10-12-15

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David mires system

nfl- pittsburgh +3.5 san diego (830pm)

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8 Unit Side Play · [921] Los Angeles Dodgers
J B's PA Connection Mon Oct 12th, 2015 8:35pm EDT

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Mike Handzelek

Monday, October 12, 2015
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. San Diego Chargers(NFL)
8:30 PM EDT San Diego Chargers Premium Pick Sportsbook.com
Play Title: 8 STAR MNF Smart Play
Play Selected: Money Line: -180

Analysis: Some close losses yesterday but we're closing the week right on MNF. Just like in MLB, sometimes you have to grab the ML when the picking is ripe. You may not get this price again as I perceive the books will be pushing up the price as game time gets nearer. Here we have Michael Vick versus Philip Rivers. While the Chargers are missing some personnel, they are averaging 31.5 PPG @ home & now face a Roethlisberger-less Pittsburgh team coming off an emotional OT loss to their hated rival, the Baltimore Ravens. Despite the 10-day prep time, the question still remains whether the 35-year-old QB Michael Vick can rebound from the physicality of an OT game with the Ravens. Remember, he ran the ball 14 times (2 fumbles-none lost) & hasn't thrown a pick yet. I have a feeling both of those stats may not stay consistent. The Steelers come in averaging 13.5 PPG on the road & their chemistry is clearly disrupted. Vick is still learning their system having been with the team 6 short weeks. Look for TE Heath Miller, WR Antonio Brown & fresh off suspension WR Martavis Bryant to be frequent targets this game. On the flip side, San Diego is getting a BIG boost as Rivers' favorite red-zone receiver & TE Antonio Gates comes back fresh off his 4-game suspension for violating the NFL's drug policy. My bottom line says that even without the injured WR Malcolm Floyd, QB Rivers still has a core of targets with WR's Keenan Allen, Ladarius Greene, TE Gates & RB's Danny Woodhead & Melvin Gordon. Rivers plays through adversity with players down. Pittsburgh gives away victories. This San diego QB is the real deal averaging 312 passing yards a game compared to Vick's game-managed 162 last week including extra time. The last daggers for me have to be Pittsburgh's 16 PPG the past 2 weeks & allowing 4 TD's to TE's (Gates returning) this season. These are not signs of a SU win coming since DC John Pagano is set to employ better-disguised coverages inside his aggressive one-gap "30" scheme to shut down Steeler playmakers & get better versus the run. This will be the key to game. Pittsburgh's kicking game is a mess & have now signed their 4th kicker (since losing Shaun Suisham in August) with Chris Boswell. My 8 STAR MNF Smart Play says to eagerly grab the San Diego Chargers on the ML!

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ATSwins Lockclub
3* Pitt +3.5

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CHASE DIAMOND
20* New York Mets

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Leiner

2000**

chargers -3

500* TORONTO

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Steve Budin

50 Dimes. Pitt/SD over

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Raphael Esparza


5 Unit Play. Take #924 Chicago Cubs -1.5 -110 over St. Louis (6:00p.m., Monday October 12 TBS Game #3)



Why Not pick the Cubs on the run-line tonight at Wrigley Field! The Cubs have Jake Arrieta on the mound and Jake from State Farm is an unbelievable 17-1 with an ERA 0.81 in his last 21 starts. Arrieta didn't have a strong outing against the Pirates but got some great defense to pull off a 4-0 road victory and again tonight the Cubs get this Game #3 at Wrigley Field. The Cardinals throw out Michael Wacha and Wacha has struggled as of late and in his last 3 starts he is 1-2 with an ERA 8.36 and if he misses his spots tonight I see the Cubs offense getting early runs for Arrieta. If Jake Arrieta is pitching another gem and the Cubs can push over 3 or 4 runs then we should have no problem cashing this 5-Unit Run-line and we continue to dominate MLB Playoff baseball. The Cubs are 5-1 when Arrieta starts at home against St. Louis and the Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

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Exodus to Black

NFL
San Diego -4

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We Pick Sports


MLB
8* Los Angles Dodgers (+150) {Diamond Selection}

NFL
10* Pittsburgh +4.5 (-110) {Diamond Selection}

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From Sports Insights ...


60% of ML bets on Cubs
77% of RL bets on Cubs
73% of O/U bets on Under

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Sports Locksmith


Chairman's Play

4* Pittsburgh Steelers +4 (-110)

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Ben Burns

main event Chargers

Also has over

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Spartan

2* chargers

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WAYNE ROOT

Millionaires---Pittsburgh

The Steelers are 2-2 for the fourth time in five years after a 23-20 sickening overtime loss to divisional rival Baltimore Ravens 10 days ago. They've had more than enough to time to put that game behind them. The Steelers will have Martavis Bryant back from a four-game suspension for violating the league's substance-abuse policy. This was Vick's favorite target in pre-season. Le'Veon Bell had 29 touches for 150 yards against Baltimore and will be used to set up their passing plays. The Steelers signed a new field goal kicker after losing to Baltimore with missed kicks or avoiding them all together. San Diego may be short 3 of their 4 starters on their offensive line. It's hurting their rushing game. San Diego is averaging just 3.9 yards per carry to rank 22nd in the league. Rookie Melvin Gordon has been limited to 89 yards over his last two games. Chargers center Chris Watt may return after not playing due to an ankle injury, but could shift to one of the guard positions. At best, Rivers does not have his best players in front of him. Michael Vick is surrounded be good offensive talent and should show increased production after having a game + and some much needed practice. TAKE PITTSBURGH