9-12-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux


#358 - 20 units on California -8.5
#320 - 10 units on Mississippi -26.5
#328 - 10 units on Texas San Antonio +20
#338 - 10 units on Arkansas State +12.5
#373 - 10 units on Kentucky +9.5
#400 - 10 units on Stanford -17

#365 - NCAAF - 10 units on San Jose State / Air Force Over 55
#393 - NCAAF - 10 units on FIU / Indiana Over 53

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler


3* Arkansas St +12
2* Ohio +4

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Rooster


Memphis / Kansas Under 63

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Dave Cokin


[312] Penn St -21
[321] Temple +6.5
[333] Wake Forest +4.5
[346] Michigan -16
[369] Bowling Green +7.5

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Prediction Machine

NCAA LOCK
[323] LSU 60.5%

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Sports Insights



[318] Play on LOU Under 55 (-108)
[330] Play on OHIO +3 (-108)
[331] Play on HAW Over 62.5 (-110)
[335] Play on APP-ST Over 58.5 (-110)
[340] Play on WYO Under 54 (-108)
[344] Play on CO-ST Under 55 (-110)
[356] Play on IA-ST +3.5 (-108)
[359] Play on MEM Over 62 (-108)
[365] Play on SJ-ST Over 58 (-108)
[365] Play on SJ-ST +6.5 (-110)
[375] Play on NO-TX Over 60.5 (-110)
[380] Play on TTU Under 66 (-108)
[381] Play on WA-ST Over 62 (-110)
[386] Play on TEXAS -15 (-108)
[387] Play on GA-ST Over 63.5 (-108)
[397] Play on TULSA +4 (-115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club



[323] LSU -4.5
[356] Iowa State +3
[371] Arizona -11
[384] Tennessee +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman


6* Cal -13.5
4* Notre Dame -12.5
4* Penn St -19.5
3* Ohio +3
3* Wyoming -13
3* Akron +13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports



8 Unit Play. Take Nevada Wolf Pack +11.5 over Arizona Wildcats

Nonconference Game of the Year!

We saw last week that many power five teams struggled to put away and cover the spread against mid-majors in true road games. Tonight we have a line that is way off the mark as Arizona is not the team they were last year. These two teams have met twice in the last three years, and both times Arizona was a big favorite but Nevada covered the game with relative ease. That included losing by just seven points last year in Tucson despite being a 19-point underdog. Arizona looked awful against UTSA last week, and this is a Roadrunner team that returned just 6 of 22 starters from a 4-win team last year. Arizona got two defensive touchdowns but gave up 29 first downs and 525 total yards to UTSA. Nevada always prides themselves on holding onto the football and winning the turnover battle, and if they accomplish this they will take this game right down to the wire. Nevada's game against UC-Davis was a little misleading as they gave up two late meaningless scores to make the game closer than what it actually was. Nevada has a solid defense, and despite breaking in a new quarterback should be able to move the football on this suspect Wildcat defense. Throw in the fact that Arizona will be without PAC-12 Defensive Player of the Year in Scooby Wright and that just means this line is way off the mark. Take the points and I truly believe Nevada has a great chance to win this game straight-up. 9 of Arizona's last 13 wins have come by less than today's posted number.


4 Unit Play. Take LSU Tigers -4 over Mississippi State Bulldogs

This is the first key match-up in the SEC East as many believe LSU has a good chance to win the division and advance onto the 4 team College Football Playoff. Mississippi State still has the edge at quarterback with Dak Prescott but they have to rebuild the offensive line and that will allow the Tigers to run free at the quarterback. LSU returns all of their offensive talent and they are 10-1 in their last 11 games in Starkville which includes seven straight wins. LSU was beaten by Mississippi State last year in Baton Rouge and that revenge will be best served on the football field tonight.


4 Unit Play. Take Boise State Broncos -2.5 over BYU Cougars

BYU is riding high after a miracle win last week at Nebraska, but this is the game the loss of Taysom Hill will catch up to them. Boise State has a chance to make the Final Four in they can run the table, and expect them to move to 2-0 on the season after this game on Saturday night. We got a gift line last year when they two teams met and Boise State blasted BYU, 55-30 despite being just a 6-point favorite. Boise State has won 4 of the 5 meetings in this series, and they are just a better all-around team that is BYU. BYU comes crashing down, and we collect in the process as well.


4 Unit Play. Take Iowa State Cyclones +3.5 over Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa usually comes into this battle with the better team and yet struggles mightily against their in-state rival. The Cyclones have covered of 13 of their last 17 against the Hawkeyes, and Coach Kirk Ferentz is just 7-9 straight up. Neither team faced a FBS team last week, but this game just seems to mean more to the Cyclones as has been made evident by the fact they have won this game three of the last four years. Expect another battle that goes down to the wire and is decided by a field goal, giving us the cover with whoever comes out on top.


4 Unit Play. Take Rutgers Scarlet Knights -3 over Washington State Cougars

The Mike Leach magic has long passed, and I believe his days are numbered at Washington State. The Cougs are coming off a 3-9 season and opened 2015 with a home loss to Portland State, despite being close to a four-touchdown favorite. Rutgers has their own issues as well, but they are still a much more stable team with a better head coach in Kyle Flood. The Knights return a solid stable of running backs and should be able to chew up the clock and control this game for 60 minutes. Rutgers beat Wazzou last year in Seattle, and the Cougars have lost nine straight road openers by an average of more than 20 points per game. Expect a lot of points again, but in the end we will side with the better team playing at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy


5-Unit - South Florida +28
3-Unit - Middle Tennessee St +35.5
3-Unit - Arkansas St / Missouri over 58.5
3-Unit - Kentucky +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza



7 Unit Play. Take #392 Michigan St -3.5 over Oregon (8:00p.m., Saturday September 12 ABC)


Revenge is all over this game as last year the Oregon Ducks at home beat up Michigan St 46-27 and you know the Spartans had this game circled on the calendar all summer long. Oregon beat up Eastern Washington last week while Michigan St were on the road playing Western Michigan and the score looks much closer then the game but you figure the Spartans were probably thinking about the Ducks all last week. Michigan St wins this game on defense and if the Ducks struggle to run the ball on the road then I see Michigan St controlling the clock and winning this game in the second half. Last week the Spartans defense was questionable through the air but their rush defense was brilliant only giving up 18 yard on the ground. Even though Ducks QB Adams was successful last week against his former team if you watch the game the Eastern Washington defense were able to knock him around and if Michigan St get to Adams early this game could be changed by halftime. Look for Michigan St QB Cook to outduel Adams and I see Michigan St coming out on top and win this game 36-30. Michigan St is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.


4 Unit Play. Take #347 Over 54.5 Tulane at Georgia Tech (3:30p.m., Saturday September 12)


This play is all on the offense that the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets can produce and will produce Saturday afternoon. Georgia Tech scored 69 points against Alcorn St last week and the Yellow Jackets scored 34 points in the first quarter. I'm not saying that we will see the same outcome but if Tulane can't keep up the offense pace I see a huge blowout win for the Yellow Jackets. Tulane defense was really good against Duke at home for 3 quarters but then the 4th quarter appeared and Duke scored 21 points in the 4th. This game is all about the rushing attack of GT and its not how many points the Jackets score on Saturday its can Tulane help me cash this OVER ticket. I smell a 47-10 final and this game goes OVER the total. Georgia Tech is 5-1 O/U in their last 6 non-conference opponents and the Jackets are 14-5 O/U in the month of September


3 Unit Play. Take #355 Iowa -3 over Iowa St (4:45p.m., Saturday September 12 FOX)


This state rival is always fun to watch and defense is always the key to the winner. The road team has won 3-straight meetings and again Saturday late afternoon I see the road team winning again. Both teams are coming off home wins but I believe Iowa faced the tougher opponent in Illinois St. Illinois St is no joke on offense and Iowa only giving up 14 points but that was against backup players. If the Hawkeyes defense can stop the run and avoid giving up the big plays down the field I see Iowa pulling away in the 2nd half and would shock me to see Iowa cover and this game go UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports



6-Unit Play. Take #392 Michigan State (-3.5) over Oregon (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)

Revenge is a dish best served with a side of Duck. Michigan State will get that revenge on Saturday night. The Spartans had an 11-point lead as a double-digit favorite in Oregon last season, and let it slip away. That won't happen again. Playing in front of a packed house, and playing against an Oregon team that isn't as good as they have been (but still very good), is a perfect opportunity for MSU. The Oregon Ducks gave up over 400 yards in the air to Eastern Washington last weekend, that is not good. Michigan State gave up a lot through the air as well, but they absolutely demolished the Western Michigan running game. Now I know that WM and Oregon aren't in the same conversation when discussing rushing offenses, but this MSU rushing defense is outstanding, and they will do everything possible to slow down the Ducks. Michigan State has the ability to win this game by double-figures, and I see them doing so. Oregon struggled to slow down Eastern Washington and they will do the same thing on the road versus Michigan State. MSU wins this game 37-24 and East Lansing goes absolutely nuts late into the night. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus teams with winning records and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. Lay the points on the home team in this one.


4-Unit Play. Take #348 Georgia Tech (-28.5) over Tulane (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)

This Georgia Tech offense is fun to watch. The tripple-option works extremely well for the Wramblin' Wreck and it will do so again this Saturday. GT put up nearly 70 points last weekend, and should top the 50-point mark again this weekend. Tulane is going to try and get GT to throw the football, but in order to do so they have to open up a lead and control the game, something they absolutely won't be able to do. Duke ran for over 200 yards versus Tulane in Week 1, and that doesn't bode well for the Green Wave defense. Georgia Tech wants to ride high going in to their matchup with Notre Dame next weekend. Typically this could be looked at as a look ahead game, but not for the Yellow Jackets. Their offense is built to not look ahead. When you are relying on a QB to throw the football and hope for proper route running teams can let down a bit, but when you just absolutely run all over people, the let down isn't as prevelent. Lay the big number here as Georgia Tech rolls 51-13.


3-Unit Play. Take #368 Akron (+13) over Pittsburgh (6 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)

I know it is difficult to belive, but the Akron/Oklahoma game was closer than the final socreline. Akron was in that game for much of the first half, and actually had a chance to take the lead with the ball inside the Sooners redzone. Akron eventually missed a field goal on that possession and could generate much after that. The Zips defense looked good for a half, and will look even better versus a Pittsbugh team without their playing making running back. Akron did an outstanding job of slowing down the Sooners rushing attack, but struggled in the air. This won't be the case this weekend. Look for the Akron defense to keep this squad in the game throughout and for the Zips do quite possibly win this game outright. Regardless of the winner of the game on the scoreboard, the Zips will cover this double-digit line easily.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vern Croy



7-Unit Play. Take the #392 Michigan State -3.5 over Oregon (Saturday, September, 12 at 8:00 PM ET)


CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year


This pick falls into one of my elite CFB systems and I have the Spartans winning by double digits at home Saturday night. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games dating back to last season when playing a team that has a winning record and they are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after putting up over 450 total yards in their previous game. The Spartans have revenge in mind here after losing to the Ducks 46-27 in week 2 last season and now they face a Ducks team that is not nearly as strong this season. The Spartans have only lost 3 of their last 30 games and they will be looking for payback here Saturday night as they have a National Championship caliber team this season. I have also reached out to my contacts for this game like I will do for any big release this season and they also assured me of a mismatch here Saturday night. Play Michigan State -3.5 with extreme confidence.



6-Unit Play. Take the #323 LSU -4.5 over Miss. State (Saturday, September, 12 at 9:15 PM ET)


CFB Bookie Buster

This pick falls into one of my elite CFB systems and we are actually getting great line value here tonight simply because the country has not seen this LSU team in action yet this season. If LSU played last week you would be seeing 7's on the board for sure as this is a fairly big mismatch here Saturday night. LSU is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against the Bulldogs and now they face a much different Bulldogs team, with perhaps one of the best LSU teams I have seen in a while. Brandon Harris has evolved big time since his up and down freshman season and this will be a surprisingly potent LSU offense. Play LSU -4.5 with extreme confidence Saturday night.



5-Unit Play. Take the #399 Central Florida +19 over Stanford (Saturday, September, 12 at 10:30 PM ET)


Oddsmakers Error

We are getting tremendous value here with central Florida on the in a game they have an above normal chance of winning outright. Central Florida is packed with talent and this is a team that is very quick and can actually match Stanford on both sides of the ball. UCF has a good set of wide-outs and they have a QB by the name of Justin Holman who you will hear a lot more about after this game is finished. UCF got caught looking ahead to Stanford against FIU while Stanford fell 6-16 against Northwestern ending the game with just 85 rushing yards. Stanford's offensive line is a mess and UCF will be able to pressure Kevin Hogan all night long Saturday night so I look for some turnovers going UCF's way in this potential massive upset. Stanford also has USC on deck so this is a big time look ahead game for this Stanford team. Play UCF on the +19 with extreme confidence as there is too much value to pass up here Saturday night with a lot lower risk than you may think.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NORTHCOAST ECONOMY CLUB



Michigan-15
Rutgers-3
Florida St-27
Georgia southern+5
Arkansas-21
UConn-7
Texas-15
Michigan St-3 1/2
E. Michigan +14
Temple+7
UTSA+17
BYU+3
Louisville-12
Ohio U+3 1/2
California-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS Totals

#383 Oklahoma/Tennessee U - Over 61.5
Rating: 1.00

#311 Buffalo U/Penn State - Over 50.5
Rating: 1.00

#356 Iowa/Iowa State - Under 52.5
Rating: 1.00

399 Central Florida/Stanford - Over 42.5
Rating: 1.00


#368 Pittsburgh/Akron - Under 52
Rating: 1.00

#361 Toledo/Arkansas - Over 53.5
Rating: 1.00

#359 Memphis/Kansas - Over 60
Rating: 1.00