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Sixth Sense
Philly +9
Tampa +3.5
Dallas +3.5
Eagles/Panthers under 46
Lions +2
Philly +9
Tampa +3.5
Dallas +3.5
Eagles/Panthers under 46
Lions +2
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Ben Burns
Per fav - Rams
Best bet - Lions
Breakfast club - Houston/Mia under
Blue chip total - wash/Tampa underComment
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Sportslab
5 units Carolina-3
1 unit N.E. -8Comment
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VSI
3 Unit Play. Take #303 Under 42.5 Seattle at San Francisco (8:25p.m., Thursday October 22 CBS)
Did the Seattle Seahawks defense fly South for the winter because the Legion of Doom looks very fragile. The 49ers defense has been surprisingly good this season but at times the 49ers offense can be missing in action. Thursday night I see both teams playing tough in your face defense and I see touchdowns coming pretty hard in San Fran. Look for Seahawks defense to show up on the road and redeem themselves and again I see points coming hard Thursday night. Seattle is 3-9 O/U against NFC West teams and the 49ers are 2-8 O/U in their last 10 home games.
4 Unit Play. Take #468 Indianapolis -4.5 over New Orleans (1:05p.m., Sunday October 25)
I know the New Orleans Saints are coming off a big home win against Atlanta but that game was in New Orleans and this game is at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts are coming off a bad home loss to the New England Patriots but I did see a lot of good things going the Colts way in that game. The Saints defense has been bad all season long and if the Falcons don't turn the ball over in New Orleans I see the Falcons winning big but that didn't happen. Look for the Colts offense to run and pass all over the Saints defense and I see Andrew Luck out-dueling Drew Brees. The Colts are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record.
5 Unit Play. Take #469 Under 47.5 Oakland at San Diego (4:05p.m., Sunday October 25 CBS)
Defense will be the key for both teams and if we see the same game like last year we should have no problem cashing this UNDER play. Last year in San Diego the Chargers won 13-6 and you can tell that game flew UNDER and we should see another low scoring AFC West battle. The Raiders last two games both have gone UNDER and their defense in their last 3 games haven't allowed 22 or more points. San Diego last 5 games 4 of them have gone UNDER and we should see San Diego controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Both teams will want to establish the run early and the Raiders have said early in the week that they did not want P. Rivers to beat them in the middle of the field. I do see San Diego winning this game but again I would be shocked to see either team hit the 25 point mark. Last 17 meetings in San Diego between these two teams 13 of them have gone UNDER and I see this trend cashing Sunday afternoon.Comment
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Indian Cowboy
8-Unit Play. #468. Take Indianapolis -4.5 over New Orleans
4-Unit Play. #454. Take St. Louis -5.5 over ClevelandComment
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Dave Malinsky's NFL Best Bet Total - Under 46 Giants/CowboysComment
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Norm Hitzges
NFL
DOUBLE PLAY:
Dallas + 3 1/2 NY Giants
SINGLE PLAYS:
Miami -4 1/2 Houston
NY Jets +8 New England
Minnesota -2 1/2 Detroit
New Orleans +4 Indianapolis
San Diego--Oakland OVER 47Comment
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Dave Essler
3* play Lions/Vikings OverComment
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King Creole
5* Colts/Saints overComment
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SaberHockey NHL Play for 10/25
1-1 yesterday
Kings MLComment
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Exodus to Black
NFL
Rams-6
38-25 (60%) in footballComment
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Joe Gavazzi
NFL PERCEPTION/REALITY GAME OF THE WEEK…New York Jets (+10)
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10) 1:00 EST
You know it, I know it, and the line maker knows it. Even though New England allowed Indianapolis a backdoor cover last Sunday night, there is no way the public is getting off the New England bandwagon with QB Brady posting numbers of legendary proportions. Through the 5 game winning streak to start the season, Brady has completed 71% of his passes with a 14/1 ratio. Now the Patriots return home to follow a theme that has seen the home team be on a 29-8 ATS run in the last 37 New England games. Those are all good reasons to back an offense that is averaging an NFL best 37 PPG, and NFL second best 6.7 YP play. That perception is very real in the minds of the American sporting public. The reality is that the Jets have covered 5 of the last 6 games in this series, and enter today’s game under first year HC Bowles with the #1 defense in the NFL. The Jets’ ground game has an NFL best running margin of 146/4.5 to 83/3.5 over their opponents. The running game could well do business, or at least eat some clock, against the Patriot defensive line allowing 4.8 YPR. But it is the 15 PPG stop unit allowing just 269 YPG and 4.4 YP play which has brought attention to the Jets at this huge value price. Jets QB Fitzpatrick is no match for Brady, but the fact that former Patriot CB Revis is now in the Jets’ secondary could play a bit with Brady’s mind. Final reality is that when you get the best defensive team in the NFL at more than a touchdown, you must make the play.Comment
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Strike Point Sports
7-Unit Play. Take #468 Indianapolis (-4.5) over New Orleans (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 25)
Even in the loss, Indianapolis looked like they were turning a corner. I know that they had won their previous three games, but they just didn't look right. A two-point victory over Tennessee, a three-point victory over Jacksonville, and a seven-point victory over Houston (with or without Andrew Luck) is nothing to write home about. The loss to New England however just felt different. I see the Colts absolutely rolling this weekend. New Orelans isn't the type of team that can slow down the Colts, and their offense just ins't on the same page as Indy's. This New Orleans offense isn't the one we are used to. The Saints have failed to top the 20 point mark three times this season. In other words, 50 percent of the time they fail to score 20 points. Wow, that is not what we are used to. This is also a perfect letdown game for New Orleans. The Saints were on cloud nine after beating the Falcons in New Orleans last weekend, and now they will lay an egg on the road. Look for Indy to win this game by close more than two touchdowns 37-21. Luck's shoulder looked fine versus New England, with the exception of not going deep much, and it should be even better this weekend. Andre Johnson is playing better, which just helps the WR core. Look for Indy to dominate when the have the ball and take care of business early. Indy is 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games following a S.U. loss while New Orleans is 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. win. Getting the Colts, at home, off an ATS loss is just golden. Indy is also 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 home games.Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
NHL | LOS ANGELES at EDMONTON
Play On - Any team against the money line (LOS ANGELES) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season
31-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 83.8% | 24.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NHL | LOS ANGELES at EDMONTON
Play On - Any team against the money line (LOS ANGELES) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
82-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.6% | 47.8 units )
6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 4.9 units )Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
NFL | NY JETS at NEW ENGLAND
Play Over - Road teams against the total dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
NFL | PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (PITTSBURGH) off an upset win as a home underdog, after the first month of the season
214-63 since 1997. ( 77.3% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )
NFL | PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY
Play Against - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (PITTSBURGH) after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, after the first month of the season
49-20 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )Comment
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