9-21-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter NFL

(3*) Colts -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy



7-Unit Play. Take the #290 Indianapolis -7 over NY Jets (Monday, September, 21 at 8:30 PM ET)


7-Unit NFL Monday Night Football Smash of the Year.


This pick falls into one of my elite NFL systems and this line shapes up perfectly because the Jets beat the Browns by 21 points in week 1 while the Colts lost to the Bills. The Colts are the superior team here who actually have one of the top 3 QB's in all of the NFL. I have the Colts winning this game by 20 points over a very bad Jets team. The Jets would have lost outright last Sunday to the Browns if McCown did not get knocked out of the game diving into the endzone. Manziel came in and basically handed over the game to a bad Jets team. That will not happen with this Colts team as long as Luck does not get hurt during the game, and if he doesn't get hurt the Colts win big at home Monday night. To put it in perspective the Jets allowed 231 passing yards to the Browns, now just imagine the godly numbers Luck will put up here Monday night. Even if this line had the Colts -13 I would still be on the Colts so that should tell you just how much I love it. I have also reached out to my contacts for this game and they said "no doubt rout" which only bolsters what I already knew. The Colts are 18-3 ATS in their last 21 games after a loss and 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Play the Indianapolis Colts -7 with extreme confidence Monday night as Luck has a career night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

4 Unit Play. #290 Take Indianapolis Colts -7 over New York Jets (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN)


All the trends point to a blowout victory by the Colts, and we will lay the points in this game. QB Andrew Luck is 14-1 ATS in his next game coming off a loss in his previous outing. The Jets were gifted the game last Sunday against Cleveland with five turnovers, and do not expect the Colts to be so generous. The Jets are just 2-12 ATS (2 pushes) playing on a road against a team not from the AFC East. Indianapolis is 16-6 ATS (2 pushes) in night games. The Colts cannot afford to start the season 0-2, and they get this game going away.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis

6* Colts -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza


4 Unit Play. Take #290 Indianapolis -7 over NY Jets (8:30p.m., Monday September 21 ESPN)


Colts come home after a butt-kicking from the Buffalo Bills and you would think the Colts are 0-5 coming into this Monday Night game. Jets won their first game against the Browns but again that that was the Browns and the Browns are no Indianapolis. I see Andrew Luck and the Colts offense producing early touchdowns and I see the Colts defense playing a lot better at home Monday night. Jets offense will not score 31 points against the Colts defense and I see Luck and the running game of Indy controlling the clock and winning this game with no problem. Wouldn't shock me to see Indy win this home Monday Night game by two touchdowns or more. Indianapolis is 18-3 ATS following a SU loss and the Colts are 9-3 ATS when playing Monday Night games. Home team in this series is 5-2 ATS and I see this trend easily cashing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy


5-Unit Play. #290. NY Jets / Indianapolis Colts Under 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phone Service
3* Indy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CH Ballers

Colts -7*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Braves @ Mets
Miller is winless in his last 22 starts (0-6, 6.62 last six; over 4-1 last five).

Niese is 1-1, 9.12 in his last five starts (over 6-0 last six).

Braves lost four games with the Mets (over 7-3 last 10); Atlanta won its last three games, all by 2-1 scores- their last four games stayed under. Mets lost four of last five games; three of their last four stayed under. .

Brewers @ Cubs
Peralta is 0-1, 5.25 in his last three starts (over 5-1 last six).

Hammel is 1-1, 6.41 in his last four starts (over 5-1 last six).

Brewers lost their last seven games with the Cubs (under 5-2-1 in last eight). Milwaukee lost eight of last nine gams (over 8-2 last 10). Cubs won five of last six games (over 7-3 last ten). .

Reds @ Cardinals
Lamb is 1-3, 5.35 in his seven MLB starts (over 5-2).

Garcia is 1-1, 8.44 in his last two starts (over 4-1 last five).

Reds won six of last nine games with St Louis (under 8-2 last ten); Cincinnati is 3-4 in its last seven games (over 6-1). Cardinals won five of their last seven games; four of their last five games went over.

Pirates @ Rockies
Burnett is 0-2, 7.97 in his last four starts (over 5-1 last six).

Gray is 0-1, 4.19 in his last four starts (over 5-3 in his MLB starts).

Pittsburgh won six of last nine games with Colorado (under 7-2-1 in last ten). Pirates are 6-4 in last ten games; four of last six stayed under. Rockies are 6-4 in last ten games, with four of last five going over the total.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Chacin is 0-1, 3.44 in three starts this year (over 1-1-1).

Anderson is 2-0, 3.86 in his last four starts (over 5-2 last seven).

Arizona lost eight of last ten games with Los Angeles; five of last seven in series went over. D'backs are 3-5 in last eight games; their last four all stayed under the total. Dodgers lost three of last five (under 5-2 last seven). .

American League
White Sox @ Tigers
Johnson is 2-0, 3.71 in three starts this year (over 2-0-1). Samardzija is 1-8, 9.24 in his last nine starts (over 9-1 last ten).

Wolf is 0-3, 6.84 in five starts this year (over 2-2-1). Ryan is 0-2, 7.56 in his last four starts (over 3-1)- this is his first start since July 7.

White Sox lost four of last five games with Detroit (over 5-0); Chicago lost three of last four games (under 5-1-1 last seven). Tigers won four of their last five games (over 7-1-1 in their last nine games). .

Bronx @ Blue Jays
Warren is 1-1, 3.97 in his last four starts (under 6-3 last nine).

Price is 3-0, 1.89 in his last three starts (over 4-2 last six).

Bronx lost four of last five games with Toronto; three of last four series tilts went over total. New York won five of last seven games (under 5-2). Toronto is 3-4 in its last seven games (under 5-2).

Rays @ Red Sox
Archer is 0-2, 5.19 in his last three starts (over 4-1 last five).

Rodriguez is 2-1, 2.08 in his last three starts (under 3-0).

Rays lost five of last seven games with Boston (over 5-2); Tampa Bay lost six of last nine games overall (under 5-3 last eight). Red Sox won three of last four (over is 6-4 in their last ten games).

Angels @ Astros
Weaver is 1-1, 3.24 in his last three starts (under 5-2 last seven).

Keuchel is 0-2, 10.12 in his last two starts (over 4-1 in last five); he is 4-0, 2.31 in his last five home starts.

Angels are 3-5 in last eight games with Astros; home side won eight of last 10 series games, under is 3-0-1 in last four. Halos won three of last four games (under 5-3-2 in last ten). Houston won four of last six home games; four of their last six games overall went over the total. .

Interleague
Orioles @ Nationals
Jimenez is 2-0, 4.58 in his last three starts (over 5-2 last seven).

Gonzalez is 2-0, 1.47 in his last three starts (over 8-0-1 last nine).

Baltimore won six of last nine games with Washington; four of last six series games went under total. Orioles are 2-3 in last five games (over 4-2 last six). Washington has 7-1 in last eight games, with four of last five going over total. .

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Atl-NY-- Miller 10-20 (3-18 last 21); Niese 13-15
Mil-Chi-- Peralta 9-10; Hammel 13-15
Cin-StL-- Lamb 2-5; Garcia 11-6 (8-1 last 9)
Pitt-Col-- Burnett 12-11 (0-4 last 4); Gray 1-7
Az-LA-- Chacin 1-2; Anderson 15-13

Chi-Det-- Johnson 2-1 Samardzija 12-18 (1-8 last 9); Wolf 2-3 Ryan 1-4
NY-Tor-- Warren 9-6; Price 22-8/7-2
TB-Bos-- Archer 17-14; Rodriguez 11-8
LA-Hst-- Weaver 10-13; Keuchel 20-10

Balt-Wsh-- Jimenez 16-13; Gonzalez 15-13

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Atl-NY-- Miller 6-30; Niese 8-28
Mil-Chi-- Peralta 6-19; Hammel 12-28
Cin-StL-- Lamb 3-7; Garcia 3-17
Pitt-Col-- Burnett 6-23; Gray 5-8
Az-LA-- Chacin 0-3; Anderson 9-28

Chi-Det-- Johnson 0-3 Samardzija 15-30; Wolf 2-5 Ryan 1-5
NY-Tor-- Warren 5-15; Price 7-30
TB-Bos-- Archer 7-31; Rodriguez 5-19
LA-Hst-- Weaver 7-23; Keuchel 5-30

Balt-Wsh-- Jimenez 8-29; Gonzalez 2-28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | INDIANA at CHICAGO
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 after having won 3 of their last 4 games, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (INDIANA) after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more
52-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at CHICAGO
Play Against - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) after having won 3 of their last 4 games, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | LA ANGELS at HOUSTON
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA ANGELS) very bad AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season
152-153 over the last 5 seasons. ( 49.8% | 68.3 units )
29-39 this year. ( 42.6% | 3.9 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | CINCINNATI at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 83-40 (+32.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (4.2) , OPPONENT (3.1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Monday, September 21st

2015 AFC Monday Night Football Total of the Year!!!!!
New York/Indianapolis under 47

Please note: due to discount, guarantees do not apply to this package

September's National League East Total of the Month!!!!!
Atlanta/New York under 7 1/2

MLB Best Bets
Pittsburgh/Colorado under 10 1/2
New York/Toronto under 8 1/2
Tampa Bay/Boston under 8
Los Angeles/Houston under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Texans (+3) on Sunday and likes the Jets on Monday.

The deficit is 632 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo playing the horses

Hondo did more damage to the debt Sunday when he lost with the Eagles but scored with the Nationals, Yanks and Packers to lower the dirty digits to 1,530 ameches.

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will engage in some horse play in Indianapolis — 10 units on the Colts to bring the Jets back to earth.