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3-Unit Play. Take #913 Baltimore (-115) over Seattle (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 10)
2-Unit Play. Take #905 Washington (+120) over L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 10)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 Detroit at Kansas City (8 p.m., Monday August 10)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.0 Washington at L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 10)
Los Angeles Angels (+130) Sale still getting love from the odds makers despite his 1-3 mark, 7.61 ERA over his last four starts. The White Sox have lost eight of 10 and now face Shoemaker, working on a 19-inning scoreless streak. Over his last six starts, he sports a 1.69 ERA and the Angels are the team with the motivation in this spot. Big value with the Angels as a road dog here.
Royals – TT Over 4 (-125) Looking for regression tonight from Boyd, who was really good in his Detroit debut. In Toronto, however, he was 0-2, 14.85 ERA and now faces one of the top home teams in MLB. The Royals are averaging 5.4 runs over their last 16 home games and have gone 13-3 at Kaufman in that span. Also like this play because of the disaster that is the Detroit bullpen…all adds up to a TT Over the number.
Baltimore Orioles (-115) O’s are trying to right the ship in hopes for a postseason push and we think Chen gets it done tonight vs. Seattle. This play more a fade of Nuno, who really hasn’t succeeded in the starting role (he’s a converted reliever) He was just 2-12, 4.29 ERA over his 24 starts last year and we like the motivated Orioles to hit him early in this one.
Washington Nationals (+120) This is a fade of the Dodgers as much as anything, forced to play Sunday night game in Pittsburgh and then fly across the country for tonight’s series opener with the Nats. Gonzalez is 4-0, 1.77 ERA over his last seven starts and we think the Nats getting away from home to take care of business may be a good thing. Value here with the road pup.
Always bet on the Money Line on all my baseball picks. This means that you are betting for the team to win straight up. Always bet on the point spread on all my basketball and American football picks. This means you are betting on them to cover the spread.
Note: The higher the star number, the more certain I am about the pick. I do not have a maximum star number limit. However, it is incredibly rare for me to have a play higher than 7 stars, but just keep in mind that there is no limit to the amount of stars I can attach to a pick. My star rating is based on the amount of inside info I have on the games being played. Over the years, the highest amount of stars I can remember having attached to a play is still much less than 10
Johnny Cueto has won 83 of the last 136 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 87 of the last 145 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Johnny Cueto has won 63 of the last 99 home games and he has won 56 of the last 104 games when pitching in the 2nd
half of the season.
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