If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Sunday Top NFL plays include the 6* Early AFC Triple system total and the 100% Sunday night Football Game of the Year on NBC. NBA and NCAAB System plays also up. Free System Club Play below.
The free NFL power system play is on Jacksonville. Game 268 at 1:00 eastern . The Jags are off 2 wins and SD has thrown in the towel. Home teams like the Jags are cashing over 80% off a Thursday win vs an opponent off a loss. The Jags are 7-1 ats vs losing teams, while the Chargers are 1-4 vs losing teams and 0-8 to the spread as a dog off a home dog spread loss by 10 or more points. The Chargers are allowing 28 points per game on the season. Look for Jacksonville to pull away late. Huge Sunday card up with Sunday night 100% Play of the Year on NBC, Top 6* AFC Total and 5* Side in Early action along with Teaser of the Week, NBA and NCAAB. Jump on now and put the most powerful data available on your side. For the free NFL play. Take Jacksonville. GC
So why back a San Diego team that is 2-8 and has lost six in a row? A combination of Philip Rivers, a due factor and the Jaguars being overpriced.
Jacksonville doesn't beat teams. Opponents lose to them. There's a difference. San Diego is approaching this matchup as a challenge and a test of character.
Non-division foes usually treat the Jaguars with overconfidence.
Yes, the Jaguars are better than last season. Their defense is more competitive and Blake Bortles has improved in his second season. But the Jaguars still are not very good. They've gone six consecutive games with at least one turnover. Bortles is always live for a pick-six and has been sacked more than any other quarterback during the last two seasons. The Chargers' pass rush has gotten better recording 18 sacks during their last seven games.
Rivers makes the Chargers competitive. He's having another super season throwing for the second-most yards in the league while leading the NFL in completions and throwing for 19 touchdowns.
San Diego was blown out by the Chiefs in their last game. People remember that. Maybe they should also recall the Chargers losing to the then unbeaten Bengals by five points, nearly forcing overtime against the Packers when they were stopped at the 3-yard line on fourth down and goal at the end of the game and falling to Baltimore on the last play of the game. All of those games were on the road.
When it comes to coaching, I like Mike McCoy much better than Gus Bradley. McCoy is innovative and tough on non-division foes not familiar with him. Bradley is too conservative, one of those many coaches who plays not to lose rather than win.
PLAY AGAINST any undefeated NFL non-division road favorite from Game
Eleven out if they are facing an opponent that is not off 3 straight road games.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 8-0
Play Against: New England Patriots.
Rationale: the pressure of remaining undefeated is immense for teams
throughout the final 6 games of the season, especially when favored
away in non-division games against foes that are not road weary.
This is the ultimate sell high, buy low situation as the Chargers come into this game riding a six game losing streak while the Jaguars are in the unfamiliar position of winning back to back games. This will be the first time in five years that Jacksonville has been favored in back to back games, however I don't feel they are the better team. San Diego quarterback Phillip Rivers can still light up the scoreboard and the Jags defensive is vulnerable against the pass. Jags quarterback Blake Bortles has been the most sacked quarterback in the NFL the last two seasons and the Chargers defense has been getting after the opposing quarterback in their recent games. I like the Chargers to pick up the win.
3* (255) St. Louis Rams +10
The Bengals come into this game off of back to back losses to the Texans and Cardinals. The Rams also enter this game in a funk having lost three straight games and with question marks at quarterback. Nick Foles was benched for Case Keenum, but Keenum has not been cleared to play this week as I'm writing this. I actually think that is a good thing. Foles is the better quarterback in my opinion and a little time on the bench to reflect might just have been what the doctor ordered. Many expect Cincinnati to roll, but after back to back primetime losses this very well could be a flat spot against a coach in Jeff Fisher who excels in the role of the underdog. Take the points.
2* (267) New Orleans Saints +3
2* (267) New Orleans Saints +$155
The Texans are playing very well riding a three game winning streak that includes a big road win on Monday Night Football in Cincinnati, however I like the Saints in this match up. New Orleans defense has been horrible, but firing defensive coordinator Rob Ryan I believe will shake things up on the defensive side of the ball and he Saints do have a favorable matchup against a Texans team that really only has one huge playmaking threat in wide receiver Deandre Hopkins. New Orleans had two weeks to get ready for this game and Saints quarterback Drew Brees will be working against the Texans starting cornerback Kareem Jackson (ankle) and Jonathan Joseph (knee/wrist) who are both less that 100% healthy. I look for New Orleans to pick up the win.
2* (263) Buffalo Bills +5.5
1* (263) Buffalo Bills +$200
There is no doubt that the Chiefs are playing well as they enter this game on a four game winning streak, but I like the Bills to steal this one. I think too much is being made of the short week for Buffalo and being on the road once again. This is a huge game for the Bills and their wildcard playoff chances. The Chiefs defense has been outstanding, but this will be the first time they will be facing a mobile quarterback that can make things happen with his feet in Tyrod Taylor. The Chiefs will also most likely be without running back Charcandrick West due to injury and tight end Travis Kelce (ankle) will be less than 100%. I like the Bills here.
NFL STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK…NY Jets (-3-)
Miami Dolphins at NY Jets (-3-) 1:00 ET
Each of these teams has become unraveled in recent weeks. The Miami bounce (after 0-3 SU ATS got former HC Philbin fired) was against Tennessee and Houston. Since that time, they have gone 1-3 SA, including last week’s home loss to the Cowboys (24-14). It was a game in which the Cowboys outrushed the Dolphins 38/166 to 14/70. That will lose you a lot of football games in the NFL. It also is represented by the fact the Dolphins have the worst rush defense in the NFL at 33/139/4.3. That got them STEAMROLLED by the Jets in London, October 4th (27-14), when the Fly Boys didn’t have to leave the runway totaling 207 running yards in the STEAMROLLING effort. Jets bounce back after consecutive losses to Houston and Buffalo and snap a 0-4 ATS run against the team they have proven they can dominate at the point of attack.
November TC Team VIP NFL 101 Set #188
Game Time.....11/29/2015 @ 1 pm EST
New Orleans +4 over Houston...bought 1
Tier 1 of 4
QB that must start Game =Drew Brees
My Profit = 1%
November TC Team VIP NFL 101 Set #189
Game Time.....11/29/2015 @ 1 pm EST
Oakland -1 over Tenn...bought 1/2
Tier 1 of 4
QB that must start Game =
Derek Carr
My Profit = 1%
November TC Team VIP NFL 101 Set #190
Game Time.....11/29/2015 @ 1 pm EST
SD +4 over Jacksonville
Tier 1 of 4
QB that must start Game =
Derek Carr (sic??)
My Profit = 1%
November TC Team VIP NFL 101 Set #175
Game Time.....11/29/2015 @ 1 pm EST
Atlanta -1 over Minn
Tier 2 of 4
QB that must start Game = Matt Ryan
My Profit = 1%
November TC Team VIP NFL 101 Set #178
Game Time.....11/29/2015 @ 405 pm EST
San Fran +12 over AZ Bought 1.5
Tier 2 of 4
QB that must start Game =
Blaine Gabbert
My Profit = 1/2%...some QB Issues
NBA | MINNESOTA at LA CLIPPERS
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )
NBA | HOUSTON at NEW YORK
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (NEW YORK) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
126-77 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.1% | 49.5 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 3.8 units )
NBA | HOUSTON at NEW YORK
Play On - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (HOUSTON) poor three point shooting team (<=33%) against a good 3PT defense (<=33%), poor ball handling team (>=16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )
CBB | MONMOUTH at USC
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
CBB | PROVIDENCE at MICHIGAN ST
Play Against - Neutral court teams (MICHIGAN ST) after 6 or more consecutive wins, playing their 2nd game in 3 days
67-61 over the last 5 seasons. ( 52.3% | 39.8 units )
CBB | BROWN at SMU
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (BROWN) pathetic team - shooting <=42% with a defense of >=45% on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots
98-51 since 1997. ( 65.8% | 41.9 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
Comment