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PERCEPTION/REALITY GAME OF THE WEEK …Duke (+2)
Duke at VA Tech (-2) 3:30 ET ESPNU
Why not take the better team as underdog in the face of public and linemaker perception that VA Tech remains the superior team? It simply aint so! In favor of VA Tech, I am well aware of their SOS (strength of schedule) advantage. They have played the likes of Ohio St., Pitt, NC State and Miami, while Duke has faced such creampuffs as Tulane, NC Central and Army. Also aiding the Hokies is the return of QB Brewer, who was leading the Hokies in a competitive battle against Ohio St. in Week 1, before exiting with a bum shoulder. But the reality is, despite those advantages, recent history shows that Duke is a superior entity. And until the line catches up, we must continue to play accordingly. Since 2011, 29th year VA Tech HC Beemer is just 19-37 ATS. This year, his Hokies are 3-4 SU ATS following last week’s loss to Miami, when a (-4) net TO margin resulted in a 30-20 loss. Last year’s contest between these two saw VA Tech survive (17-16) with Duke holding a narrow yardage edge 326-293. Duke will hunger for revenge for this loss and has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Under 8th year HC Cutcliffe, Duke is on a major run of 24-9 SU, 22-9 ATS L2+Y. An ever-improving defense, which has gone from allowances of 36 to 27 to 22 to 9 PPG this year is a major reason. It is good for the No. 4 defense in the land at 253/3.8 and a reason why the Blue Devils have covered 11 of their most recent 14 games on the road. The perception is that VA Tech should be the favored team. The reality is that Duke is far better and will easily get this victory.
6-Unit Play. Take #411 Washington State (+7.5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 24)
We were all over Washington State last weekend and we are headed right back. Wazzu is playing some outstanding football as of late and they are going to keep it rolling. Washington State started the season losing to Portland State and people were way down on them. Not anymore. Their only loss since that game was a seven-point road loss to California. Washington State comes in to this game off blowout victories over Oregon and Oregon State, and they are facing an Arizona team that can't seem to name a starting QB. Anu Soloman has been playing so poorly that coach Rich Rodriguez may start Jerrard Randal in this game. Regardless of which QB starts it is more on who is going to stop the Washington State offense. QB Luke Falk is rolling and he will continue to do so this weekend. Washington State not only will cover this line, they may win this game outright. WSU is just playing better than Arizona at the current time. Washington's State's offense is going to be too much for an Arizona defense that is without Scooby Wright III and may be without DaVonte' Neal. The secondary is think for Arizona as they are young and inexperienced. Look for Falk and company to take advantage all day long. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in both their last four games and their last four road games while Arizona is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Take the road dog here as they have a great chance to win this game outright.
NHL | TORONTO at MONTREAL
Play Against - Road underdogs against the money line (TORONTO) revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more, a terrible team (<=30%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season
31-3 over the last 5 seasons. ( 91.2% | 26.5 units )
CFL | EDMONTON at SASKATCHEWAN
Play On - Home teams (SASKATCHEWAN) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a losing record
68-28 since 1997. ( 70.8% | 37.2 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.0 units )
CFL | EDMONTON at SASKATCHEWAN
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season
23-12 since 1997. ( 65.7% | 0.0 units )
CFL | EDMONTON at SASKATCHEWAN
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (EDMONTON) after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
38-9 since 1997. ( 80.9% | 28.1 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
CFL | OTTAWA at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OTTAWA) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
28-4 since 1997. ( 87.5% | 23.6 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
Hondo’s free-fall continued Friday night when Tulsa was anything but golden against Memphis, suffering a bludgeoning that boosted the dirty digits to 2,027 wards.
Saturday night: Mr. Aitch will show off his vast college knowledge with 20-unit plays on Florida State, Ohio State and Utah.
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