10-4-15

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Extreme Sports
Eagles -3
Falcons -6

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WAYNE ROOT

Pinnacle
SAN FRANCISCO

PERFECT PLAY
TAMPA BAY

INNER CIRCLE
ST LOUIS

NO LIMIT
WASHINGTON

MILLIONAIRE
HOUSTON

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Banker Sports
5.5 Unit
Raiders

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Norm Hitxges DOUBLE PLAYS:

NY Giants + 5 1/2 Buffalo



SINGLE PLAYS:

Miami +1 1/2 NY Jets
Denver -6 1/2 Minnesota
Arizona - 7 St. Louis
Washington +3 Philly
Carolina--Tampa Bay UNDER 40

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Gold Medal Club NFL Selections

258 tampa bay
255 houston
262 chicago
270 san francisco
271 minnesota

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Scott Spreitzer Knockout Shocker of the Month




I’m taking the points with the Houston Texans on Sunday. We played the Falcons in week one and cashed when they held on against the Eagles. I like the hiring of Dan Quinn. But I’m not sold on the Falcons just yet, especially as a favorite of this many points after playing as an underdog in their first three games. ATL held on by the skin of their teeth against the Eagles. They escaped in week two, thanks to idiotic mistakes made by the NY Giants. And last weekend, the Falcons had the luxury of playing a Dallas Cowboys’ team with Brandon Weeden at QB. So yes, give them credit for their 3-0 start, but let’s keep it in perspective…it’s a precarious 3-0. Julio Jones is expected to play, but he isn’t 100%, suffering from a hamstring injury. Meanwhile, the Falcons defense is still in the bottom-third in total yards allowed per game and in yards allowed passing per contest. The Texans aren’t elite in their offensive numbers, but they’re solid, ranked in the upper half in the league in both running the football and the passing game. And while we aren’t counting on it, RB Arian Foster may get a shot this week, listed as questionable at the time of this post. Again, this is a play whether Foster plays or not. We should note the Texans are also in the top half in the league in yards passing allowed. Atlanta enters on a 1-14 ATS slide at home following three straight covers and I’ll go against them again. I’m taking the points with the Houston Texans, my Knockout release. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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King creole:

3* stl/az over 43
2* SF + the points
2* hou/atl over 46.5
2* min/den over 43
1* jax/indy under 48

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Jeff Ma

Redskins
Rams

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Boomtown Sports

Redskins +3
Texans +6
Giants/Bills Over 45'
Vikings +7

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | INDIANA at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 off a road win against a division rival, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
53-23 since 1997. ( 69.7% | 27.7 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.6 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (INDIANA) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=44% on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=42% of their shots
106-25 since 1997. ( 80.9% | 0.0 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread
320-201 since 1997. ( 61.4% | 98.9 units )
18-17 this year. ( 51.4% | -0.7 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | GREEN BAY at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after allowing 40 points or more last game
49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )

NFL | KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI
Play On - Home favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points
43-6 over the last 10 seasons. ( 87.8% | 0.0 units )

NFL | GREEN BAY at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (GREEN BAY) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
139-78 since 1997. ( 64.1% | 53.2 units )

NFL | KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (CINCINNATI) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
139-78 since 1997. ( 64.1% | 53.2 units )

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MLB

National League

Marlins @ Phillies
Conley is 1-1, 1.42 in his last three starts (under 3-0).

Buchanan is 0-2, 4.26 in his last four starts (under 3-0 last three).

Marlins lost seven of last 12 games with Philly; five of last seven series tilts stayed under total. Miami lost three of last five games (over 5-3 last eight). Phillies won four of last six games (under 6-4 last ten)

Reds @ Pirates
Smith is 0-3, 7.86 in his six starts (over 5-1).

Happ is 6-1, 1.52 in his last nine starts (under 8-2 last ten).

Reds lost 13 of last 14 games, scoring 18 runs in last eight (over 8-3 in last 11); they've lost four of last six games with Pirates (over 7-4-1 last twelve). Pirates split their last six games (under 6-3 last nine)- they need win here to clinch home field edge in Wild Card game.

Nationals @ Mets
Roark is 0-3, 5.49 in his last four starts (over 7-3 last ten).

deGrom is tuning up for first playoff game; he is 2-2, 3.82 in his last five starts (over 4-0 last four).

Washington won last three games (under 7-1 last eight); they lost six of last eight to the Mets (over 4-2 last six). Mets lost last five games, scoring nine runs (over 7-4 last 11).

Cardinals @ Braves
Lackey is 2-0, 1.29 in his last four starts (over 6-3 last nine). Lynn is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (11 IP); three of his last four road starts stayed under.

Former Cardinal Miller is 0-8, 6.75 in his last eight starts (over 4-1 last five). Wisler is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts (under 3-0-1 last four).

Cardinals won five of last eight games with Atlanta (under 5-1 last six); St Louis won seven of last 11 games (over 5-3-1 last nine). Braves won three of last four games (under 4-0).

Cubs @ Brewers
Haren is 2-0, 2.91 in his last four starts (over 6-1 last seven).

Lopez allowed three runs in five IP (94 PT) in his first MLB start.

Brewers lost their last three games (under 6-2-3 last 11); they lost 11 of last 12 games with Chicago (under 7-3-1). Cubs won last seven games (under is 8-2-1 in their last eleven).

Padres @ Dodgers
Padres bullpen is going to pitch this game.

Kershaw is 6-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts (under 8-1 last nine at home).

Dodgers won six of last seven games with San Diego (under 5-3 last eight); LA won four of last five games overall (under 4-2 last six). San Diego lost five of last six games (under 5-1-1 last seven)

Rockies @ Giants
Bergman is 1-1, 7.11 in his three starts (under 2-1).

Cain is 0-3, 7.63 in his last six starts (over 6-0-2 last eight).

Rockies lost five of last eight games with San Francisco; (over 7-3 in last 11); Colorado lost eight of its last 12 games. Giants lost three of last five games; four of their last six stayed under.


American League

Bronx @ Orioles
Pineda is 2-1, 5.02 in his last five starts (over 5-3 last eight).

Tillman is 1-0, 4.44 in his last four starts (under 2-0-1 last three).

Orioles lost five of last nine games with Bronx (under 6-3); Baltimore won last four games overall (over 4-1 last five). Bronx lost five of last six games (under 8-3 in last eleven games).

Red Sox @ Indians
Red Sox bullpen will work this game game, with Breslow starting.

Kluber is 0-3, 7.24 in his last three starts (over 6-4 in last ten).

Boston won six of last nine games; nine of their last 12 stayed under total; BoSox are 4-5 in last nine games with Cleveland (over 4-1 last five). Indians lost four of last seven games (under 7-5 last twelve).

Blue Jays @ Rays
Buehrle is 0-1, 6.20 in his last four starts (under 2-0-1 last three).

Moore is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts (under 4-1 last five).

Toronto won seven of last nine games with Tampa Bay (over 2-1-1); Blue Jays won seven of last ten games (over 4-1 last five). Rays won seven of last 11 (under 6-3-2).

Royals @ Twins
Ventura is 2-0, 3.80 in his last four starts (over 2-2).

Milone is 1-1, 11.81 in his last three starts (over 2-1).

Royals are 8-4 in last 12 games with Minnesota (under 7-0-2 last nine); they won last four games overall (under 6-2-1). Twins won five of their last eight games (under 6-2); they've been eliminated from Wild Card race.

Angels @ Rangers
Richards is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts (over 3-1 last four).

Texas won last nine Hamels starts (3-0, 3.79 last three; over is 5-0-1 in last six).

Angels won eight of last 12 games with Texas (under 5-1 last six); Halos won nine of their last 11 games (under 4-3-1 last seven). Texas won seven of its last twelve games (over 8-5-1 last fourteen).

Tigers @ White Sox
Norris is 0-1, 7.03 in his last six starts (over 4-1-1).

Montas allowed six runs in three IP (72 PT) in his first MLB start.

White Sox lost six of last 11 games with Detroit (under 5-1 last six); they've lost seven of last 11 games overall (under 9-3 last 12). Tigers lost six of their last seven games (under 8-4 last twelve).

A's @ Mariners
Bassitt is 0-4, 7.14 in his last four starts (over 3-0 last three).

Nuno is 0-2, 9.24 in his last three starts (over 6-1 last seven).

Oakland lost five of last seven games with Seattle (over 6-2 last eight); A's won last three games overall (over 9-1-1 last 11). Mariners lost nine of last ten games (over 7-5 in last twelve games).


Interleague

Astros @ Diamondbacks
McCullers is 1-2, 3.79 in his last three starts (under 4-1 last five).

Ray is 2-1, 2.91 in his last four starts (under 8-3 last 11).

Houston has one-game lead in Wild Card race; they won six of last seven games with Arizona (over 4-2 last six). D'backs won five of last eight games (under 5-2 in last seven). Astros won six of last seven games (over 5-3-1 last nine).


Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Phil-- Conley 8-2; Buchanan 3-11
Cin-Pitt-- Smith 1-5; Happ 14-16/7-3
Wsh-NY-- Roark 4-7; deGrom 19-10
StL-Atl-- Lackey 17-15 Lynn 17-13; Miller 10-32 (0-8 last 8) Wisler 8-10
Chi-Mil-- Haren 16-15/6-4; Lopez 1-0
SD-LA-- bullpen x-x; Kershaw 19-13
Col-SF-- Bergman 1-2; Cain 4-6

NY-Balt-- Pineda 15-11; Tillman 14-16
Bos-Clev-- Porcello 13-14; Salazar 17-12
Tor-TB-- Buehrle 17-13; Moore 4-7
LA-Tex-- Richards 18-13; Hamels 19-12
KC-Min-- Cueto 14-17/3-9; Nolasco 6-1
Det-Chi-- Norris 7-5/5-2; Montas 0-1
A's-Sea-- Bassitt 3-9; Nuno 4-5

Hst-Az-- McCullers 9-12; Ray 7-15


Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Phil-- Conley 0-10; Buchanan 4-14
Cin-Pitt-- Smith 2-6; Happ 10-30
Wsh-NY-- Roark 4-11; deGrom 8-29
StL-Atl-- Lackey 9-32 Lynn 10-30; Miller 8-32 (3-3 last 3) Wisler 9-18
Chi-Mil-- Haren 5-31; Lopez 0-1
SD-LA-- bullpen x-x; Kershaw 7-32
Col-SF-- Bergman 2-3; Cain 5-10

NY-Balt-- Pineda 8-26; Tillman 6-30
Bos-Clev-- Porcello 6-27; Salazar 7-29
Tor-TB-- Buehrle 15-30; Moore 6-11
LA-Tex-- Richards 7-31; Hamels 9-31
KC-Min-- Cueto 9-31; Nolasco 0-7
Det-Chi-- Norris 5-12; Montas 1-1
A's-Sea-- Bassitt 4-12; Nuno 6-9

Hst-Az-- McCullers 7-21; Ray 4-22


Umpires
Mia-Phil-- Six of last seven Reyburn games stayed under.
Wsh-NY-- Last six Wolf games went over the total.
Col-SF-- Last three Torres games stayed under total.
Cin-Pitt-- Seven of last eight TWelke games went over.
StL-Atl-- Over is 9-5 in last 14 Kellogg games. Underdogs won six of last nine Porter games.
Chi-Mil-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hernandez games.
SD-LA-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Iassogna games.

Tor-TB-- Home side won nine of last 12 Marquez games.
NY-Balt-- Underdogs are 7-4 in last eleven Wegner games.
Bos-Clev-- Eight of last ten Davidson games went over.
Det-Chi-- Whitson is a rookie umpire; I've got nothing on him.
LA-Tex-- Seven of last nine Cederstrom games went over.
KC-Min-- Five of last seven Knight games went over total.
A's-Sea-- Five of last seven Estabrook games went over.

Hst-Az-- Under is 5-3 in last eight Blaser games.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE
Play On - Any team (NY YANKEES) average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games
173-101 since 1997. ( 63.1% | 61.9 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | LA ANGELS at TEXAS
TEXAS is 84-69 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.7) , OPPONENT (4.5)

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Pointwise Phone Service

4 stars NY Giants
3 stars Denver, Arizona, Green Bay
2 stars Washington, Seattle

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Hondo

Hondo gunning for pay dirt

Hondo cashed Saturday with TCU for his fourth straight conquest, but was prevented from hitting pay dirt by Ole Miss and UCLA, which elevated the filthy figure to 1,382 metcalfs.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will get up and at ’em for a 20-unit play on the Jets. Also, he will back St. Louis’ former team over its current team — 20 units on the Cardinals.