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Playbook.com Database College Football Play - Saturday
Play - Arkansas (Game 343).
Edges - Razorbacks: 5-1 ATS with conference revenge. Crimson Tide: head coach Nick Saban is 0-5 ATS in his career in games as a double-digit favorite when his team who SU as an underdog the previous game.
Marc Lawrence Never Lost College Football Underdog Game Of The Month! - Saturday
Play - Miami Florida (Game 371).
Edges - Hurricanes: The underdog in this series is 8-2 ATS; and 4-0 ATS Game Five last four years. Seminoles: 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS as single digit home favorites versus avenging foes; and including 3-8 ATS home off BB away games. From our database we note that .500 or greater non-conference road dogs of 7 or more points, off a SU road loss as a favorite of 7 or more points, are 0-10-1 ATS since 2001. In addition, 4-0 home favorites of 6 or more points in Game Five, facing an opponent off a SU loss as a favorite of 6 or more points, are 0-8 ATS if they have scored less than 100 points combined in their last two games. With the Hurricanes looking to redeem themselves from an embarrassing loss in their most recent game against Cincinnati last Thursday, we recommend a strong 4* play on Miami Florida. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Don’t miss this: Marc’s Late Saturday Night Special is backed a monster angle inside the game that is 15-0 ATS in tonight’s qualifying role since 1980. Put it on your ticket now, you’ll be glad you did!
Marc Lawrence Late Saturday Night CFB Monster Special Play! - Saturday
Play - California (Game 379).
Edges - Bears: head coach Sonny Dykes 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS as a road dog of 8 or less points. Utes: 3-6 ATS in Game Five. The clincher comes four database as it notes the underdog in Game Six match-ups featuring a pair of 5-0 teams is 15-0 ATS since 1980 when facing a foe off a win of 24 or more points in which it scored 50 or more points and allowed 3 or more points (not off a shutout). With that we recommend a 3* play on California. Thank you and good luck as always.
Marc Lawrence Red Hot College Football Perfect System Club Key Play! - Saturday
Play - Missouri (Game 390).
Edges - Tigers: 14-3 SU last seventeen home games; and 15-5 SU and 14-6 ATS last twenty SEC games, including 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS off a win of more than 7 points. Gators: 0-6 SU last six SEC road games form October out versus winning opponents. The clincher comes from our Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any winning college conference road favorite off a SU home dog win of 30 or less points if they are facing an opponent off a SUATS win with a winning record that allows 22 or fewer PPG on the season. That’s because these teams are 0-13 ATS in this role since 1980. We recommend a strong 3* play on Missouri. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Marc has been on fire this football season, 29-11-1, and if you enjoyed his College Football False Favorite Game of the Month winner last Saturday with Arkansas over Tennessee, you’ll love his College Football Underdog Game of the Month winner Saturday night. It’s lock and loaded - don’t miss it!
Marc Lawrence Super Hot College Football 14-0 ATS Super Play! - Saturday
Play - Kansas State (Game 398).
Edges - Wildcats: Head coach Bill Snyder is 31-11 ATS home off a loss, including 14-3 ATS as a dog; and KSU is 9-1 ATS in the first of BB home games. Horned Frogs: 0-5 ATS in first of BB away games, and 1-9 ATS here in this series. With 4-0 or greater road favorites off a win of 24 or more points in which they covered the spread by 16 or more points 0-14 ATS since 1980 when facing a .750 or greater opponent who allows less than 19 PPG and scored 30 or more points in its last game, we recommend a strong 3* play on Kansas State. Thank you and good luck as always.
≥ Marc has been on fire this football season, 29-11-1, and if you enjoyed his College Football False Favorite Game of the Month winner last Saturday with Arkansas over Tennessee, you’ll love his College Football Underdog Game of the Month winner Saturday night. It’s lock and loaded - don’t miss it!
WAYNE ROOT SATURDAY LINEUP
Millionaires---Colorado State
Look for Nick Stevens to show Boise why you do not go on the road and lay 15 points when you have a top rated QB. The first-year starter leads the conference with 10 passing TDs and 1,129 yards. The Rams hung tuff in 2 overtime losses to Minnesota and Colorado. Colorado St has won 6 straight conference home games. TAKE COLORADO ST
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No Limit---Nebraska
Both teams are coming off a loss and the loser of this game may as well pack it in for the season Big 10 title hunt. Mike Riley has the Cornhuskers 2-3 but are really just 3 do-over plays from a perfect 5-0. The Badgers bring nothing to this game as their offense line is horrible and fools nobody. The run offense they are used to having is not there this year. So kiss their ground attack good-bye. TAKE NEBRASKA
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Perfect Play---Missouri
A win by Missouri over Florida is all that is needed to take over the SEC East. Throw out the records as this is a "key" and "pivotal" game for the Tigers. The Gators have done all their SEC damage at road and today
the road get tougher. They also have the biggest games coming up in LSU and Georgia. They could have a
letdown after defeating Tennessee and Ole Miss in back to back weekends. Missouri is #2 in the nation in
tackles for a loss so getting inside the Gators backfield can stop many drives and keep the crowd in the
game. Pay special attention to Tigers Walter Brady as he will live in Florida's backfield. This game has
sloppy, boring,ugly written all over it. It will be 2 yards and a cloud of dust and the team that scores the final
field goal will win by 3 points; not enough for Florida to cover. TAKE MISSOURI
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Inner Circle---California
Let's put Utah on UPSET ALERT today. It will seem like a year ago they put 62 points on Oregon and since
had a bye-week. Utah has had had two weeks to prepare for an explosive Cal offense that is averaging 43.4 points and 527.8 total yards of offense in a 5-0 start. Cal QB Jared Goff is a beast having thrown for 15 TD's and 1630 passing yards. Cal's defense leads the nation in creating turnovers and is the Pac 12's number 1 team in sacks. On both sides of the ball plus getting this many points makes this a "must bet" Pac 12 game of October. These two teams are the only undefeated teams in the PAC 12 so the winner will have steam to get into the College Football Playoffs. Look for Jared Goff to come up HUGE and raise his 1st round NFL stock by leaps and bounds. Look for Goff to hit WR Kenny Lawler time after time for big yardage. Goff can also hand it to Daniel Lasco as he is fully recovered from his injury. Forget about the 62 the Utes put on Oregon as prior to that fluke anomaly, they were averaging less than 5 yards per play in their first three games. In the high-scoring wacky Pac 12, that carries little weight. TAKE CALIFORNIA
It will be difficult for Georgia to show it's face to the Tennessee crowd after last weeks performance against Alabama. The word on the streets was that Georgia had not played anyone prior to the Bama game. Well now they have and they stink. Over-all, including their 3 patsies played before last weeks fiasco, the Bulldogs were absolutely awful on converting just 14 of 48 chances on third down. The Volunteers own 3 quarters of their first 5 games. Their problem is closing the show. They have scored just 17 points in the 4th quarter this year. Tennessee know how to win at home. They really have to win this game and look for the offense to finally have a decent 4th quarter. They have the horses and now have the experience. The Dawg's may have a QB controversy as they replaced Grayson Lambert with Brice Ramsey last week. That could blow their confidence playing on the road after an embarrassing loss last week. TAKE TENNESSEE
Kansas State +10 TCU
Oklahoma State +6 1/2 W. Virginia
Appalachian State -16 Georgia State
Pitt - 9 1/2 Virginia
C. Michigan +7 W. Michigan
Arkansas +16 1/2 Alabama
BYU -8 1/2 E. Carolina
Rice +3 1/2 Florida Atlantic
Oregon -17 Washington State
Georgia -3 Tennessee
Navy +14 Notre Dame
Toledo14 1/2 Kent State
Miami Florida +8 1/2 Florida State
Northwestern +7 1/2 Michigan
Cal 7 1/2 Utah
New Mexico +5 Nevada
Utah State -11 Fresno State
The Duke Blue Devils have started off well once again, posting a 4-1 record and 2-0 ACC mark, as they head into Saturday’s non-conference match up with Army at West Point. The Cadets are 1-4 on the season and coming off a 20-14 loss at Penn State. This should be an interesting matchup from the standpoint that you are going to see an elite defense in Duke, which ranks ninth on total defense and fifth in scoring defense, go up against a very one-dimensional offense from Army. The Cadets are 10th in FBS rushing, going for 279 yards per game, but that might be slightly more difficult against a very solid Duke front. The Blue Devils do have some experience against the triple-option offense this year as they defeated Georgia Tech 34-20 several weeks ago. Duke has won 12 of their last 13 games vs. non-conference opponents and they are a stellar 21-4 SU over their last 25 regular season games. Interesting that going all the way back to 1992, Army is just 2-10 against the number when playing top defensive teams and they are also 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games after playing a conference game. These teams haven’t played on the field since 2010, so there really is no revenge angle to examine, so we are forced to look at the matchup with the numbers we have been given. Here’s the deal…Duke’s defense is elite and Army’s is not. Now we know that Duke didn’t score a TD last week in their 9-7 win over Boston College, which gives us some hope that Cutcliffe and the Devils’ offensive coaches and can find some better options this week. They will have plenty of opportunity as BC has a very solid defense and Army struggles both vs. the run and the pass. At the end of the day, we just don’t believe Army’s one dimensional offense will be able to score many points on Duke’s defense and we expect the Duke offense to right the ship and put points on the board. Getting Duke under two touchdowns is a gift and we think this game won’t be that close. The Sharps say…
313 Minnesota is loaded with injuries but apparently not enough to scare off some pros that have decided to cast their lot with the Golden Gophers this week.
328 Ohio State might be underperforming but the Buckeyes have drawn some serious action this week, and according to my contacts, the pros have been pretty heavy on that side.
329 Wake Forest has been somewhat attractive to the smarts, which is often the case for a substantial dog in game with the O/U as low as it is here.
333 Kent State is generating some purchases from the wise guys, and this game could be a bit of a pros/Joes battleground with the public siding on Toledo so far.
338 Georgia State qualifies as a sharp money call right now. That might seem peculiar to some, but bear in mind that this is not the first time this season this has happened.
342 Western Michigan was an early sharp buy and the number has not come back despite the fact the public seems to like the dog in this game.
346 Air Force was a huge early mover, but what I'm told is that this was more adjustment from the opener than actual dollars.
355 Baylor is again getting loads of square love, but once again there seems to be no objection from the sharps.
358 Florida Atlantic was described to me by one of the accountants as "sneaky sharp". Nothing huge on the Owls, but steady sharp money and a definite riser to this point.
363 Middle Tennessee is a moderate sharp stance at this point. No real big bets here either, but a one-way stream amongst the smarts.
377 Texas State is yet another under the radar smart money side this week. This game seems to be picking up some steam chaser cash as well.
382 Central Florida is getting a little wise guy play, while the public like the dog more.
404 Nebraska was tapped early and the Cornhuskers are still favored and the consensus seems to be that they will stay that way despite a considerable volume edge on Wisconsin.
405 New Mexico started commanding attention on Wednesday and that number looks to have a chance to keep dropping.
That's pretty much everything as of now. Other games that have shown considerable movement are more adjustment than money due to injury info. The usual cautionary tale here...this is just info and not necessarily games I like myself. And if you like a side and feel confident, stay with what you believe and don't get overly influenced by what others are doing.
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