox – F5 Over 4.5 -110

                          Brewers – F5 +.5 -120

                          Orioles/Angels – F5 Over 4 -110

                          Dodgers/Pirates – F5 Over 4 -110

                          Phillies/Padres – Over 7.5 -110

                          Blue Jays – F5 +.5 -110
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358248

                            #58
                            Port port sports – (mlb)

                            under 7.5 – houston astros @ oakland a’s (-115)

                            under 7.5 – st. Louis cardinals @ milwaukee brewers (-115)

                            cleveland indians (-160)

                            atlanta braves (-130)

                            over 7 – minnesota twins @ cleveland indians (+100)

                            under 7.5 – baltimore orioles @ los angeles angels (-120)

                            los angeles dodgers (-110)
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358248

                              #59
                              bookieshunter


                              2*White Sox
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358248

                                #60
                                Chris James Sports

                                13-5 this week, 10 of 14 winning days

                                Astros
                                Dodgers

                                Had tigers earlier
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