9-24-15

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence
phone plays. NY giants

Also
3* Best Bet in Playbook newsletter

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Jason Sample:
Redskins +10 / Packers PK (-120) (2x)

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EZWINNERS

2* Giants -3.5

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Sixth Sense

Redskins +4

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Fezzik

Double-Dime Bet

[301] Redskins +3.5 (-110)


Double Revenge with the better team trumps the desperate Thursday Night Situational spot for the banged up Giants here

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 good shooting team (43.5-46%) against an average defensive team (40.5-43.5%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's)
55-24 since 1997. ( 69.6% | 28.6 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.6 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=42% of their shots against opponent after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher
45-23 since 1997. ( 66.2% | 0.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points off a road win by 10 points or more
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

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MLB

National League

Braves @ Mets
Perez is 2-0, 2.89 in his last three starts (over 6-1 last seven).

Colon is 3-1, 1.53 in his last four starts (under 3-1).

Braves lost five of last six games with the Mets (over 7-4-1 last 12); Atlanta won four of last five games, allowing nine runs- under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Mets lost five of last seven games; five of last six stayed under.

Phillies @ Marlins
Buchanan is 0-4, 14.40 in his last four starts (over 5-1-2 last eight).

Miami is 7-1 when Conley starts (3-1, 2.96 last five; over 5-2-1).

Phillies won eight of last nine games with Miami (over 5-3-1); Phils lost six of last seven games (under 4-1-1 last six). Marlins lost last four games, allowing 29 runs (over 3-1-1 last five).

Brewers @ Cubs
Davies is 1-2, 6.00 in his four starts (over 3-1).

Hendricks is 1-1, 5.26 in his last five starts (over 4-0 last four).

Brewers lost last nine games with the Cubs (over 3-2 last five). Milwaukee lost ten of last 11 games (over 9-3 last 12). Cubs won seven of last eight games (over 8-4 last twelve).

Reds @ Cardinals
Finnegan allowed one run in five IP (75 PT) in his first MLB start.

Lynn is 0-2, 9.26 in his last three starts (over 3-0-1 last four at home).

Reds lost last three games with St Louis (under 10-2 last 12); Cincinnati is 3-6 in its last nine games (over 6-3). Cardinals won seven of their last nine games; their last three games stayed under.

Pirates @ Rockies
Morton is 1-4, 6.59 in his last five starts (under 4-2 last six).

Bergman is making first start since April 14 (four IP, no runs, 85 PT).

Pittsburgh won eight of last 11 games with Colorado (under 8-3-1 in last 12). Pirates are 8-4 in last dozen games; five of last eight stayed under. Rockies lost last three games, allowing 25 runs; five of last seven went over total.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Anderson is 0-1, 6.92 in his last three starts (over 4-2 last six).

Greinke is 5-0, 1.53 in his last five starts (under 6-2 last eight).

Arizona won three of last five games with Los Angeles; seven of last nine in series went over. D'backs won four of last five games;four of their last six stayed under the total. Dodgers lost five of last seven (over 4-3).

Giants @ Padres
Former Padre Peavy is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts (over 3-1 last four).

Cashner is 1-3, 5.40 in his last five starts (over 5-3 in last eight).

Giants won their last six games with San Diego (over 5-1); SF won seven of last ten games overall (last four under). Padres lost eight of their last eleven games; eight of their last ten went over the total.


American League

White Sox @ Tigers
Montas is making first MLB start; he allowed one run in five relief stints (eight IP) so far this season and was 5-5, 2.97 in 23 starts in AA Southern League this year.

Verlander is 0-2, 3.74 in his last three starts (over 3-1 last four).

White Sox split last six games with Detroit (over 5-3 last eight); Chicago won three of last five games (under 8-1-1 last ten). Tigers lost three of last four games, scoring eight runs (over 7-4-1 in their last twelve games)

Bronx @ Blue Jays
Nova is 1-4, 8.74 in his last five starts (over 3-1 last four).

Stroman is 2-0, 3.00 in his two starts this year (over 1-1).

Bronx lost five of last seven games with Toronto; four of last six series games went over total. New York won six of last nine games (under 6-3). Toronto won four of its last seven games (under 6-3).

Rays @ Red Sox
Smyly is 2-0, 3.42 in his last four starts (over 3-1-1 last five).

Porcello is 2-2, 5.08 in his last four sarts (under 5-3 last eight).

Rays lost six of last nine games with Boston (over 6-3); Tampa Bay lost seven of last 11 games overall (under 6-4 last ten). Red Sox won four of last six (over is 7-5 in their last twelve games).

Indians @ Twins
Kluber is 0-2, 4.94 in his last four starts (over 5-2 last seven).

Hughes is 0-3, 10.03 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1 last five).

Indians are 4-7 in last 11 games with Minnesota; last four series games went under the total. Cleveland is 4-0 in game following its last four losses; over is 3-1-1 in its last five games overall. Twins lost five of their last seven games.

Angels @ Astros
Tropeano is 1-2, 6.86 in his last four starts (over 2-0-1 last three).

Fiers is 0-1, 4.50 in his last three starts (under 3-1-1 last five).

Angels are 4-6 in last ten games with Astros; home side won nine of last 12 series games, under is 4-1-1 in last six. Halos won four of last six games (under 6-4-2 in last 12). Houston won five of last eight home games; five of their last eight games overall went over the total.

Mariners @ Royals
Elias is 1-2, 6.11 in his last four starts (over 2-2).

Ventura is 5-1, 3.34 in his last six starts (over 3-0-1 last four).

Mariners won five of last seven games with Kansas City; under is 3-2-1 in last six in series. Seattle won five of its last seven games overall. Royals are 3-6 in their last nine games; their last five games all went over the total.

Rangers @ A's
Lewis is 2-0, 1.20 in his last two starts (under 3-0-1 last four on road).

Doubront is 1-1, 7.71 in his last three starts (over 5-1 in Oakland starts).

Texas won three of last four games with Oakland; Rangers won seven of last nine games overall-- six of last seven went over the total. A's are 3-6 in last nine games; three of last five Oakland games stayed under the total. .


Interleague

Orioles @ Nationals
Tillman is 0-4, 7.76 in his last six starts; (over 3-1 last four).

Scherzer is 1-0, 3.00 in his last four starts (over 5-2-2 last nine).

Baltimore won seven of last ten games with Washington; five of last seven in series stayed under total. Orioles split last six games (over 4-3 last seven). Washington won seven of last nine games, with four of last six going over total. .


Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Atl-NY-- Perez 7-11; Colon 15-14
Phil-Mia-- Buchanan 2-10; Conroy 7-1
Mil-Chi-- Davies 2-2; Hendricks 17-12 (8-2 last 10)
Cin-StL-- Finnegan 1-0; Lynn 15-13 (0-3 last 3)
Pitt-Col-- Morton 13-8; Bergman 1-0
Az-LA-- Anderson 10-15; Greinke 22-8 (13-2 last 15)
SF-SD-- Peavy 9-7; Cashner 11-18 (1-4 last 5)

Chi-Det-- Montas 0-0; Verlander 5-12
NY-Tor-- Nova 6-8 (1-4 last 5); Stroman 2-0
TB-Bos-- Smyly 6-4; Porcello 12-13
Cle-Min-- Kluber 11-19; Hughes 12-12 (0-3 last 3)
LA-Hst-- Tropeano 2-3; Fiers 15-13/4-3
Sea-KC-- Elias 6-11; Ventura 14-11 (7-1 last 8)
Tex-A's-- Lewis 15-15; Doubront 6-4/5-1

Balt-Wsh-- Tillman 13-15; Scherzer 16-14


Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Atl-NY-- Perez 6-18; Colon 8-29
Phil-Mia-- Buchanan 4-12; Conroy 0-8
Mil-Chi-- Davies 1-4; Hendricks 7-29
Cin-StL-- Finnegan 0-1; Lynn 10-28
Pitt-Col-- Morton 10-21; Bergman 0-1
Az-LA-- Anderson 9-25; Greinke 7-30
SF-SD-- Peavy 4-16; Cashner 13-30

Chi-Det-- Montas 0-0; Verlander 3-17
NY-Tor-- Nova 2-14; Stroman 0-2
TB-Bos-- Smyly 1-10; Porcello 5-25
Cle-Min-- Kluber 11-30; Hughes 8-24 (4 of last 4)
LA-Hst-- Tropeano 2-5; Fiers 4-28
Sea-KC-- Elias 7-17; Ventura 6-25
Tex-A's-- Lewis 6-30; Doubront 5-10 (4 of last 4)

Balt-Wsh-- Tillman 5-28; Scherzer 7-30


Umpires
Phil-Mia-- Underdogs won both Torres games this season.
Atl-NY-- Seven of last nine Schrieber games went over.
Mil-Chi-- Five of last six Nauert games went over total.
Cin-StL-- Last seven Cuzzi games went over the total.
Pitt-Col-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Carapazza games.
Az-LA-- Five of last six Hudson games stayed under.
SF-SD-- Home side won both Scheurwater games.

NY-Tor-- Favorites won last nine Reynolds games.
Chi-Det-- Seven of last ten Woodring games went over.
TB-Bos-- Favorites won seven of last eight BWelke games.
LA-Hst-- Underdogs are 8-6 in last 14 TBarrett games.
Cle-Min-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Bellino games.
Sea-KC-- Last four Drake games went over the total.
Tex-A's-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last eleven Baker games.

Blt-Wsh-- Six of last nine Ripperger games went over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fargo's 10* CFB THURSDAY STAR ATTRACTION (AWESOME 64% CFB YTD)
This will be a very unpopular pick this week based on the results we have seen but that is what gets us the value. Cincinnati is off to a 2-1 start but has not looked good in doing so as the loss came to Temple, which albeit is having a solid season, and one win came against Miami Ohio by just four points. The Bearcats are 0-3 against the number as they were unable to cover against Alabama A&M as a 46-point favorite so that can be tossed out. The thing is that they have outgained all three opponents and despite losing to Temple, they outgained the Owls by 261 yards. Five turnovers were the difference there. Memphis is 3-0 as it survived a scare last week against Bowling Green winning 44-41 thanks to scoring the final 10 points of the game. Blowouts over Missouri St. and Kansas were far from impressive. Cincinnati quarterback Gunner Kiel suffered a concussion last week in the third quarter and was listed as questionable yesterday, then went to doubtful and has since gone back to questionable. The line has moved four points because of this and we made the play thinking he would not play and if he does, it only benefits us that much more. Memphis is 5-18 ATS in its last 23 games after scoring 42 or more points and the Bearcats will be out for payback after losing by 27 points at home last season. 10* PLAY Cincinnati Bearcats




Fargo's 10* NFL THURSDAY ENFORCER (AWESOME 66% YTD)
The Giants are coming off another tough loss, the second straight game they have blown a late lead and with it came some history they do not want to be associated with. The Giants are the first team to blow double digit fourth quarter leads in consecutive games to start a season. That distinction should have them fired up for this game as they look to avoid a 0-3 start. The good news is that the NFC East is a mess right now with the Eagles looking awful and the Cowboys without Tony Romo for at least eight weeks. Washington blew a lead in their season opener against the Dolphins but came back to defeat the Rams last week. That was more of a St. Louis loss as it was coming a huge home win in overtime against the Seahawks at home. This is the first road game for Washington and going back to 2013, it is 1-13 over its last 14 road games and there is not much to think that is going to change here. The running game needs to get moving for the Giants as they have put up 97 and 99 yards on the ground and going back, they are 20-8 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Meanwhile, the Redskins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Additionally, the Giants fall into a great situation as we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games coming off an upset win as a home underdog. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* PLAY New York Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Red Hot NFL Thursday Night Super Play
Play - NY Giants (Game 302).
Edges - Giants: 4-0 ATS in this series; and 5-1 Thursdays off non-division game; and 11-3 ATS division home favorite off home game. Redskins: 2-8 ATS after Rams; and 2-6 ATS with quadruple revenge-exact. The clincher comes from our database as it notes that Thursday teams in division match-ups, off a SU dog win in which it beat the spread by 14 or more points are 1-10 ATS when facing a .700 or less opponent. With that we recommend a 3* play on the NY Giants. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun Sports CFB 7* Black Label TNF Marquee Insider
CFB: 7* PLAY Memphis Tigers -10 vs. Cincinnati Bearcats 7:30PM EST
The Cincinnati Bearcats QB Gunner Kiel suffered a concussion in their game versus Miami-Ohio and is currently listed as probable. We do not feel even if plays they are good enough to stay within the number because defensively the Bearcats are horrible. The Bearcats defense has allowed an average of 435 yards the last two weeks including 220 yards rushing to the Miami-Ohio Redhawks who are terrible. Memphis on the other hand has QB Paxton Lynch who has completed 77 percent of his passes with six touchdown passes and not a single INT so far this season. The Bearcats defensive secondary is much like the rest of their defense, leaving a lot to be desired when it comes to keeping the opponent out of their endzone. Lynch and company should have another big night setting the Bearcats ablaze with his pinpoint passes. Last year in this matchup in the Queen City Lynch threw for 311 yards and four touchdowns as the Tigers easily destroyed Tommy Tubs and his team of Bearcats winning 41 to 14. The Tigers have been cashing tickets for their backers at a rate of 10-4-2 against the spread since last season. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 17.08 points. The MM projects a point differential of 8.91 points with a current line range of -10.0 to -12.5. The SIM Matrix has the Memphis Tigers with a 72.46 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. A check of our powerful database reveals a league-wide system that tells us to Play ON CFB teams that scored forty or more points in their last three games, 52-39 ATS for 57.1 percent winners. The critical indicators along with all technical elements point to one side in this contest so we will back the Memphis Tigers again on Thursday night. Memphis Tigers

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NFL Thursday night NFC EAST Division 3*** SIDE PLAY Winner from King Creole:
8:25pm ET - 5:25pm PT / #302
Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
3* Play on: NEW YORK GIANTS minus the points
The Giants are already in uncharted territory. The first team to blow DOUBLE-DIGIT 4th quarter leads to start the season in their first two games. That tells us that they have the horses to get out to big lead. They just have to finish the job now. They’re a pissed off bunch heading into Thursday’s game, and they face an opponent that they have manhandled in the past. So they should be playing this game with a lot of confidence. After all, they have now beaten Washington by +11 points… +31 points… +14 points… and +7 points in the last four meetings. That’s an average winning margin of MORE than 2 TD’s per game (+15.8 ppg!). Not only that, but New York has been a GREAT team on Thursdays. They’ve gone 7-2 ATS on this particular Day of the Week… including a PERFECT 3-0 ATS in the last three seasons. That included a similar Week Four matchup last season against this same team… in which they came away with a dominating 45-14 win. Washington has gone 2-6-1 ATS on Thursdays, including 1-5 ATS in DIVISION play.
Speaking of this particular Day of the Week, let’s check out our NFL database…
13-3 ATS: All THURSDAY home favorites of < 8 points playing off back-to-back SU losses (GIANTS). These teams have gone a PERFECT 9-0 ATS when priced as shorter favorites of -5 or LESS points (like the G-MEN).
Yes, we are aware that Nee York is one of seven teams that have yet to win a game so far in the 2015 season…
10-3 ATS since 1987: All GANE THREE winless DIVISION home teams whip lost as FAVORITE the previous week (GIANTS). Since 1993, these teams have gone 8-1 ATS.
So the Giants lost two CLOSE one in a row. 27 to 26 against Dallas in Week One… and 24-20 last week to the Atlanta Falcons…
6-0 ATS: All home favorites off BB SU losses of 4 or less points EACH (GIANTS) versus any opponent playing with Revenge (Redskins).
The next two situations I found from the database were in part discovered when I was searching for an Over / Under angle in this game. Couldn’t find anything to hang our hat on in regards to the Total… but two revealing ATS situations emerged. The first pertains to Washington’s home dog win over the Rams last week that went ‘Under the Total’…
1-9 ATS since 1996: All GAME 3 or greater division road underdogs of < 7 points (Redskins) off av SU non-division DOUBLE-DIGIT home dog win that also went ‘Under the Total’.
The second situation pertains to New York’s home favorite loss to Atlanta last week that also went ‘Under the Total’…
7-0 ATS: All NFL division home favorites off a SU home favorite LOSS that also went ‘Under the Total’ (GIANTS) when the OU line is 49 < points.

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB BASEBALL

Play LA Dodgers -200 over Arizona (TOP MLB PLAY)


Clayton Kershaw has won 17 of the last 25 day games and they have won 6 of the last 7 games when pitching on a Thursday. Clayton Kershaw has won 11 of the last 14 games when pitching in the month of September and he has won 29 of the last 37 games when pitching as a favorite of -200 or higher.

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Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Thursday, September 24th2015 NFC East Division TV Total of the Year!!!!!
Washington/New York under 44

Please note: due to discount, guarantees do not apply to this package

NCAA Best Bets
Cincinnati/Memphis over 66 1/2

September's NL Daytime Dominator of the Month!!!!!
Pittsburgh/Colorado under 11

MLB Best Bets
New York/Cincinnati under 8 1/2
Milwaukee/St Louis under 7 1/2
Texas/Oakland under 7 1/2
Baltimore/Washington under 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays.
500K NFL TV Shocker

the NY Giants -3½ over
the Washington Redskins
Best Bets
the Memphis Tigers -10 over
the Cincinnati Bearcats
the Cincinnati/Memphis Game OVER
the Total Of 66½ Points
the Boston Red Sox w/Miley -130 over
the Tampa Bay Rays
the NY Yankees w/Pineda -120 over
the Chicago Wsox


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK




the Washington/NY Giants Game UNDER
the Total Of 44 Points