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Luca Fury
Parlay at -122. Risking 4.50 units
Leg 1: Chad Laprise (-260)
Leg 2: Holloway/Oliveira does NOT go the distance (-321)
Straight bet at -120. Risking 3.60 units
Marcos Rogerio De Lima -120
Parlay at +105. Risking 3.00 units
Leg 1: Misha Cirkunov (-380)
Leg 2: Silva/Magny does NOT go the distance (-160)
Straight bet at -135. Risking 2.03
Josh Burkman -120 -
SB Professor MMA Picks
Max Holloway (-220) over Charles Oliveira
Patrick Cote/Josh Burkman Over 2.5 Rounds (-160)
Tony Sims (+210) over Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Marcos Rogerio De Lima (-140) over Nikita KrylovComment
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Raphael Esparza
2 Unit Play. Green Bay +2.5 over Pittsburgh
Packers looked like a veteran team last weekend against New England and the Packers should have no problem on the road against Pittsburgh. The second half Pittsburgh struggled against the Jaguars and this will be the 3rd game for the Steelers so we could see a sloppy 2nd half from Pittsburgh. This will be the Steelers first home game so some jitters could be at hand so with the Packers just moving like a veteran team I'm taking the plus points on the road with Green Bay.Comment
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Indian Cowboy
Soccer
4-Unit Play. Take Borussia Dortmund (-220) over Ingolstadt (9:30 a.m., Sunday, August 23) (German Bundesliga)
A little bit of a heavy line in perspective to other plays, but the result is all that matters. Dortmund came off their campaign opener in dramatic winning fashion, and against a top rival opponent in Borrussia Monchengladbach, nonetheless. This team has something prove to themselves and their fans after a horribly disappointing season last year which saw them miss the Champions League all together after playing in the Final two seasons ago. Dating back to last season Dortmund won 6 of their last 7 away matches, and given how they fell of drastically compared to past top 3-4 finishes, we believe Dortmund will continue their winning ways, and look to establish themselves as one of the top 3 teams, per usual, in The Bundesliga.
4-Unit Play. Take Chelsea (-150) over West Brom (8:30 a.m., Sunday, August 23) (English Premier League)
After two very disappointing results to start the Blues' campaign, and amidst excuses and scapegoats, there is simply one thing that will change all that, and that is taking all 3 points back to Stamford Bridge. On paper Chelsea has failed to win at The Hawthornes since the 2011 season, however in this spot situation, and given the lead at the top of the table already growing, this game is pretty much a must win. The blues will look to shake off a sloppy all around performance against Man City, where they ironically look to duplicate City's result when they opened their season, 3-0. Look for the Blues to be dominant in this match from start to finish and taking it to their opponents.Comment
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MLB
National League
Braves @ Cubs
Wisler is 0-2, 7.20 in his last four starts (over 4-0).
Hammel is 0-0, 5.68 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went over.
Braves lost ten of last 11 games overall; they're 2-21 in last 23 road games. Cubs won last three games, scoring 21 runs-- seven of their last nine games went over. Atlanta lost its last five games with Cubs, with four of last six staying under the total.
Giants @ Pirates
Vogelsong is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts- they both stayed under.
Liriano is 2-0, 8.31 in his last four starts; Pirates scored 35 runs in those four games-- his last six starts all went over.
Pittsburgh won nine of last 12 games with the Giants; over is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Pirates won 12 of last 15 games (over 9-5-2 in last 16). SF lost four of last six games; under is 9-3-1 in its last thirteen.
Brewers @ Nationals
Garza is 1-3, 4.11 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).
Zimmerman is 1-3, 4.55 in his last five starts (over is 3-1 in last four).
Milwaukee lost five of last eight games with Washington (over 6-2); Brewers won five of last eight games overall; over is 3-1-1 in last five. Nationals lost eight of last eleven games (under 7-4).
Diamondbacks @ Reds
Anderson is 1-3, 8.39 in his last five starts; three of last four went over.
Iglesias is 2-1, 2.10 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.
Arizona won six of last seven games with Cincinnati; eight of last 11 games in series stayed under the total. D'backs are 5-3 in last eight games; four of last seven stayed under. Reds lost 11 of last 13 games; four of their last six games stayed under the total.
Phillies @ Marlins
Nola is 1-0, 5.63 in his last three starts; his last five all went over.
Conley is 1-0, 6.75 in his three starts; Marlins scored 37 runs in the three games, all of which went over.
Philly won five of last seven games with Miami (over 4-2-1); Phils lost seven of last 11 games overall (over 7-4-1 in last 12). Marlins won four of last seven games; over is 7-2-2 in their last eleven.
Mets @ Rockies
Verrett is making first MLB start; he was 4-2, 3.57 in nine AAA starts- he's allowed runs in 22.1 IP in 11 relief stints.
Hale is 1-4, 7.61 in his last seven starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.
Mets won their last ten games with Colorado; home side won nine of last 12 in series, but NY won 14-9 each of last two night. Mets' last five games went over. Rockies lost ten of last 12 games; they gave up 28 runs last two days.
Cardinals @ Padres
Wacha is 3-0, 1.00 in his last four starts; his last five stayed under.
Rea is 2-0, 4.22 in his first two starts- they both went over the total.
Padres won nine of last 11 games; eight of last ten went over. St Louis was outscored 17-2 in first two games of series with San Diego; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Cardinals lost three of their last four games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven.
American League
Indians @ Bronx
Bauer is 1-2, 11.91 in his last three starts, all of which went over.
Sabathia is 0-1, 5.22 in his last five starts; over is 4-2 in his last six at home.
Bronx lost six of last eight games with Cleveland (over 7-4-1 in last 12), but they won seven of last ten games overall; under is 6-4-1 in their last eleven games. Indians lost five of last eight games (over 4-1-1 in last six).
Rangers @ Tigers
Hamels is 0-1, 5.23 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.
Boyd is 1-3, 7.50 in his five starts (under 3-2) this year.
Texas lost four of last six games with Detroit; last four series games stayed under the total. Rangers won eight of last ten games overall; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine. Tigers won four of last seven games, but lost last two.
Twins @ Orioles
Pelfrey is 1-0, 1.46 in his last two starts; four of his last five went over.
Gausman is 0-3, 5.79 in his last three starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.
Minnesota won its last seven games with Baltimore; over is 4-3-1 in last eight in series. Twins won last three games; six of last nine stayed under. Orioles lost last three games; four of their last seven went over the total.
Royals @ Red Sox
Volquez is 1-2, 2.96 in his last four road starts; five of his last seven starts stayed under the total.
Rodriguez is 3-0, 2.31 in his last five home starts; over is 5-1 in his last six home outings.
Royals lost ten of last 13 games with Boston; over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. KC won six of its last eight games (under 5-2-1). Red Sox won six of last nine games; over is 11-1-1 in their last thirteen games.
Rays @ A's
Odorizzi is 0-0, 4.01 in his last four starts (four of last six went over).
Oakland lost last seven Graveman starts (0-5, 7.71).
Tampa Bay won last three games; under is 5-1-1 in last seven; Rays split last dozen games with Oakland (under 7-2-3). A's are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.
Blue Jays @ Angels
Toronto won last six Dickey starts (4-0, 2.90); under is 5-3 in his last eight.
Richards is 1-2, 4.68 in his last five starts, four of which went over.
Blue Jays are 15-3 in their last 18 games; their last four went over the total. Angels lost last three games with Toronto; over is 5-2 in last seven games in series. Halos lost last three games, allowing 32 runs; four of their last five went over.
White Sox @ Mariners
Danks is 0-2, 3.98 in his last three starts; three of his last four road starts went over.
Walker is 1-0, 2.86 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over total.
White Sox scored 25 runs in winning last three games; four of last five went over. ChiSox split last six games with Seattle; five of last eight series games went under the total. Mariners lost six of last eight games (over 5-2-1).
Interleague
Dodgers @ Astros
Kershaw is 5-0, 0.82 in his last seven starts (under 5-2).
McCullers is 1-2, 6.38 in his last four starts (over 4-0-1 in last five).
LA lost ten of its last 12 road games- they scored seven runs in losing last four games overall- four of last five games stayed under. Astros won seven of last ten games; their last five games stayed under total. Dodgers won eight of last 12 games with Houston (under 8-3-1).
Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
SF-Pitt-- Vogelsong 11-8; Liriano 13-10 (9-0 last 9)
Atl-Chi-- Wisler 6-5; Hammel 11-12
Mil-Wsh-- Garza 8-14; Zimmerman 14-11 (1-4 last 5)
Az-Cin-- Anderson 8-13; Iglesias 4-7
Phil-Mia-- Nola 4-2; Conway 3-0
NY-Col-- Verrett 0-0; Hale 2-7
StL-SD-- Wacha 18-5; Rea 2-0
Cle-NY-- Bauer 10-14; Sabathia 11-12
Tex-Det-- Hamels 11-12/1-2; Boyd 1-4/1-2
Min-Balt-- Pelfrey 12-11; Gausman 3-6
KC-Bos-- Volquez 17-8; Rodriguez 9-6
TB-A's-- Odorizzi 10-10; Graveman 8-12 (0-7 last 7)
Tor-LA-- Dickey 13-12 (6-0 last 6); Richards 14-9
Chi-Sea-- Danks 11-12; Walker 13-11
LA-Hst-- Kershaw 13-11; McCullers 7-7
Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
SF-Pitt-- Vogelsong 4-19 (3 of last 4); Liriano 5-23 (3 of last 3)
Atl-Chi-- Wisler 5-11; Hammel 8-23 (5 of last 6)
Mil-Wsh-- Garza 6-22; Zimmerman 7-25
Az-Cin-- Anderson 8-21; Iglesias 3-11
Phil-Mia-- Nola 4-6; Conway 0-3
NY-Col-- Verrett 0-0; Hale 6-9
StL-SD-- Wacha 4-23; Rea 0-2
Cle-NY-- Bauer 6-24; Sabathia 7-23
Tex-Det-- Hamels 4-23; Boyd 2-5
Min-Balt-- Pelfrey 3-23; Gausman 4-9
KC-Bos-- Volquez 7-25; Rodriguez 3-15
TB-A's-- Odorizzi 5-20; Graveman 6-20
Tor-LA-- Dickey 4-25; Richards 4-23
Chi-Sea-- Danks 8-23; Walker 7-24
LA-Hst-- Kershaw 5-24; McCullers 3-14
Umpires
SF-Pitt-- Three of last four Randazzo games went over
Atl-Chi-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen May games.
Mil-Wsh-- Last six Drake games stayed under total.
Az-Cin-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Wegner games.
Phil-Mia-- Seven of last nine TBarrett games stayed under.
NY-Col-- Under is 9-5 in last fourteen Culbreth games.
StL-SD-- Last five Tichenor games went over the total.
Cle-NY-- Six of last seven Woodring games went over.
Tex-Det-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Hamari games.
Min-Balt-- Four of last five Conroy games stayed under.
KC-Bos-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Everitt games.
TB-A's-- Four of last five Demuth games stayed under.
Tor-LA-- Three of last four Guccione games went over.
Chi-Sea-- Under is 9-5-1 in last fifteen Wolf games.
LA-Hst-- Under is 7-1-2 in last ten Hoye gamesComment
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StatFox Super Situations
WNBA | CHICAGO at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 off a home win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 33.7 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )
WNBA | LOS ANGELES at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record after 15 or more games
59-34 since 1997. ( 63.4% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | CHICAGO at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after 1 or more consecutive wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games after 15 or more games
109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units )
6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 4.9 units )Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
ARENA | JACKSONVILLE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against - Any team (PHILADELPHIA) off a home win versus a division rival
57-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.1% | 26.2 units )
13-10 this year. ( 56.5% | 2.0 units )
ARENA | JACKSONVILLE at PHILADELPHIA
Play On - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (PHILADELPHIA) off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
MLB | CHI WHITE SOX at SEATTLE
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHI WHITE SOX) terrible offensive team - scoring <=4.2 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL)
252-261 over the last 5 seasons. ( 49.1% | 100.5 units )
36-47 this year. ( 43.4% | 6.3 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | TEXAS at DETROIT
TEXAS is 31-25 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in Road games in games played on a grass field this season.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.2)Comment
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Hondo
Hondo hopes to ace test
Severino finally came through for Hondo, beating the Tribe on Saturday to lower the deficit to 2,178 tudors. Forty-four more of those and Mr. Aitch will be in the black.
Sunday: Hondo will give the ball to the Cards’ ace — 20 units on Wacha to show the Padres who their daddy is.Comment
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All NFLX games are rated as "Opinion."
BIG AL's PIGSKIN PERFECT NFL PRESEASON WINNER!
Game Date/Time: 8/23/15 8:00 pm
Our Selection: Rams Opponent: Titans Line: +1.5 Rating: Opinion
Analysis: At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the St. Louis Rams + the points over Tennessee. Both the Rams and Titans come into this game seeking their first win of the Preseason. The Titans lost, 31-24, on the road at Atlanta, while the Rams lost 18-3, at Oakland. But we'll play on the Rams as the underdog, as teams off a double-digit SU and double-digit ATS loss to open the Preseason are a terrific 60.1% ATS in their next game. Even better: if our 'play-on' team is a road underdog, then our 60.1% ATS system zooms to 67% since 1983. Additionally, the Titans have covered just 23 of 56 home games in the Preseason, including an awful 0-for-6 when matched up against a foe off a loss by more than 14 points. Take St. Louis.
BIG AL's NFL PRESEASON TOTAL OF THE YEAR!
Game Date/Time: 8/23/15 8:00 pm
Our Selection: Cowboys/49ers 'over' Line: 40.5 Rating: Opinion
Analysis: At 8 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Dallas/San Francisco game. Both teams had tough games to kick off the Preseason. Dallas managed just a single score at San Diego, and fell by 10 points, 17-7, to the Chargers. Likewise, the 49ers lost by double-digits, 23-10, at Houston. Given that both teams had a dreadful time on offense, bettors might be attracted to the idea that this would be a low-scoring contest. However, games between NFL teams that average 15 ppg or less on offense have gone 'over' the total 60% of the time since 1996, including 18 of the last 23. And teams that scored 7 or less in Week 1 (like Dallas) have gone 'over' the total in Week 2 over 68% of the time, dating back to August, 2005. Look for a high-scoring game on Sunday night.Comment
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Bob Balfe
Packers/Steelers Over 40.5
49ers -4
Rams +2
Royals -105Comment
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VSI CFL
3 Unit Play. #298 Toronto -8.5 over Ottawa (4:05p.m., Sunday, Aug 23)
Toronto is perfect at home this season and Sunday night I see the Argonauts having no problem with the RedBlacks. Ottawa offense on the road has been M.I.A. in their last two road games and if they struggle on Sunday this game could be a big blowout early. Toronto is 5-2 ATS in their first 7 games this season and I see this trend cashing on Sunday. Ottawa is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.Comment
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Jo jo – tennis (-6.67)
atp – western & southern open @ cincinnati, oh
r federer +100 n djokovic (4pm)
atp – winston – salem open @ winston – salem, nc
r haase +175 y lu (730pm)Comment
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Simon – soccer (+6.53)
england premier league (under 2.5 -133) chelsa fc @ west brom albion (830am)
czech republic (over 3 -122) fk dukla prague @ sparta prague (115pm)
spain primera division (over 3 -120) real madrid @ sporting gijon (230pm)
italy serie a ( over 2 -130) fc torino @ frosinone calcio (245pm)
turkey super lig ( under 2.5 +113) fenerbahce @ caykur rizespor (245pm)Comment
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