10-1-15

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Fezzik

2* Ravens -2.5

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JEFFREY JAMES – ‘Play of the Day’

#104 Cincinnati Bearcats +6.5 (7:30 edt) ESPN

Cincy will have extra rest here since they played last Thursday while Miami played on Saturday. They will have a revenge motivation from a 21 point loss to Miami last season and they have covered their last 5 games as underdogs after giving up more than 35 points. Miami has failed to cover their last 12 straight games when playing off of rest as favorites and they have to be looking ahead to their next game against Florida State. Take the Bearcats here.

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 4 units to win 3.81 Miami Florida -6.5 -105 vs Cincinnati U.

The Bearcats offense will be without starting QB Gunnier Kiel on Thursday, as they host the undefeated Hurricanes. The Cincy defense has been as soft as wet toilet paper much of the season, giving up an average of 32.5 pts per game, and 390 yards of total offense. The Canes come in a well balanced team, averaging 287 yards through the air per game, and 187 yards rushing, while the defense has given up an average of just 17.7 pts per contest. This is a tale of two teams headed in opposite directions, and now question marks as well at the QB position for Cincinnati. The Bearcats barely play defense, and this will be their best opponent yet. Some key trends in our favor–The Canes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday Night games, while the Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The smart pick here is Miami -6.5.

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Marc Lawrence 4* College Football 18-0 ATS Awesome Angle Key Play! - Thursday


Play - Cincinnati Bearcats (Game 104).
Edges - Bearcats: 4-0 ATS with non-conference revenge; and 8-2 ATS weekday games; and 13-3-1 ATS home dogs more than 4 points. Hurricanes: 0-12 ATS as favorites of 4 or more points when playing with rest. The clincher comes from our database as it tells us to ‘Play Against’ any college football road favorite of 2 or more points with rest from Game Four out if they won 11 or fewer games last season and they are facing an avenging foe who won 7 or more games last season. That’s because these teams are 0-18 ATS since 1980. With that we recommend a 4* play on Cincinnati. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Marc’s red-hot football hand kicks off early Saturday with a Top Dog Killer Play and it’s backed with triple perfect winning situation inside the game. Kick start your Saturday with this killer play today!

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Alex Smart Sports- NFL Thursday Nighter - Ravens @ Steelers
NFL | Oct 01 8:25 pm
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger sustained an ugly left knee injury, and the Michael Vick-led Steelers won without scoring a touchdown last week vs St.Louis 12-6. Now alot of Linesmakers believe that Pittsburgh's offense will experience a steep downturn without Big Ben under center. But what Im betting happens is that interim QB Micheal Vick will do well, in a clock managed ground orientated attack. Also Vick a four time Pro Bowlers , arm must not be disrespected, and while not as mobile as he was when he was younger, can make you work hard to stop him. He has experience , and can get the job done with the help of a well oiled offense. Vick met with offensive coordinator Todd Haley for several hours Monday night to go over the game plan. Haley said he was impressed with Vick's knowledge of the system. Baltimore will have their hands full tonight, as Im also betting the recent defensive struggles, and the 23 penalties that plagued them over the past two weeks and a ground game that's averaged just 3.3 yards overall, will continue to be a headache for Harbaugh and company.
Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 1 unit reg selection

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Matt Fargo

Fargo's 10* CFB THURSDAY TOTALS DOMINATOR (+$4,810 CFB YTD)
We played on Cincinnati last week as it lost but was able to cover in its shootout with Memphis. That was the fourth straight game to go over the total for the Bearcats and because of that, we are seeing a ridiculously high number this week. Miami meanwhile has gone over the total in two of three games including the last two with the lone game staying under being a game against FCS Bethune Cookman. This is the highest total the Hurricanes have seen this season so we are definitely getting value going the other way. Both offenses have been leading the way but the defenses should be able to have success here. Cincinnati had to tangle with one of the best offenses in the nation last week and it takes a step down here. Miami meanwhile is ranked 27th in total defense while sitting 13th in passing efficiency defense. The Bearcats will be without Gunner Kiel at quarterback after suffering a scary head injury last week and while backup Hayden Moore was sensational, there will be a lot more resistance here. Miami 6-0 to the under in its last six games after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in three consecutive games over the last three seasons while Cincinnati is 19-8 to the under in its last 27 games after scoring 42 points or more last game. 10* Under (103) Miami Hurricanes/(104) Cincinnati Bearcats

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BOOKIESHUNTER'S CFB THURSDAY KEY PLAY (68% RUN)

2* PLAY Cincinnati Bearcats

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RAVENS vs STEELERS Thursday night 3*** OVER / UNDER Winner from King Creole:
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
8:25pm ET - 5:25pm PT / #101
BALTIMORE RAVENS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS
3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
We are well aware that Pittsburgh is down to their 2nd string QB for this game (Michael Vick). The oddsmakers are ALSO aware. This game opened with an OU line of 46.5 points. That line was on the assumption that Pittsburgh would be ‘playing with a full deck’. We all know now that they will not. As a result, the line has gone down to 43.5 points (as we type this on Wednesday afternoon). With that said, we will STILL be going ‘OVER the Total’ in this game. Having QB Ben Roethlisberger OUT does nothing to ether team’s defense. And this just in: Both defenses BLOW. We’re talking two of the worst passing defenses in the entire league. Pittsburgh has allowed 260 passing yards per game so far. Baltimore is even WORSE at 291 passing yards per game allowed. That’s ranked #29 in the entire league.
This Pittsburgh / Baltimore SERIES has gone 11-4-1 O/U in the last 17 meetings IN ‘The Steel City’…
PITTSBURGH has gone a PERFECT 6-0-1 O/U since the start of last season at HOME when the OU line is 48 < points. They are also a PERFECT 4-0 O/U after scoring < 15 points in their last game. Finally, they have been installed as home UNDERDOGS four times in the last two seasons. They have gone a PERFECT 4-0 O/U in those games… with a whopping average point total of 65.5 ppg!
BALTIMORE has gone a PERFECT 4-0-1 O/U in their last five division ROAD games. Also 16-5-1 O/U on the road versus any opponent with a winning home record.
The fact that the ROAD team is laying points (Balt -2.5 to -3) in this Thursday night has a BIG impact on our call on the ‘OVER’.
That’s because: NFL ROAD FAVORITES on a THURSDAY have home 11-1-1 O/U in the last four years (BALTIMORE) when the OU line is < 49 points. In the last two seasons, these games have gone a PERFECT 9-0-1 O/U with an average of 50.5 combined points per game.
Also, THURSDAY teams who are WINLESS on the season (like the RAVENS) have gone a PERFECT 5-0 O/U in the last three seasons (51.8 combined PPG).
Systems and Situations that apply to this particular Game of the Season (#4)…
GAME FOUR winless division favorites of < 4 points (RAVENS) have gone 6-1 O/U…
GAME FOUR home teams who are 2-1 (.667) on the season (STEELERS) have gone 10-1 O/U in the last four years…
Baltimore comes in with a 0-3 record on the year. They lost as a home favorite last week (vs Cincy) and as a road favorite the week before that (vs Oakland)…
9-1-1 O/U since 2006: All NFL favorites of < 10 points off a SU home FAV loss… and a SU road FAV loss (BALTIMORE).
This one seals the deal for us: DIVISION road favorites in the first half of the season are almost AUTOMATIC ‘Over’ plays…
17-2 O/U last two years: All GAME EIGHT or less DIVISION road favorites of < 13 points with an OU line of 48 < points (RAVENS). These teams went 9-1 O/U last year… and already a PERFECT 3-0 O/U THIS season (GREEN BAY vs Chicago in Week One / SEATTLE vs St Louis in Week One / INDIANAPOLIS vs Tennessee in Week Three!).

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Joe D'Amico's RAVENS/STEELERS WINNER 2 stars
Play Pittsburgh (Game 102).
2 stars

The line has moved to 3. All because Big Ben is out. But the Steelers are 3-0 ATS in 2015, have Le'Veon Bell back, and are only allowing, 17.3 PPG. The Ravens are 0-3 (both SU and ATS), can't run the ball, are vulnerable to the pass, and are yielding, 28.0 PPG. A revenge factor comes into play here as Baltimore beat Pittsburgh, 30-17, back in January. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS their L8 overall, 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC, and 6-2 ATS their L8 at home. The Ravens are 2-6 ATS their L8 overall, 2-6 ATS their L8 vs. the AFC, and 0-4 ATS their L4 following a SU loss. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

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Brandon Lang
My 25 Dime selection is Cincinnati over Miami.
The current line is 6 1/2 in vegas and offshore.
I advise buying the 1/2 up to +7 or if your line is 7 I advise buying up to +7 1/2. Be sure to shop around for the best lines available.

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GC: MLB Play

Thursday card has 3 Massive plays, the Double Perfect NFL Power system play, a 37-2 College Football system that dates to 1977 and a rare 43-0 MLB Power angle play that is 5-0 this season. Football ranked #1 last season and off to a fast start this year. Free MLB Totals system play below.

On Thursday the Free MLB Totals system is to play over 9 runs in the LA. Angels at Texas Game. Rotation numbers 919/920 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits the Powerful 14-1 totals system that dates to 2004. We are playing over the total for road dogs like the Angels that are off a 1 run home favored loss if they were -200 or higher in the loss. These game average 12 runs per game as seen in the Graph below. In the series here in Texas these two have flown over the last 6 times. Texas has played over in 8 of their last 11 games while average over 6 runs per game the past week. LA has posted overs the last 5 times on the road off a home game. Holland for Texas has hit the skids going over in his last 3 starts with a 9.60 Era. Texas should do enough against LA Left Heaney to get this one tonight. Go with the over. The Thursday card has a 43-0 MLB Power angle play that is 4-0 this season, a 23-0 Double perfect NFL Play with a perfect System Specific to Thursday night NFL and a tremendous 37-2 College Football Power system play that dates to 1977. NFL is tanked 1 or 2 on several top leader boards and Football overall was ranked #1 last season. Jump on one of our subscriptions now and Get October started off fast. For the free play tonight we are going over the total LA at Texas. See actual System below GC





SU:
9-6
OU:
14-1-0

Team
6.5
Opp
5.5

Apr 29, 2005 box Fri away Cardinals Mark Mulder - L Braves Tim Hudson - R 6-5 1 W 3.5 O 11-10 1-2 4-0 105 7.5 9
Aug 17, 2006 box Thu away Astros Jason Hirsh - R Brewers Ben Sheets - R 7-3 4 W 1.5 O 11-5 0-0 4-1 145 8.5 9
Sep 18, 2006 box Mon away Yankees Darrell Rasner - R Blue Jays AJ Burnett - R 7-6 1 W 3.0 O 10-12 0-1 4-3 120 10.0 9
Apr 27, 2007 box Fri away Dodgers Mark Hendrickson - L Padres Clay Hensley - R 6-5 1 W 3.0 O 10-8 1-1 2-3 110 8.0 9
Jun 24, 2008 box Tue away Rays Andy Sonnanstine - R Marlins Scott Olsen - L 6-4 2 W 1.0 O 9-8 1-0 3-1 105 9.0 9
May 25, 2009 box Mon away White Sox John Danks - L Angels Ervin Santana - R 17-3 14 W 12.0 O 24-4 0-0 14-0 140 8.0 9
Jul 02, 2009 box Thu away Brewers Seth McClung - R Cubs Ryan Dempster - R 5-9 -4 L 5.0 O 10-11 0-1 0-7 135 9.0 9
Aug 24, 2009 box Mon away White Sox Jose Contreras - R Red Sox Clay Buchholz - R 8-12 -4 L 10.0 O 8-13 2-1 3-5 170 10.0 9
Jun 07, 2010 box Mon away Cardinals Blake Hawksworth - R Dodgers Carlos Monasterios - R 4-12 -8 L 7.5 O 7-14 0-0 0-9 140 8.5 9
Aug 12, 2011 box Fri away Rangers CJ Wilson - L Athletics Brandon McCarthy - R 9-1 8 W 3.0 O 11-5 0-2 9-0 130 7.0 9
Sep 12, 2011 box Mon away Diamondbacks Joe Saunders - L Dodgers Ted Lilly - L 7-2 5 W 1.5 O 9-6 1-0 5-1 110 7.5 9
May 13, 2013 box Mon away Mets Jeremy Hefner - R Cardinals Lance Lynn - R 3-6 -3 L 1.0 O 4-11 0-0 1-3 170 8.0 9
Jul 05, 2013 box Fri away Braves Paul Maholm - L Phillies Cliff Lee - L 4-5 -1 L 1.5 O 9-10 1-0 0-5 155 7.5 9
Sep 22, 2014 box Mon away Angels CJ Wilson - L Athletics Jeff Samardzija - R 4-8 -4 L 5.0 O 10-7 1-2 1-7 140 7.0 9
Oct 06, 2014 box Mon away Nationals Doug Fister - R Giants Madison Bumgarner - L 4-1 3 W -1.0 U 7-6 0-1 4-0 120 6.0 9

Oct 01, 2015 Thu away Angels Andrew Heaney - L Rangers Derek Holland - L 115 9.0

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Brandon Shively's NFL Thursday Night Ravens/Steelers

Moneyline -143 Baltimore

I want to play the money line in this game, meaning we are betting on Baltimore Ravens to win the game straight up and not have to worry about the spread. Five of the last 10 matchups have been decided by 3 points or less and I would much rather lay a little extra juice here to insure that we get the win. The Ravens are 0-3 and desperate for a win. Fortunately, they are facing the Steelers who will have a washed up Michael Vick as their quarterback. This is a short week of rest for both teams, but the bigger disadvantage is for the Steelers as Michael Vick has not had much time to prep for this game. The Ravens still have the better defense also in this game. The Ravens have not allowed a 100 yard rusher in 35 consecutive games. The Steelers have allowed at least 2 passing TD's in 11 of their last 13 games and I expect Flacco to put up enough points to get the win here on Thursday night.

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SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks 10/1 & 10/2
No plays

SB Professor Original NFL Picks
No play

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Stephen Nover
NFL THURSDAY TOP TICKET
Baltimore Ravens

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WiseguyInsider

Wiseguy: Baltimore Ravens -2.5
Wiseguy: Miami FL -6.5
Wiseguy: Miami/Cincinnati over 68