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From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
Green Bay (463) AT Carolina (464)
Latest Line: Panthers +2.5; Total: 45.5
StatFox POWER TRENDS:
• GREEN BAY is 9-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the L2 seasons.
• GREEN BAY is 14-4 ATS in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons.
• GREEN BAY is 31-13 OVER after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.
• CAROLINA is 95-67 UNDER at home in games played on a grass field since 1992.
• CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the L2 seasons.
• CAROLINA is 35-18 UNDER at home vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better since 1992.
FORECASTER: Panthers 23, Packers 19
From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
Philadelphia (471) AT Dallas (472)
Latest Line: Cowboys +2.5; Total: 44
StatFox POWER TRENDS:
• PHILADELPHIA is 30-16 ATS revenging a home loss against opponent since 1992.
• PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 ATS away revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
• PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS away revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points since 1992.
• DALLAS is 27-14 UNDER after a loss by 3 or less points since 1992.
• Jason Garrett is 9-1 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game as coach of DALLAS.
• Jason Garrett is 4-15 ATS at home vs. DEFs allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse.
FORECASTER: Cowboys 25, Eagles 21
PLAY AGAINST any NFL team from Game Five out off its first loss of the
season if they are facing a .400 or great opponent off an ATS loss that allows
less than 130 rushing yard per game if the O/U total in the game is
43 or more points.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 13-0-1
PLAY AGAINST: Green Bay Packers
Rationale: Much like college football teams, NFL squads will letdown in
games after having had their perfect season go down the drain, especially
when facing a quality opponent with a good rush defense that can
take the 'bubble bursted' foe out of its game.
The Colts welcome Peyton Manning and his Broncos to Indy on Sunday in a matchup of the young gun and the old man. This will be the first time Manning will face his old team since they knocked him and the Broncos out of the playoffs last January. It seems like Manning is finally starting to get comfortable in Kubiak’s offense as he threw for a season high 340 yards last week vs. Green Bay. The Broncos actually have the 12th ranked passing attack even though Manning is the 2nd lowest ranked QB in the league. They rely on their defense which is outstanding, ranked 1st in the league. They only give up 16 points a game and lead the league in sacks. The corners can cover and the D-Line gets after the QB. Bad news for Luck and the Colts. He leads the league in interceptions and is the lowest rated QB. He had 3 picks last week, the last leading to the game winning FG. Their offense can score but they turn the ball over way too much, -9 TO margin. The Colts O line will not be able to handle the pass rush of the Broncos and the Colts defense is giving up over 280 yards passing a game. This line seems a little fishy and is probably due to how well the Colts historically have played at home. They have not faced a defense like Denver’s and we don’t see this one staying under double digits. The Sharps say…
HALL OF FAME PICKS
NFL GOY
452 Pittsburgh Steelers(-4)
The Steelers just got their qb back and are coming into a bounce back situation, after the tough loss to the Bengals. The Raiders are in a let down situation after blowing out the Jets. Most importantly though the Raiders(west coast team) are traveling to play an early kickoff game in the ET zone in which very few of these teams cover(3 hour time difference). The Raiders have already lost as a TD favorite to the Bears earlier this year in the same situation. Heath Miller will have a big game, as the Raiders don’t cover tight ends well and the Steelers will roll!
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