11-21-15

[kar261]

Trace Adams

Saturday's Selection ...

For Saturday, One & Only 2500♦ ACC Game of the Year is Pittsburgh as the small home favorite over Louisville. At 10:30 pm eastern time on Friday night, the Panthers are the -1 point favorites in Vegas and offshore.

The Pittsburgh Panthers ended a 2 game skid with a ringing 31-13 win at Duke as the -2 point road favorites, and now they take their 7-3 record into battle against a Louisville that has reeled off 4 straight wins to bump their mark to 6-4 on the season.

Interesting to note that Pittsburgh's 3 losses come against teams with a combined record of 28-2! That would be losses to undefeated Iowa, and one loss North Carolina and Notre Dame.

The Panthers play this game with revenge on their minds (although it was 2012 the last time the schools met), as the Cardinals won a 45-35 affair at Heinz Field back in 2012.

Last week the Cardinals defensive gave up 4 TDs through the air to Virginia!?!?! Expect the Panthers attack to be able to fire their scoring shots on this defense. As for the Panthers defense, they only gave up 26 points to high-scoring North Carolina, they should be able to stop the wildly inconsistent Redbirds offense that is still rotating quarterbacks.

Pittsburgh to get it done.

[kar261]

Gabriel DuPont

Tonight's winner...

My 150 Dime Winner for tonight is the GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS in their Sun Belt clash against the South Alabama Jaguars. And as I release this play at 8 p.m. pacific on Friday night, the number I see is Georgia State -3 everywhere. Be sure, no matter what, you're buying the half point down with this favorite, as long as you're being offered -3 or -3.5 from your book.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

Two red hot teams face off in Eugene on Saturday as the Oregon Ducks welcome the USC Trojans to town. The Trojans have gone 4-1 under interim HC Clay Helton and control their own destiny in the Pac-12 South. The Ducks have also won four straight games and come into this game off a 38-36 victory at Stanford and the Ducks are leading the Pac-12 in scoring at 41.8 PPG and total offense 532 YPG. While Oregon has gotten some of their weapons back with Vernon Adams back in the lineup, the big problem for the Ducks is that he doesn’t play defense. The Ducks are giving up a staggering 41 PPG at home this season and we just don’t see the Ducks being able to keep USC out of the end zone, while USC’s defense will present some problems for the home team. The Sharps say…

3 Units – USC (+4.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Bet Cappers (CFB - Carson K)

Triple Dime - Penn State
Double Dime - Baylor
Dime - Maryland, Virginia Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

3* best bet

Mississippi st/ arkansas over 57.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence 4 pack
mich st
baylor
lsu
missiouri

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian cowboy
7-Unit Play. Take Manchester United (-110) over Watford (7:45 a.m., Saturday, November 21)
All things considered, its a short line for the superior Red Devils away to Watford in this fixture. Manchester United have been under a fair bit of criticism, however the Premier League side find themselves sitting in fourth place in the table, just two points adrift of co-leaders Man City and Arsenal. All things considered, again, not that bad. Watford are newly promoted this year, but they have not had a roaring impact. United have more away wins on the year than Watford does at home, so I think its a good value bet on Man U in this spot relative to their opponents. Coming off the international break, Manager Louis van Gaal will be looking to quiet his critics, and three points away from Old Trafford is just what the doctor would like to order up for this team. Its going to be a total team performance but United have it in them. Several goals see them past Watford. United with the win, 3-1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Feringo

2-Unit Play. Take #322 Akron (-4) over Buffalo (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
I think that this Akron team isn't as bad as its record. They just got off to a weak start thanks to a brutal schedule. Buffalo is a team that can't wait for the season to end, while the Zips still have some wins left in their system. Akron has gotten slaughtered in their last two games against the Bulls. That makes this one a pure revenge play. Add in the fact that Buffalo barely beat MAC lightweights like Kent State and Miami, OH and that just tells me the Bulls are an inferior team that is not focused and not playing well right now. Go with the home team by at least a TD.

2-Unit Play. Take #325 Rutgers (-4.5) over Army (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 21)
Army is one of the worst football teams in the country. Rutgers is absolutely nothing to write home about. But they are better than Army. This is a young Scarlet Knights team with some decent athletes. They have Big Ten-caliber talent and I think it will feel good to get some of the frustrations of this season off their chest. Army's final game of the season is against Navy, their big rival. They care a lot more about that game next month than this one here. I think they are already looking ahead.

3-Unit Play. Take #328 Kentucky (-24.5) over Charlotte (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
This should be another one of those get-some-frustration-off-our-chest games. Kentucky has SEC talent. And if they can't beat Charlotte by 40 they should disband their program immediately. Charlotte is a mediocre FCS program that flopped its way into the FBS in a moneygrab. They haven't been competitive at all and have lost by a lot more than this against mediocre CUSA teams. Kentucky needs something good to happen. And they need two more wins to get bowl eligible. They cannot let this game get away. Charlotte lost an overtime game last week - the closest they had been to a win in over a month and one of just two close games they have played. That makes this a bit of a letdown situation. Kentucky is on an 0-4 ATS run. They are due.

3-Unit Play. Take #350 Temple (+2) over Memphis (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
I just think that Temple is the better team here and I love the value with them as a home underdog. Memphis has had an emotional month and I'm not sure how much they have left in the tank. I also don't like the Memphis defense, which has overachieved all season long. Temple is going to be able to at least slow the Memphis attack down. But if Temple's offense gets rolling downhill I think they will physically pound the Tigers into submission. Memphis has lost two straight games, including a very emotional game at Houston last week. I don't know how much they have in the tank. They were also lucky to beat the other two decent teams they played this year, Cincinnati and Bowling Green (I am discounting the Ole Miss win for situational reasons). So this team is overrated. I think Temple is a really good team and they've been very good at home. I'll go with the home dog.

3-Unit Play. Take #367 Tennessee (-7) over Missouri (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
This is another football team that I just think is out of emotional reserves. The University of Missouri has been a mess the last few weeks. The players went on strike. The coach retired abruptly. The assistant coaches are looking for new jobs. The players are getting ready for their Thanksgiving break and trying to play out the string. It is just not good things going on with the Tigers. Tennessee - the same team that should've beaten Oklahoma and Florida and took Alabama to the wire - has quietly become the team that people thought they would be this season. They have a lot of talent and they are still playing for bowl positioning. They have outgained their last eight opponents, sans Alabama and Arkansas. And they are catching Missouri off an emotional home underdog win over shaky BYU last week. Tennessee isn't BYU. They have big-time SEC athletes and three years' of revenge built up. I think they get up early and then pull away late against a tired Mizzou squad.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 53.0 Michigan State at Ohio State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
There's a lot of talent on both sides of the ball here. But in the biggest game of the season in the Big 10 I am banking on the offensive skill of each side. The last two years they have played 'over', and last season there were 86 total points. It won't be that bad this year. But I still see scoring. Michigan State's defense is not as strong as it has been in years past, allowing five of their last six opponents (and Maryland barely counts as an opponent) to score at least 20 points. Ohio State has had its issues with offensive continuity this season. But I feel like now that they've settled on a quarterback they are ready to roll. And after going 'under' in four straight and six of seven the line has been depressed enough to make this one playable.

3-Unit Play. Take #385 California (+11) over Stanford (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
This is a lot of points for a rivalry game. Cal has faded of late. But their schedule has really conspired against them. They were able to right the ship last week in an easy win that we cashed in on. Now they have their sites set on a disappointed Stanford team. The Cardinal was trying to work its way into the playoff picture. But last week's home loss to Oregon put a stake through their hearts. That has to linger a bit. This Stanford team wasn't exactly world-beaters in games against Washington, Washington State and Northwestern this year. I think they have been a bit overvalued and this team is not as good as people think. Call lost by six at Utah, by six to USC, and by 16 on the road at Oregon and UCLA. So against the top teams they have been around this number. Again, huge rivalry here. And this is simply too many points for Stanford to shell out. They are basically Utah, and Cal was stride-for-stride on the road against the Utes. Add in the emotional edge for the roadie and I think they could win this game.

2-Unit Play. Take #392 New Mexico (+2) over Colorado State (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
I hit the outright winner with New Mexico last week over Boise State. Let's go back to the Lobos! This team is hot and they are on a mission. They got their sixth win of the year so they will be over .500 and bowl eligible. But why stop there? About 70 percent of the public is backing Colorado State here, but why? They've played four of their last five games at home, where they have a big advantage, and they were unimpressive in road trips to Texas-San Antonio (nearly lost) and Utah State (got rolled by 15). Colorado State is just 3-5 ATS and have been overvalued because of what they did last year. But I don't think they are as focused as the Lobos in this one. New Mexico has beaten Boise State and Utah State, they've won three in a row at home, and even though they are overmatched they are riding a momentum wave.

2-Unit Play. Take #399 Texas A&M (-6.5) over Vanderbilt (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)

3-Unit Play. Take #410 Oregon (-4) over USC (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Who is hotter than Oregon right now? They have own four straight and five of six games. Their only loss was in overtime against a really good, really underrated Washington State team. Oregon is a system team. They got off to a slow start this year as they were incorporating a lot of new pieces. But now the pieces are in place and the system is taking over. They have looked really good and will be sky-high against an overrated USC team. Again, let's face it: the idea that USC was a national title contender is kind of a joke now. Kind of like Auburn being the second-best team in the SEC. USC has won four straight, but the haven't been impressive doing it, failing to cover against Arizona and Colorado - two weak teams. Oregon has covered in three of the last four meetings. And although US won their last trip to Autzen they had also lost handily in their other two trips here (2009 and 2007). The favorite has been the play in this series, going 7-2 ATS. And I think that Oregon has the momentum right now to get another blowout win.

3-Unit Play. Take #415 San Diego State (-15.5) over UNLV (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
I know that UNLV is better. But they still stink. They are a fringe FBS team at best and people are making adjustments against their former high school coach leader. Rocky Long is a really solid coach and has his SDSU team playing well. Their last six games haven't even really been close and their last four have been outright blowouts. They went to Colorado State and won by 24, so I think they can beat back the Rebels here. UNLV is

1-4 ATS in its last five games and outside of a win over a bad Hawaii team they haven't shown that they can step up and play with the top teams in the Mountain West.

1-Unit Play. Take #324 Georgia (-13.5) over Georgia Southern (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #342 Florida International (+17) over Western Kentucky (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)

2-Unit Play. Take #343 LSU (+6.5) over Mississippi (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Note: This play is from the KING System.

1-Unit Play. Take #353 North Carolina (-5) over Virginia Tech (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #366 Miami (+2.5) over Georgia Tech (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
1-Unit Play. Take #372 Ohio State (-13.5) over Michigan State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #378 Southern Miss (-21) over Old Dominion (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #393 Washington (-15) over Oregon State (6 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #402 Washington State (-15) over Colorado (10 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #413 Purdue (+22.5) over Iowa (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club CFB Selections

344 Mississippi
354 Virginia Tech
356 Wisconsin
385 California

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Malinsky

Colorado -13 college hoops

Arkansas -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc

6* Notre Dame
5* Rutgers
4* Indiana
4* UMASS
4* SD St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott spreitzer

game of the yr temple +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

M & M handicapping

5* Baylor +1
5* bc +15
4* Penn st +3
4* osu/msu ov 52'
3* temp +1'
3* mizz +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK …Navy (-11-)
Navy (-11) at Tulsa 7:00 ET CBC TV

Last week in this very spot, we used double digit favorite, Arkansas St., in their STEAMROLLING victory over LA Monroe by a score of (59-21). This week, we turn to another road favorite, a team who figures to double rush their opponent, a situation that gives us a 75% opportunity to cover the spread. Some may look at this as a flat spot after Navy QB Reynolds set the single season rushing TD mark in the Middies’ (55-14) wipeout of SMU (outrushed the Ponies 403-144). With undefeated Houston on deck for the AAC-West title, it is argued this could be a flat spot for Navy. The problem with that thinking is that the military discipline with which the service academies operate, seldom allows for such inferior performances. Unlike previous seasons, the Navy defense is what has led to their 8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS mark with net coverage by 97 points. Rather, it is a vastly improved defense allowing just 18 PPG and 350 YPG. They will need that side of the ball to operate efficiently against an improved Tulsa attack that is averaging 37/527. But, you can’t do WHAT…without the WHAT?...SCORE WITHOUT THE BALL! And that figures to be exactly the case in this biggest fundamental mismatch on the field. That will be the Navy triple-option offense which averages 335/5.6, running against the Tulsa defensive front allowing 221/4.9. With the Navy offense and defense fully functioning, all 8 victories by the Naval Academy this year have come by double digits. No surprise if Tulsa tosses the towel in this one, as they are 2-8 ATS recently as home dog and may save their best, in searching for their 6th win, with their game against Tulane next week. Navy STEAMROLLS to their 9th consecutive double-digit victory!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Andrews / Against the number

316 South Florida +2
319 Louisville +2
323 Georgia Southern +13.5
329 Indiana +3 -120
350 Temple +1.5
354 Virginia Tech +6
372 Ohio State -13
381 Iowa State +6