8-30-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vern Croy

1-Unit Play. Take the Arizona/Oakland GAME TOTAL UNDER 40


Play the Cardinals/Raiders GAME TOTAL UNDER 40 as my 1-Unit NFLX Smash for Sunday. This pick falls into 3 of my NFL systems and both teams have struggled offensively this preseason. Oakland has averaged just 15 ppg while Arizona has averaged just 19 ppg. Arizona is being overly cautious this preseason with their Quarterbacks and some key players to avoid injuries and yet they just dominated time of possession. Oakland has been almost split 50/50 on pass and run plays this preseason unlike most preseason teams who will generally pass 65% of the time. This is also a much improved Raiders defense that gave up over 28 ppg last season. Put all this together with my NFL systems and we have what should be a low scoring game here Sunday night as I look to remain perfect this NFL preseason. This will also be my last NFLX play of the preseason. Remember what ever you saw from teams in the preseason, throw it out of your mind because it all changes when the real show begins and I can't wait.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza (VSI)

2 Unit Play. New Orleans -3.5 over Houston


Saints defense starters took last week off and lost at home to New England but Sunday I see a big game from both side of the Saints ball. Who Dat nation will be loud and I see them winning this game by a touchdown or more.

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

cards vs giants.png



Sunday Highest Rated NFLX Preseason Game Of The Year + MLB 62-10 5* Blowout system takes center stage. Football ranked #1 last season overall, Browns win big on Saturday. MLB Top play cashes too. Free Road warrior play below.



On Sunday the Free MLB System Play is on the St. Louis Cardinals. Game 909 at 4:05 eastern. St. Louis has won 5 of 6 as a road favorite off a 5+ run road win. The Giants have lost 6 of 7 at home off a home loss by 5 or more runs. St. Louis fits a nice 13-2 Road Warrior system that plays on road favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a road favored win by 5 or more runs and had 10 or more hits and are playing a team off a home dog loss by 5+ runs that scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits if both teams played error free ball. Complicated to follow I know. Garcia for St. Lois has allowed just 4 runs in 19 innings here and has won his last 3 road starts allowing just 2 runs in 20 innings. Look for the Cards to soar again tonight. On Sunday the NFLX Game of the Year is up along with a 5* MLB Blowout system. Top plays cashed both in NFLX and MLB on Saturday. Football ranked #1 in 2014 on several major Leaderboards. Jump on now and end your week big with the mot powerful data available. For the free play. Take St. Louis. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Pro Source


Cardinals +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Marlins @ Nationals
Hand is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts (under 3-2).

Strasberg is 5-1, 1.73 in his last seven starts (under 6-2 in last eight).

Miami lost four of last six games with Washington; under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Marlins lost seven of last nine games- under is 6-1-1 in last eight. Washington won five of its last seven (over 4-2-2 in last eight).

Rockies @ Pirates
de la Rosa is 0-2, 3.96 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven.

Morton is 1-1, 5.01 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Colorado lost six of last eight games with Pittsburgh; home side won 11 of last 12 series games. Rockies lost eight of last 11 games-- five of their last eight went over total. Pirates won ten of last 12 games; five of their last seven stayed under.

Padres @ Phillies
Shields is 1-2, 5.00 in his last three starts; his last five starts went over; San Diego is 3-12 overall in his last fifteen starts.

Asher is making MLB debut; he was 2-0, 2.08 in four AA starts since he was acquired in Hamels trade. Asher was 3-6, 4.73 in 12 AAA starts for Texas..

Padres lost six of last seven games with Philly; over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. San Diego lost five of last six games; under is 6-1-1 in its last eight. Phillies lost four of last six games; over is 8-3-1 in their last twelve.

Reds @ Brewers
Lamb is 0-2, 6.06 in his first three MLB starts (over 2-1).

Peralta is 1-1, 11.74 in his last two starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Reds lost five of last six games with Milwaukee (over 4-2); Cincy lost 12 of last 14 games (over 6-3 in last nine) overall. Brewers lost five of last six games, over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Cubs @ Dodgers
Arrieta is 5-0, 1.08 in his last five starts; last three went over.

Wood is 2-1, 3.57 in his last three starts; over is 2-0-1 in last three at home.

Cubs are 3-7 in last ten games with LA; under is 5-0-1 in last six series games. Chicago lost last four games overall, scoring six runs. Dodgers won their last five games, allowing eight runs; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight.

Cardinals @ Giants
Garcia is 3-0, 1.63 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six

Heston was 0-2, 4.58 in his last four starts before being sent to AAA; his last four home starts stayed under the total.

Cardinals lost five of their last eight games with Giants (under 3-1-1 last five); St Louis won six of last seven games; over is 5-2-2 in last nine. Giants are 4-6 in last ten games; over is 7-4-2 in their last thirteen.

St Louis closer Rosenthal is not in SF this weekend; his wife had a baby and Rosenthal is in St Louis with her.

American League
Tigers @ Blue Jays
Simon is 1-2, 6.48 in his last four starts.

Buehrle is 2-1, 5.15 in his last six starts; six of his last seven went over.

Tigers lost eight of last nine games; seven of their last ten stayed under; Tigers lost eight of last 11 games with Toronto (over 8-2 in last ten). Blue Jays won nine of last eleven (eight of last ten went over).

Angels @ Indians
Weaver is 2-1, 4.30 in his last four starts; three of his last four road starts stayed under the total.

Tomlin is 2-1, 3.26 in his last three starts (under 2-1).

Angels lost three of last four games with Cleveland; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Halos lost seven of last nine games (over 6-3). Indians won seven of last nine games; eight of their last 12 went over the total.

Royals @ Rays
Duffy is 3-1, 3.67 in his last five starts; nine of his last ten stayed under.

Karns is 0-0, 5.27 in his last three starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four at home.

Royals won their last seven games with Tampa Bay (over 6-1); KC won seven of last eight games- over is 5-2-2 in its last nine. Tampa Bay lost five of its of last six games; six of Rays' last seven games went over.

Orioles @ Rangers
Gonzalez is 0-4, 7.58 in his last six starts (under 3-1 in last four on road).

Holland is 1-1, 4.73 in his three starts this year (under 1-1-1).

Rangers won five of last six games with Baltimore; under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Texas won 11 of last 15 games (under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games). Orioles lost nine of last ten games (under 6-2-1 in last nine).

Mariners @ White Sox
Olmos is making first MLB start; he has thrown 7.2 scoreless innings in four relief stints for Seattle-- only two of his 20 AAA appearances were starts.

Quintana is 1-1, 4.74 in his last four starts; his last six starts all went over.

White Sox lost three of last four games with Seattle (over 4-2 in last six); Chicago lost five of last seven games overall-- eight of their last 12 went over. Mariners won four of last five games- seven of their last nine games went over total.

Astros @ Twins
McCullers is 1-2, 5.33 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1).

Santana is 0-4, 9.79 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.

Houston is 5-7 in last 12 games with Minnesota (under 4-1 in last five); Astros won eight of last 11 games (under 8-2). Twins won seven of last nine games-- three of their last five games went over.

Interleague
Red Sox @ Mets
Miley is 2-1, 4.33 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over.

Syndergaard is 2-1, 6.43 in his last four starts; his last five all went over.

Mets won seven of last nine games but lost last two; 11 of their last 13 games went over total. NY lost six of last eight games with Boston- seven of last 11 series games stayed under total. Boston won six of last eight games (over 8-3-1 in last 12). If Ortiz is in lineup (NL park, no DH), Red Sox have a pathetic defensive infield.

Bronx @ Braves
Eovaldi is 2-0, 2.70 in his last four starts (under 3-1).

Teheran is 3-0, 2.73 in his last five starts (under 4-2 in last six at home).

Bronx won seven of last nine games with Atlanta; four of last six series tilts stayed under total. NY is 4-3 in last seven games overall; three of last four went over total. Braves lost 11 of last 12 games; five of their last seven went over.

A's @ Diamondbacks
Chavez is 1-2, 5.79 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Webster is making first start since June 29; he was 0-1, 10.13 in his last three starts before getting sent down.

Oakland lost five of last seven games with Arizona; four of last six went over total. A's lost five of last eight games; six of their last seven went over total. Diamondbacks lost five of last six games; over is 5-3-2 in their last ten.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Wsh-- Hand 4-4; Strasburg 9-8 (6-1 last 7)
Col-Pitt-- de la Rosa 11-11; Morton 12-5 (5-1 last 6)
SD-Phil-- Shields 12-15 (3-12 last 15); Asher 0-0
Cin-Mil-- Lamb 0-3; Peralta 6-9
Chi-LA-- Arrieta 14-11; Wood 10-16/2-3
StL-SF-- Garcia 8-5 (5-0 last 5); Heston 14-10 (0-3 last 3)

Det-Tor-- Simon 14-10; Buehrle 15-10
LA-Clev-- Weaver 9-10; Tomlin 2-1
KC-TB-- Duffy 13-7 (8-2 last 10); Karns 11-14
Balt-Tex-- Gonzalez 12-12 (1-5 last 6); Holland 1-2
Hst-Min-- McCullers 8-7; Santana 4-6
Sea-Chi-- Olmos 0-0; Quintana 11-15

Bos-NY-- Miley 12-14 (2-7 last 9); Syndergaard 10-9
NY-Atl-- Eovaldi 17-8 (10-2 last 12); Teheran 15-11
A's-Az-- Chavez 7-16; Webster 3-1

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Wsh-- Hand 4-8 (3-3 last 3); Strasburg 4-17
Col-Pitt-- de la Rosa 8-22; Morton 8-17
SD-Phil-- Shields 7-27; Asher 0-0
Cin-Mil-- Lamb 2-3; Peralta 6-15 (4 of last 5)
Chi-LA-- Arrieta 7-26; Wood 8-26
StL-SF-- Garcia 2-13; Heston 3-24

Det-Tor-- Simon 4-24; Buehrle 14-25
LA-Clev-- Weaver 5-19; Tomlin 1-3
KC-TB-- Duffy 5-20; Karns 12-25 (4 of last 4)
Balt-Tex-- Gonzalez 6-24; Holland 1-3
Hst-Min-- McCullers 4-15 (3 of last 4); Santana 1-9
Sea-Chi-- Olmos 0-0; Quintana 14-26

Bos-NY-- Miley 7-26; Syndergaard 6-19
NY-Atl-- Eovaldi 8-25; Teheran 9-26
A's-Az-- Chavez 6-23; Webster 2-4

Umpires
StL-SF-- Four of last five Cooper games went over the total.
Mia-Wsh-- Favorites won four of last five Scott games.
Col-Pitt-- Favorites won seven of last nine Nelson games.
SD-Phil-- Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Baker games
Cin-Mil-- Favorites won last six Dreckman games.
Chi-LA-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hoberg games.

Det-Tor-- Five of last six Davidson games went over.
KC-TB-- Six of last nine Fagan games stayed under.
Hst-Min-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Ripperger games.
Sea-Chi-- Four of last five TWelke games went over.
LA-Clev-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Knight games.
Balt-Tex-- Home side won last eight Reynolds games.

Bos-NY-- Five of last six West games went over total.
NY-Atl-- Favorites won 11 of last 14 Hickox games.
A's-Az-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last 11 Blakley games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CHICAGO CUBS at LA DODGERS
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
38-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.1% | 23.3 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 1.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | KANSAS CITY at TAMPA BAY
KANSAS CITY is 79-49 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.4) , OPPONENT (3.7)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | SAN ANTONIO at LOS ANGELES
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, vs. division opponents
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at TULSA
Play Against - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws, in August or September games
38-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.7% | 0.0 units )
7-2 this year. ( 77.8% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | WASHINGTON at SEATTLE
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at OTTAWA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15
20-11 since 1997. ( 64.5% | 0.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo’s not Chi, goes with Cubs

Hondo, still reveling in his monster score Friday night, gave some back Saturday night with the Cubs, whose loss to the Dodgers raised the deficit to 1,528 biittners.

Sunday night: Mr. Aitch will remain bearish — 20 units on Arrieta to maintain his status as the stud of the stable.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin - CEO


Sunday's Play


The New York Crew has its 150 Dime play on San Francisco and Chris Heston at home against the Cardinals and Jaime Garcia. Specify starters. The Giants are +100 to +105 at the majority of the books I've checked as of 7:25 AM Eastern as I put my site live for Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff barone sports
mlb- sf +102 st louis (4pm)
patrick dame


PATRICK DAME- "The Numbers Guru"
MLB- BOSTON/NY METS OVER 7.5 +100 (1PM)
CFL- SASKATCHEWAN / OTTAWA OVER 51 (7PM)
NFL- ARIZONA/OAKLAND OVER 39.5 (8PM)


David mires system
mlb- tampa -117 kansas city (130pm)
mlb- la dodgers +108 chicago (8pm)


Simon the "soccer guy"
norway - tippeligaen (over 3 -137) stromsgodset if @ mjondalen (12pm)
switzerland - axpo superleague (over 3 -127) young boys bern @ grasshopper club zurich (10am)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Harris CFL Sunday

4 Unit Play. Take #290 Ottawa Redblacks -2.5 over Saskatchewan Roughriders (4:05 PM, Sunday, August 30)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY

SOCCER

7-Unit Play. Take Inter Milan (-133) over Carpi (2:45 p.m., Sunday, August 30)
3-Unit Play. Take Valencia (-187) over Deportivo La Coruna (2:30 p.m., Sunday, August 30)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
New York Yankees + Atlanta Braves OVER 7
(System Record: 68-3, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 68-66-3

Rest of the Plays
Detroit Tigers + Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9
Chicago Cubs -122 over LA Dodgers
Miami Marlins + Washington Nationals UNDER 7