8-16-15

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Prophet Plays

10 Star Tampa Bay Rays ML

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MLB

National League
Pirates @ Mets
Locke is 1-1, 6.53 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1).

Harvey is 3-0, 0.74 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six at home.

Pittsburgh won seven of last nine games (over 6-2-1). Mets won 12 of last 16 games, but lost last two in extra innings; four of last six stayed under. Pirates won eight of last nine games vs New York; seven of last eleven series games stayed under.

Diamondbacks @ Braves
de la Rosa is 4-0, 2.81 in his last five starts; six of his last eight went over.

Braves scored total of 13 runs in losing last ten Miller starts (0-3, 3.20 in last four); six of his last seven stayed under.

Arizona won four of last six games with Atlanta; over is 4-2-1 in last seven in series. D'backs won four of last six games, with four of last five going over total. Braves lost four of last five games; over is 7-3-1 in their last eleven.

Phillies @ Brewers
Phillies are 1-11 in last 12 Harang starts (1-8, 8.28 in his last nine- over 6-3).

Jungmann is 1-3, 4.64 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his home starts.

Road team won 10 of last 12 Philly-Milwaukee games, with Brewers winning last six; over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Phillies lost four of last five games; six of their last nine went over. Brewers lost five of their last eight.

Marlins @ Cardinals
Phelps is 0-5, 5.79 in his last six starts; under is 8-4 in his last twelve.

Cardinals won the last eight Martinez starts (1-0, 5.50 in last three); under is 11-1-1 in his last 13.

Miami lost its last six games with St Louis; under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Marlins won thee of last five games; nine of their last 12 went over total. Cardinals won eight of last ten games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12.

Padres @ Rockies
Kennedy is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts; under is 9-2 in his last 11.

Rusin is 0-3, 5.72 in his last seven starts; four of his last six stayed under.

San Diego won its last seven games with Colorado, scoring 51 runs; Padres won four of last five games overall-- eight of their last ten went over. Rockies lost seven of their last eight games (over 6-0 in last six at home).

Reds @ Dodgers
DeSclafani is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Greinke is 7-0, 1.27 in his last ten starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11.

Cincinnati lost eight of last 11 games; its last five went over. Dodgers won four of last five games; eight of their last ten games went over the total. Reds are 4-6 in last ten games against the Dodgers (last three went over).

Nationals @ Giants
Ross is 1-3, 4.30 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Bumgarner is 5-1, 2.63 in his last six starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Nationals lost six of last seven games; three of their last five stayed under. San Francisco won last three games, scoring 23 runs; four of their last six stayed under. Washington split its last eight games with the Giants; seven of last ten in series stayed under total.

American League
A's @ Orioles
Oakland lost last six Graveman starts (0-4, 6.75); five of his last seven starts stayed under.

Chen is 1-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; under is 16-2-1 in his last 19.

Oakland lost last five games, last two on walkoffs- five of their last eight games stayed under. A's are 5-7 in last dozen games with Baltimore- nine of last 12 went over total. Orioles won four of last five home games.

Bronx @ Blue Jays
Severino is 0-1, 3.27 in his first two MLB starts (over 1-1).

Toronto won last five Hutchison starts (3-0, 7.00), scoring 34 runs; five of his last seven went over.

Bronx won last two days to regain first place; eight of last ten stayed under. Toronto won 11 of last 13 games but lost last two; five of last seven stayed under- they've won five of their last eight games with New York, with five of last six staying under the total.

Mariners @ Red Sox
Nuno is 0-1, 6.00 in his two starts this season (over 1-1).

Owens is 1-1, 3.60 in his two starts (over 1-0-1).

Seattle lost last two days, allowing 37 runs; they lost last three road games, all of which went over total. Red Sox won five of last six home games, scoring 66 runs; their last six games overall went over. Boston won three of last four in series; over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Rays @ Rangers
Smyly comes off DL to make first start since May 5; he is 0-1, 2.70 in his three starts (under 2-1).

Gallardo is 1-1, 6.57 in his last five starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11.

Tampa Bay split last eight games with Texas (over 5-2-1); Rays are 7-4 in last ten games- eight of last ten went over. Rangers won last three games, scoring 23 runs; five of their last eight went over the total.

Indians @ Twins
Carrasco is 1-0, 1.04 in his last three starts; seven of his last nine went over.

Milone is 0-2, 9.28 in his last three starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine.

Cleveland won four of last six games with Minnesota; over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Indians won five of last seven games overall; over is 5-2-1 in last eight. Twins lost nine of last 13 games; over is 7-2-1 in last ten.

Angels @ Royals
Santiago is 0-2, 6.33 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over.

Ventura is 3-0, 4.32 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.

Royals won nine of last ten games with the Angels; five of last seven went over total. KC won seven of its last nine games overall; five of last eight got over the total. Halos lost six of last eight games overall.

Tigers @ Astros
Boyd is 1-1, 2.92 in two starts for Detroit; three of his four starts went under.

Fiers is 0-2, 5.56 in his last four starts.

Tigers are 4-6 in last ten games with Houston; over is 3-3-1 in last seven series games. Detroit lost four of last six games; over is 4-4-1 in their last nine. Astros lost eight of last 11 games; six of last seven stayed under.

Interleague
Cubs @ White Sox
Haren is 1-2, 5.08 in his last five starts.

Sale is 1-2, 8.15 in his last three starts; over is 4-0 in his last four starts.

Cubs won 14 of their last 15 games overall; eight of last ten went over total. Pale Hose won three of last five, allowing 16 runs; over is 9-3 in their last 12. Cubs won first two games of this inner-city series, 6-5/6-3

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Pitt-NY-- Locke 12-10; Harvey 14-8
Az-Atl-- de la Rosa 14-9 (5-0 last 5); Miller 9-14 (0-10 last 10)
Phil-Mil-- Harang 6-14 (1-11 last 12); Jungmann 7-5
Mia-StL-- Phelps 5-13 (0-6 last 6); Martinez 18-3
SD-Colo-- Kennedy 10-11 (4-1 last 5); Rusin 3-9
Cin-LA-- DeSclafani 11-11; Greinke 16-7 (7-1 last 8)
Wsh-SF-- Ross 3-5; Bumgarner 14-9

A's-Balt-- Graveman 8-11 (0-6 last 6); Chen 14-8 (4-0 last 4)
NY-Tor-- Severino 0-2; Hutchison 16-7 (5-0 last 5)
Sea-Bos-- Nuno 1-1; Owens 1-1
TB-Tex-- Smyly 2-1; Gallardo 12-12
Clev-Minn-- Carrasco 14-9; Milone 7-7
LA-KC-- Santiago 12-10; Ventura 8-10
Det-Hst-- Boyd 1-3/1-1; Fiers 11-11/0-1

Chi-Chi-- Haren 11-12/1-1; Sale 13-9

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Pitt-NY-- Locke 5-22; Harvey 6-22
Az-Atl-- de la Rosa 6-23; Miller 4-23
Phil-Mil-- Harang 7-20; Jungmann 2-12
Mia-StL-- Phelps 6-18; Martinez 4-21
SD-Colo-- Kennedy 8-21; Rusin 4-12
Cin-LA-- DeSclafani 5-22; Greinke 6-23
Wsh-SF-- Ross 0-8; Bumgarner 5-23

A's-Balt-- Graveman 5-19; Chen 6-22
NY-Tor-- Severino 1-2; Hutchison 11-23 (6 of last 7)
Sea-Bos-- Nuno 2-2; Owens 1-2
TB-Tex-- Smyly 0-3; Gallardo 8-24
Clev-Minn-- Carrasco 12-23; Milone 2-14
LA-KC-- Santiago 6-22; Ventura 4-18
Det-Hst-- Boyd 2-4; Fiers 1-22

Chi-Chi-- Haren 3-23; Sale 8-22

Umpires
Pitt-NY-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Rackley games.
Az-Atl-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Segal games.
Phil-Mil-- Home team won last five Dreckman games.
Mia-StL-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Cuzzi games.
SD-Col-- Seven of last nine Bucknor games stayed under.
Cin-LA-- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen Estabrook games.
Wsh-SF-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Nelson games.

NY-Tor-- Five of last seven Emmel games stayed under.
Sea-Bos-- Under is 12-7 in Ripperger games this year.
A's-Balt-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kulpa games.
Det-Hst-- Last three Eddings games went over the total.
LA-KC-- Home side won five of last six Wolcott games.
Cle-Min-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven May games.
TB-Tex-- Favorites won last five HGibson games.

Chi-Chi-- Home side won six of last eight Reyburn games.

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NORTHCOAST SPORTS LATE PHONES


Opinion only Eagles -4

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | ARIZONA at ATLANTA
Play Against - Road teams (ARIZONA) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), playing on Sunday
297-171 since 1997. ( 63.5% | 91.2 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.4 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TAMPA BAY at TEXAS
TEXAS is 17-9 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against AL East opponents this season.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.7) , OPPONENT (4.5)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Diamondbacks on Saturday and likes the Diamondbacks on Sunday.

The deficit is 153 sirignanos.

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Hondo

It’s the Pitts for Hondo

Hondo having split with the Blue Jays and Cubs on Saturday, was on the verge of improving his financial standing, but the Rockies chucked it away in the ninth to put the deficit at 1,954 Blasses.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch can’t pass up a Locke at Citi Field — 10 units on the Pirates to patch together a victory over the Metamucils.

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EZWINNERS

MLB

2* (916) Toronto Blue Jays -$125

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Wiseguy War Room
WWR:Sun
MLB:
5u: 927 TB +100
2u: 906 MIL -175

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | INDIANA at PHOENIX
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) after 1 or more consecutive wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
224-59 since 1997. ( 79.2% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at PHOENIX
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after 1 or more consecutive wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
84-42 since 1997. ( 66.7% | 37.8 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | -1.5 units )

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Here are the unofficial bets for August 16:

Miami {C} bet - This is an unofficial bet. It fails all RPI fitlers. Does not pass RPI difference filter. Also, Miami is the worst RPI team in the league, playing against the #1 RPI team in the league.

Philadelphia {C} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)

NY Mets {C} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)

Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.

Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:

In the month of July and August: Only wager on qualifying {A} and {C} bets under the original MLB system, and risk 5% less than what you’d normally have. For example, if you’re a highly conservative bettor whose stake size per wager is 5% of your bankroll, then that means you can just choose to sit out of betting from July going forward. An average bettor would decrease his risk from 10% to 5%, and an aggressive risk taker would decrease that risk from 15% to 10%. You should bet that same percentage amount for all the {A} and {C} bets that qualified under the original MLB system.

Plus, pass on any series where the first game of a rematch series between the 2 teams happens more than 60 days after their most recent game (after the last game of the original 3-game series or the second game of an intermediate confirmatory 2-game series).

Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:

- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road

- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.

- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team

Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.

Regards,
The "Champ" team

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Precise totals:
Under 9.5 mariners/red sox (-110) - risk 1 units

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Donnie Wynn:
TAMPA BAY RAYS (-110) - RISK 2 UNITS

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Brandon Lang
My 60 Dime selection is Eagles over Colts.
The current line on this game is -4 in vegas and offshore.. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

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Totals 4 You MLB Selections for Sunday, August 16th

August's AL Sunday Night Baseball Total of the Month!!!!!
Los Angeles/Kansas City over 8

You Win or we'll email you Monday's MLB Report Free of Charge!!!

MLB Best Bets
Philadelphia/Milwaukee under 8
Seattle/Boston under 9 1/2
Oakland/Baltimore under 8 1/2
Detroit/Houston over 8 1/2