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STRIKE POINT SPORTS
6-Unit Play. Take #267 Carolina (+7) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
I am not sold on the Seattle Seahawks. Yes, they looked versus Cincinnati but they still couldn't get the job done. The Seahawks just haven't looked good and Carolina has enough talent to keep this game close. All of the pressure is on Seattle in this game. If Carolina loses, they are still 4-1 and not that far behind a Falcons team that could actually lose tonight. Seattle meanwhile is just 2-3 S.U. I know that they have won both of their home games, but didn't look good doing so. Even in their big win over Chicago (which we have talked about the last few weekends), they only scored one offensive touchdown. Seattle rely's entirely on Russell Wilson, and that won't be enough to cover a touchdown-line this Sunday. I could absolutely care less that Marshawn Lynch is coming back this weekend. Thomas Rawls has looked better, yes, better than Lynch. I feel that with Lynch back, the line is a bit higher than it should be, which gives us even more value on the Panthers. This game reminds me of a game we were on a few years ago...It was Carolina as a 5-point dog to a very good San Fransisco team. The 49ers were very good that year, but Cam and company did just enough to cover the line. The Panthers actually won that game 10-9. This matchup should be similar. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and Seattle is just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. This is not the same Seattle team of last season.
4-Unit Play. Take #256 Minnesota (-3.5) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
The Minnesota Vikings are a very, very good team when playing in front of their home fans. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Kansas City offensive line is struggling and now they are without their top playmaker in Jamal Charles. Whether it is Knile Davis or Charcandrick West, the Chiefs will struggle to keep the chains moving against this Vikings defense that is sixth in the NFL in points per game at 18.2 per contest. The Vikings offense could find it a bit tough to run against a Chiefs defense that gives up less than 100 yards per game on the ground, but those numbers are a bit inflated due to the fact that the Chiefs have played a Houston team without Arian Foster, a Denver team that just can't run, a Green Bay team that only had Eddie Lacy for 10 carries, and a Cincy team that actually ran for 130 yards. The Vikings will be able to run the ball and they will be able to control the clock. Minnesota will also take avantage of the Chiefs and their three-and-outs due to the fact that they lost their best playmaker. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS in thier last four games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. Look for the Vikings to win this one by close to double-figures.
3-Unit Play. Take #263 Arizona (-3.5) over Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
The Steelers aren't going to catch magic in a bottle in this game. Arizona is just too good a football team and they will control this game from the opening whistle. This Arizona offense will be able to strike quick and take advantage of big plays, just like they have all season long. The Cards average 38 points a game on less than 30 minutes of possession/game. The Pittsburgh defense has done a good job thus far this season, much better than people though they would, but not this Sunday. The New England Patriots put up 28 points on the Steelers and that was with all of the emotion of the first game of the season. This Cards team, as exciting as they are will have no trouble putting points on the board. They have the ability to run the ball, 135 yards per game, or throw the ball, 260 yards per game (but also a 110 qb-rating). Arizona is 4-1 ATS in thier last five road games and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Don't buy in to the hype of Pittsburgh playing at home, the Cardinals win this game by more than a touchdown. -
Raphael Esparza
4 Unit Play. Take #256 Minnesota -3.5 over Kansas City (1:05p.m., Sunday October 18)
The Minnesota Vikings are come into this home game off a bye week while the Kansas City Chiefs come to Minnesota limping into action. The Chiefs are playing the rest of the season without Jamaal Charles and by my surprise the Vikings defense has been pretty good at home. Kansas City has dropped 4-straight since they upset Houston on the road and since the Chiefs lost last week to Chicago I want no part of a team that is sliding down the standings. Minnesota is so much better then the Chicago Bears and the Bears beat KC and now I'm getting the Vikings at home off a bye week. Minny easily wins this game and wouldn't shock me to see the Vikings win this game by double-digits. Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and the Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
3 Unit Play. Take #267 Carolina +7 over Seattle (4:05p.m., Sunday October 18)
Again, I'm not sold on this Seattle Seahawks squad and I'm a bit shocked that the Seahawks are 7-point favorites in this game. Marshawn Lynch is 'Probable' for this game but how healthy is he and we all know that Carolina defense has been no joke the past couple of years. Seahawks have problems on the offensive line and if the Panthers put pressure on Wilson early we could see the Panthers hanging around on the road. Defense will rule this game and points will be hard to get and that is why I'm taking +7 on the road. Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and the Seahawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games.Comment
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Mike Davis
7-Unit Play. Take #273 New England -10 over Indy (Sunday, October 18th at 8:30 pm)
The New England Patriots finally have their chance at revenge against the Indianapolis Colts. You can throw everything out the window except for one thing: revenge. The Pats were involved in one of the toughest offseasons of all time because of the Colts. We all know the story so I won't rehash it. Having said that, Tom Brady and New England will have fire in their eyes this Sunday night. I'm sure the Colts will come ready to play as well but it won't matter. This is the "perfect storm". Brady is one of the most competitive people to have ever walked the earth and he is on a mission this week. His mission is clear: to exact revenge on the NFL club that made his offseason a living hell.
Let's talk x's and o's for a minute (although I don't think it matters). The Colts are really bad along the offensive line and their secondary and linebacker play hasn't been much better. One improved part of their game is their defensive front's ability to stuff the run. That will be tested in a huge way Sunday night as the Pats have dominated the Colts in their last three matchups by running the ball. In fact, the Pats have ran for 177, 246, and 234 in their last three games vs Indy. That's a lot. If Indy becomes hell bent on stopping the run, Brady will have a field day. He is playing as good as any quarterback has ever played. On the flip side, Indy has been pretty bad with Luck behind center this year. He hasn't played well at all and his offensive line certainly hasn't helped him. He has missed the past two games and playing the Pats on SNF with that pass rush coming at him isn't exactly the perfect spot to come back to.
Revenge. Tom Brady. Bill Belichick.
Take the Patriots.
4-Unit Play. Take #265 Miami +1 over Tennessee (Sunday, October 18th at 1:00 pm)
I am rolling with the road team in this matchup of two teams that aren't very good. Having said that, I like the fact that Miami changed their head coach in the midst of this losing streak. It was time for Philbin to go and it is time for the talent on this Miami team to show what they have. Tannehill and the entire Dolphins' team has underachieved and I look for Dan Campbell to inject a bit of emotion into this team. A week off for the Dolphins has given them a chance to prepare for a rookie quarterback and a Titans' offense that has struggled to run the ball. Suh has not played great this year but he and the defense have been challenged by Campbell. The talent on this team is enough to win double-digit games in this league. Is Campbell the answer long term? Probably not. But he is exactly what this team needed at this time. I look for the Dolphins to play their best game of the year Sunday.
Take Miami.Comment
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Jason Sharpe
6 Unit Play Take #268 Seattle -7 over Carolina (4:05pm est):
Sports fans and the media love to overreact and that's what were seeing in this point spread here as many feel that the 2-3 Seahawks have fallen off this season from past years. If that's the case than the drop off has been very small and much smaller than being reported as Seattle is still only a few plays away from also being undefeated this season. All three of their defeats have come in road games that they led in the 4th quarter. Keep in mind they were playing without one of the games best defensive players the first few weeks of the season and he's now back here for this contest. Also they're expecting to have one of the top RB's in the league also in this one as Marshawn Lynch has missed the past two contests. These losses also came in tough spots, on the road against a dangerous St. Louis Rams team, at Green Bay's very difficult Lambeau Field against an undefeated Packers teams who were playing for revenge and last week at Cincinnati against the undefeated Bengals. The Seahawks not only had to travel on a short week from playing the MNF game the week before but also were faced with the early start time that West Coast teams have played poorly in. The Seahawks outplayed Cincinnati for 3 quarters of the game but somehow let a 17 point lead slip away in the final quarter and lost a heartbreaker in overtime. Unbelievably it was the first time since 2010 that ANY TEAM had lost a 17 point lead or more in the 4th quarter and this one happened to the 'Legion of Boom'.
The Carolina Panthers have took advantage of playing one of the easiest schedules in the NFL to begin their season at 4-0. The Panthers have faced Jacksonville, Houston, Tampa Bay and New Orleans without Drew Brees thus far. Those four teams are all in the bottom ten teams of the NFL in most of the power ratings. These four squads are led by Jameis Winston, Blake Bortles, Ryan Mallet and Luke McCown and that has not only helped put the Panthers at 4-0 to begin the year but also has made their defense look much better than it really is. The Panthers offense lost their best WR in training camp this year and the severity of his loss hasn't been seen yet but it should show up here in this game. They're also not expected to get a full games worth of snaps from their best defensive player Luke Kuechly in this one as he's been hurt most of the season and though he's expected back in this one, it's not expected to be for full time as the Panthers plan to ease him back into action. Carolina has two straight home games in primetime the next two weeks after this game so you have to wonder also if they have their full undivided attention for this game against a Seattle team who is desperate need of a win here.
I expect the Seahawks defense to play with a huge chip on their shoulders here and add that in with the extra energy Lynch gives their offense also. Take Seattle minus the points in this game.
4 Unit Play Take #260 Detroit -3 over Chicago (1:00pm est):
Buy low and sell high is always the best advice when it comes to investing in anything and that's what were getting here with the Lions and the Bears in this one. Chicago has managed to win their last two games with late scoring drives and have went from what looked like a hopeless 0-3 team to now looking at a chance to be .500 after this game. Before we get too excited about these Bears let's keep in mind that they were blown out by 25 and 26 points in games two and three of the season. They caught the Oakland Raiders in an awful scheduling spot in game four as Oakland was playing it's 2nd straight game on the road with big travel and coming off a win the previous week. The Bears needed all the help they could get in pulling out the 22-20 win over the Raiders. Last weekend Chicago went into Kansas City and somehow came from and put together back to back huge touchdown drives in their last two possessions of the game (after not scoring a touchdown before that all game) and beat the Chiefs 18-17. Chicago looked to be dead in the game but seemed to catch a 2nd wind late in the 3rd quarter after KC running back Jamaal Charles left the game with an injury. The Bears ended up not allowing the Chiefs to score on that drive as they blocked a field goal and with it seemed to come alive. The two wins for the Bears have come against teams with a combined 3-7 record.
No team has played a tougher schedule to start their season than the Detroit Lions. They went on the road and played the San Diego Chargers to open the season, at Minnesota in week two, then came home in week three and faced the undefeated Denver Broncos, went into Seattle and played the Seahawks on Monday night football in week four and last week ran into an Arizona team who was coming off a game they shouldn't have loss the previous week. The Lions haven't played well during this five game stretch but they were in every game until things fell apart in their last contest. The Lions ended up going an almost unheard of -6 in turnovers for the game and though they were outplayed by the Cardinals in the game, it's still a very difficult game to judge overall. This loss seemed to really bring the heat on the Lions head coach Jim Caldwell this past week from the media and Caldwell even spoke about how he felt a few guys quit against Arizona. Quarterback Matthew Stafford is also under a ton of pressure right now as well but keep in mind that not many guys are going to look good against the defenses of Denver, Seattle and Arizona the past three weeks. The Bears defense should look a lot easier to move the ball against for the Detroit offense here.
If you take these two teams and trade their schedules I think the Lions would be closer to -7 here in this game than the current number. Take Detroit minus the points here. I jumped out of the gates ahead overall early in the NHL season with 5 winners in my first 8 plays thus far. This is my 2nd season releasing my hockey plays to the public and I made my clients a nice profit last year overall in the NHL. Join me as I give you the 'hot plays' in Las Vegas as my numerous contacts in the industry keep me well informed along with my years of experience beating the betting markets as well.Comment
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pointspreadpros
Week 6 Picks
TENNESSEE -1 over Miami
Arizona -3 over PITTSBURGH
Ny Giants +4.5 over PHILADELPHIA
BUFFALO +3.5 over CincinnatiComment
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River City Sharps
OK, so let us get this straight…You have a head coach that is 3-17 SU with a team and they are a 2-point favorite over a team that, on paper, appears to have more talent? That’s the situation Sunday in Nashville as a couple of 1-3 teams hook up when the Tennessee Titans host the Miami Dolphins. This game will mark the Dolphins head coaching debut for Dan Campbell, who takes over for the fired Joe Philbin. While one could question a lot of the “on field” issues for the Dolphins, Campbell is being looked at as much to light a fire under this Miami team and give them some renewed energy that many feel has been lacking. At the beginning of the season, lots of experts had high hopes for this Miami unit, especially with the addition of Ndamukong Suh to the defense and the continued maturation of Ryan Tannehill at QB. That certainly hasn’t happened to this point as Miami ranks 28th in total offense and 29th in total defense, giving up almost 400 YPG. As we said in the open, the Titans are just 3-17 straight up with Ken Whisenhunt as their head coach and fresh off a tough 14-13 loss to the Bills. Their offense, led by rookie QB Marcus Mariota, looks like they can make plays at times…and others, they look completely lost. These Titans have been a bettors nightmare (unless you are fading them….which they would then be your personal ATM machine!) Tennessee is just 3-11 ATS at home the last two seasons and a perfect 0-7 against the number off a SU home loss. We believe this is a really good spot for the road puppy and think the Dolphins win this game. A quick note that we are releasing now (Wednesday), but don’t have a great feel on how this line will move. We have a sneaking suspicion that we’re going to see some Dolphins money on Sunday morning and we’re not sure you’re going to get better than +2. We’re not quite sure how Campbell will serve as the new head coach, but he’s an intense dude and we are now getting these Dolphins coming off the bye week trying to impress their new leader, catching points against one of the worst home teams in the NFL. We will take our chances every day in that scenario. The Sharps say…
3 Units – Miami Dolphins (+2)Comment
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Prediction Machine
NFL Lock
Carolina +7Comment
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Sports Insights
[260] Play on DET -3 (-108)
[261] Play on WAS 6 (-108)
[265] Play on MIA 2.5 (-115)
[269] Play on SD 10.5 (-108)Comment
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Gold Medal Club NFL Selections
254 Buffalo
255 Kansas City
265 Miami
269 San Diego
274 IndianapolisComment
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Amazing Wager Picks
Denver -4
Arizona -3
Cincinnati -3.5
Jacksonville / Houston Over 43Comment
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Maddux
10* Miami Dolphins +3
10* Kansas City +4Comment
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Allen Eastman
5-Unit Play. Take #253 Cincinnati (-3.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.0 Kansas City at Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
5-Unit Play. Take #266 Tennessee (-2.5) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
3-Unit Play. Take #271 Baltimore (-2.5) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)
3-Unit Play. Take #252 Cleveland (+4.5) over Denver (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18)Comment
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Robert Ferringo
Broncos -4 (2*)
Vikings -3.5 (4*)
Lions -3 (3*)
Jets -6 (3*)
Cardinals -3 (8*)
Titans -1 (4*)
Seahawks -7 (2*)
Chargers +10.5 (3*)
49ers +2.5 (2*)
Pats -9.5 (3*)Comment
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Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #262. Take New York Jets -6 over Washington
3-Unit Play.#258. Take Jacksonville -1 over Houston
6-Unit Play. #255. Take Over 43.5 Kansas City vs. Minnesota
7-Unit Play. #268. Take Seattle -7 over CarolinaComment
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