9-10-15

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS WINS


Risked 3 units to win 2.4 Western Kentucky -125 vs Louisiana Tech

Risked 3 units to win 3 New England Patriots -7 +100 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

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Stephen Nover

3* New England Patriots -7

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Steve Budin

The New York Crew has its 100 Dime play on Cleveland and Dan Salazar at home on the Run Line against the Tigers and Alfred Simon. Specify starters. The Tribe is +110 at the majority of the books I've checked as of 4:45 AM Eastern as I put my site live for Thursday.

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MLB

National League
Cubs @ Phillies
Arrieta is 7-0, 0.72 in his last seven starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Morgan is 1-1, 7.31 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Cubs won five of last six games (over 5-2 in last seven); they lost four of last five games with Philly- under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Phillies lost six of last seven games; six of their last eight went over the total.

Brewers @ Pirates
Peralta is 3-1, 4.18 in his last five starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Burnett is making first start since July 30; he 1-2, 10.69 in his last three starts; his last four went over.

Milwaukee won eight of last nine games with Pittsburgh; four of last five in series went over. Brewers lost three of last four games; eight of their last nine went over total. Pirates won three of last four; over is 7-2 in their last nine.

Mets @ Braves
Colon is 3-0, 0.00 (24 IP) in his last three starts (over 4-1 last five on road).

Miller is 0-4, 6.29 in his last four starts (under 7-3 in last ten).

Mets won four of last five games; over is 6-2 in their last eight. NY lost four of last five games with Atlanta (over 5-2 in last seven). Braves lost 13 of last 15 games; six of their last eight games went over.

Cardinals @ Reds
Garcia is 5-0, 1.98 in his last seven starts (under 5-2-1 in last eight).

Lamb is 0-3, 6.11 in his first five MLB starts (over 3-2).

St Louis won seven of last ten games with Cincinnati; last eight series games stayed under total. Cardinals lost five of last seven games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Reds lost four of their last six games (over 5-1).

Rockies @ Padres
de la Rosa is 2-1, 2.08 in his last four starts (under 4-1 in last five).

Ross is 2-1, 2.13 in his last four starts (under 4-0-1 last five at home).

Rockies lost nine of last 11 games with San Diego; five of last seven went over total. Colorado lost four of last five games (over 5-3 in last eight) overall. Padres lost six of last nine games; four of their last five stayed under.

American League
Rangers @ Mariners
Holland is 3-0, 2.15 in his last four starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Hernandez is 2-0, 2.81 in his last two starts; his last four all went over.

Texas won three of last five games with Seattle; under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Rangers won nine of last 13 games (under 9-3-1). Mariners won six of last eight games; eight of their last eleven games went over.

Blue Jays @ Bronx
Price is 3-1, 2.57 in his last four starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten.

Severino is 3-0, 0.98 in his last three starts (under 3-1 last four).

Toronto is 7-3 in last ten games with Bronx; last seven series games went under total. Blue Jays are 5-3 in last eight games; four of their last six went over the total. Bronx is 2-3 in last five games; six of their last nine games stayed under.

Tigers @ Indians
Simon is 1-2, 8.04 in his last three road starts.

Salazar is 1-2, 7.63 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Detroit lost three of last four games with Cleveland; six of last eight games in series went over total. Tigers are 3-2 in last five games (under 3-1-1). Indians won four of last six games; six of their last nine stayed under the total.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Chi-Phil-- Arrieta 20-8 (12-1 last 13); Morgan 7-6
Mil-Pitt-- Peralta 8-9; Burnett 12-9
NY-Atl-- Colon 14-13 (4-0 last 4); Miller 10-18 (2-16 last 18)
StL-Cin-- Garcia 10-5 (7-0 last 7); Lamb 0-5
Col-SD-- de la Rosa 13-11; Ross 16-13

Tex-Sea-- Holland 3-2; Hernandez 18-9
Tor-NY-- Price 20-8/5-2; Severino 3-3
Det-Clev-- Simon 15-11; Salazar 15-10

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Chi-Phil-- Arrieta 4-28; Morgan 2-13
Mil-Pitt-- Peralta 7-17; Burnett 5-21
NY-Atl-- Colon 8-27; Miller 5-28
StL-Cin-- Garcia 3-15; Lamb 3-5
Col-SD-- de la Rosa 8-24; Ross 8-29

Tex-Sea-- Holland 2-5; Hernandez 8-27
Tor-NY-- Price 7-28; Severino 2-6
Det-Clev-- Simon 5-26; Salazar 7-25

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | COLORADO at SAN DIEGO
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL
98-84 over the last 5 seasons. ( 53.8% | 48.7 units )
14-18 this year. ( 43.8% | 0.2 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | CHICAGO CUBS at PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 20-13 (+15.0 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was: PHILADELPHIA (5.1) , OPPONENT (4.4)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cubs on Wednesday and likes the Rangers on Thursday.

The deficit is 672 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Beaten Hondo feels the pain

Hondo, still reeling from his excruciating loss Tuesday night with the Nats, was hit with another one Wednesday when the Cubs gave it away in the eighth in St. Louis to increase the deficit to 1,774 treshes.

Thursday night: Mr. Aitch will plan on another Dutch treat from Holland — 20 units on the Rangers take down King Felix. Also, 20 on the Steelers to overcome the underhanded Patriots.

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Victor King:

3* OVER in Pitt/NE

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Dave Essler
* NFL Max-Bet (3*) Opener *
Pittsburgh / New England Under

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Wayne Root
millionaire - Patriots

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Brandon Lang
My 40 Dime selection is Patriots over the Steelers.
The current line on this game is -7 in Vegas and offshore.
I advise buying down a 1/2 point to 6 1/2. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

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Scott Delaney

60 Dime Mid-Major
Game of the Year

Western Kentucky +2

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Brad Wilton

50 Dime Conference USA
Game of the Month

Western Kentucky +2

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Craig Davis

75 DIME
Winner # 3 in a Row

Opening Night Lock

Pittsburgh +7